Assignment 3 Bourke - 44919182
Didier Deray
Bourke Youth and Crime Model - Didier Deray

This model illustrates the effect of police and the investment in community development programs on the youth population of Bourke. This representation depicts what happens to the youth that are and aren't convicted from crimes using assumed amounts. It also depicts the youth that transform from juvenile detention and community development programs, and those that recommit crime using assumed numbers. 

The investment in community development programs includes sporting clubs, developing interpersonal relationships and teaching trade-skills.

The two sliders, 'Police' and 'Investment in Community Development Programs', allow their respective impacts on the youth population in Bourke to be observed.

Assumptions
  • The youth population in Bourke is 1000
  • The maximum number of police in Bourke is 60
  • The maximum amount of investment in community development programs is $100 000
  • 1/3 of the youth that commit crime do not get convicted
  • Out of the youth that participate in the community development programs, 5/6 transform and 1/6 regress to commit crimes again
  • Out of the youth that go to juvenile detention, 70% recommit crime and only 30% transform

Suggested Settings with assumptions
  • The 'Police' variable is set at 30 because this is the assumed average amount of officers at any time of the day in Bourke
  • The 'Investment in Community Development Programs' variable is set at $10 000 because this is the assumed amount of money that is already invested into the programs