Clone of SARS-CoV-19 model
SARS-CoV-19 spread in different countries
- please adjust variables accordingly
Italy
- elderly population (>65): 0.228
- estimated undetected cases factor: 4-11
- starting population size: 60 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.32 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.04 (statista)
Germany
- elderly population (>65): 0.195 (bpb)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 2-3 (deutschlandfunk)
- starting population size: 83 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.26 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.2-0.28 (herzstiftung)
France
- elderly population (>65): 0.183 (statista)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 3-5
- starting population size: 65 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.3 (fondation-recherche-cardio-vasculaire)
- heart disease: 0.1-0.2 (oecd)
As you wish
- numbers of encounters/day: 1 = quarantine, 2-3 = practicing social distancing, 4-6 = heavy social life, 7-9 = not caring at all
- practicing preventive measures (ie. washing hands regularly, not touching your face etc.): 0.1 (nobody does anything) - 1 (very strictly)
- government elucidation: 0.1 (very bad) - 1 (highly transparent and educating)
- Immunity rate (due to lacking data): 0 (you can't get immune) - 1 (once you had it you'll never get it again)
Key
- Healthy: People are not infected with SARS-CoV-19 but could still get it
- Infected: People have been infected and developed the disease COVID-19
- Recovered: People just have recovered from COVID-19 and can't get it again in this stage
- Dead: People died because of COVID-19
- Immune: People got immune and can't get the disease again
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