This is a Complex System Model of the Town of Bourke, New South Wales, Australia. A complex model of the patterns, rates and variables of crime within Bourke.
The model shows the relationship between the stocks and the vaiarbales of crime in Bourke, such as:
Bourke Residents
Youth Alienation/Community Engagement
Drugs/Alcohol/Petty Crime
Juvenile Dentetion/Rehabilation
With these rates taken into account:
Access to Drugs and Alcohol
Conviction Rate
Police
Active/Follow ups
Assumptions
This Complex Systems Model is going to assume that the population of Bourke is 1000 people and is constant over the whole timeframe. This is due to the fact of an inability to create a changing population base throughout the time frame.
We will be also making the assumption that the variables stay at a constant rate thoughout the models timeframe, this includes:
Access to drugs and alcohol
Conviction Rate
Police
Active/Follow ups
We are also making the assumption that the individuals in Bourke can only be active in the varaibles and stocks provided, and these will account for the whole population.
Results
In this Complex Systems Model, results where quite obvious and as expected as it was clear situations such as:
Access to Drugs and Alcohol clearly effected the rate of Petty Crime
Active Follow Ups clearly effected the rate of Rehabilitation