Clone of Group 7 The Bhutan Model: Net-Negative Emissions in Action

Bob Bailey
This model showcases Bhutan’s exceptional ability to remain carbon-negative, driven by sustainable practices like hydropower reliance and forest preservation. It provides a dynamic view of how emissions and removals interact to sustain Bhutan’s net-negative carbon status and offers insights into replicable strategies for global climate action.

Assumptions
  1. Deforestation: Assumes that deforestation increases at a constant rate annually, reducing forest land mass and carbon sequestration capacity over time.
  2. Population Growth: Uses a triangular distribution to simulate population growth rates, bounded by historical minimum, peak, and maximum values, to reflect realistic demographic trends.
  3. CO₂e Metrics: Uses 100-year global warming potential (GWP) to convert non-CO₂ greenhouse gases into CO₂ equivalents, consistent with the model's timeframe.