When we're trying to understand a situation it is often very helpful to have a sense of the historical trends of several dimensions relevant to the situation. There is a also a video
for this insight which is a component of the Effective Problem Solving Course
While a situation may appear as an event this is only because the situation wasn't being paid attention to as it was developing. Once it reaches a state were it simply couldn't be ignored any longer it appears as an event.
It is important that we understand how the situation developed to its current state as it will aid in providing insights as to what needs to be dealt with the address the situation.
The situation is a result of changes over time and or distance though these are generally not readily evident.
What needs to be created are the patterns of behavior over time that are relevant to the situation being considered. Sometimes it takes several iterations to figure out what they all are.
Determining the relevant time frame is of critical importance. One wants to capture all the relevant changes.
One can do research and find the relevant data to construct the patterns of behavior.
There are times when the relevant data is simply not available. In this case it is necessary to rely on the stories others tell about history though be careful because everybody lies.
We build behavior trends to better understand the relations responsible for the situation so we can understand what relations need to change to develop the patterns which lead toward the desired situation.