Sarah Herring Assignment Three
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This model is looking at the youth in the town of Bourke, in NSW Australia. It has been designed to look at the impacts that the police force and community engagement can have on the youth in Bourke, specifically in relation to the crime rates within the town and what factors impact on this, including unemployment and drug and alcohol use.

 

Assumptions:

<!--[if !supportLists]-->-       <!--[endif]-->Total youth in Bourke = 25,000

<!--[if !supportLists]-->-       <!--[endif]-->Currently in Jail = 15,500

<!--[if !supportLists]-->-       <!--[endif]-->Currently in rehabilitation = 6,500

<!--[if !supportLists]-->-       <!--[endif]-->Youth who participate in a Community program and complete it = 75%

<!--[if !supportLists]-->-       <!--[endif]-->Youth with antisocial behaviour = 2,000

<!--[if !supportLists]-->-       <!--[endif]-->Youth with drug and alcohol problems = 6,500

<!--[if !supportLists]-->-       <!--[endif]-->Unemployment = 10,000

<!--[if !supportLists]-->-       <!--[endif]-->Youth placed into rehab due to drugs = 1,500

  

The youth in Bourke enter into a community program, and 75% of youth complete the program and return to the total youth. The 25% that do not complete become disengaged and wind up in jail. They complete a rehabilitation program and return to the community after 6 months. Youth with unemployment are impacted by drug and alcohol use and they are either detected by the police and placed into the rehabilitation program, or they are not detected and continue on a cycle of unemployment and drug and alcohol use.

 

The Government funding goes into the community programs and into the jail. The police force impacts on the disengaged youth entering into jail, the youth who become rehabilitated and detecting the drug and alcohol use of the youth.

 

There are two graphs in particular that are called out in this model. They are:

<!--[if !supportLists]-->1)   <!--[endif]-->Youth in Jail and Disengagement

<!--[if !supportLists]-->2)   <!--[endif]-->Youth in the Community Program and Youth Completing the Program

 

When looking at graph number one with the sliders on 100 Police Staff Members and $50,000 Government Funding you can see that the more youth that complete the program, the less youth there are in jail. We can identify that the completion of the program decreases the amount of youth in jail.

 

When these sliders are decreased to their lowest with 5 police staff members and $5,000 of government funding we see that the time it takes for the completion of community programs to be surpass the youth in jail occurs after 11 years as opposed to 7 years in the previous graph.

 

 The second graph identifies when the sliders are at their highest the delay and time it takes to engage the youth in the rehabilitation program vs. the youth in the community program, and that the youth entering into the programs and completing match up to one another. When the sliders are at there lowest the rehabilitation sits much lower at all times and the time taken to increase the amount of youth completing the program is substantially longer.

Overall this model stimulates the importance on not only the police force and government funding, but the two working alongside one another for optimum results for the youth in Bourke. 

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