Police Force has a negative relationship with
committed crime (criminals) and has a positive relationship with Juvenile Detention.
Community Investment has a negative relationship
with committed crime.
Family – Police relations is negatively related
to domestic violence rate, which has positive relationship with committed
crime.
Only the youth are law-breaking citizens (as
this model mainly focuses on this population).
Coefficients are chosen arbitrarily. We may need
more real data and research to determine the appropriate ones.
Constants:
It took six months for Community Investment
(which includes soccer team, trade-skills class and driving class) and Family –
Police Relations to work.
Juvenile detention length is also 6 months.
Things to note:
Youth in Bourke committed crime mainly because
of the influence from high domestic violence rate, low police force rate
(police investment), as well as low community investment rate. The figure was
used to calculate the number of youth committing crime is the average of these three
rates.
Those violent families were detected by the
Police Force, but then supervised by the responsible team, therefore reduce bad
effects on the youths who have been suffering from that and finally reduce the
likelihood of committing crimes.
Community Investment in forming soccer team,
trade-skills classes and driving classes moved a portion of returning criminals
(the ones not got caught) to community engagement, therefore reduce the chances
of committing crimes of these individuals.
Maximizing the Police Force rate is probably the
best way to reduce crime in short-term, but not likely in long-term because
detention facilities cost much of the budget and it is not going to benefit the
community. Since it is assumed that the total budget for justice reinvestment
campaign in Burke is 50 units, an initial setting of 10, 25 and 15 units for
Police Force, Community Investment and Family-Police Relations respectively is recommended.