Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.

Health Care Infection Ebola

Health Care Cybersecurity Culture Business Alignment

Suicide Prevention   Initial version  revised according to Mark heffernan's ithink  model May 2016 and a person centred view added see also version 3

Health Care Mental Health Suicide Behavior COM-B

Diabetes Mellitus Type II diakibatkan oleh tingginya kadar glukosa darah melebihi kadar normal. Hal ini dipengaruhi oleh konsumsi makanan tinggi gula berlebihan, kurangnya aktivitas fisik, serta yang sangat menentukan adalah hormon insulin yang diproduksi oleh pankreas dan berperan dalam pembakaran glukosa untuk menjadi energi.

Disease Health Diabetes Health Care

Launchpad WIP for Behavioral modeling

Health Care Behavior

Nurse workforce ageing chain showing effects of parenting, quits and enrollments on nurse numbers by age and average age.

Health Care Workforce Nursing

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

Disease Health Care Health

Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus 

Health Care Infection Epidemics Coronavirus COVID-19

Adapted from Fig 5.1 p.186 of the Book: James A. Forte ( 2007), Human Behavior and The Social Environment: Models, Metaphors and Maps for Applying Theoretical Perspectives to Practice  Thomson Brooks/Cole Belmont ISBN 0-495-00659-9

Health Care Social

From Walrave ISDC2014 paper Counteracting the success trap in publically owned corporations

Health Care Organization Decision Making Capability Management Performance Panarchy Culture Economics

WIP based on Raafat Zaini's 2015 Triple Helix article and PhD Colloquium and ISDC 2013  university growth paper ithink models as a starting point for health care systems science modelling growth dynamics

Education University Health Care Capability Performance Workforce Organization

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

Disease Health Care Health

Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus 

Health Care Infection Epidemics Coronavirus COVID-19

This is a first attempt at identifying the actors that may need to be involved in the development of the model - at one stage or other.

Health Care Healthcare Stakeholder

Based on Psychological Medicine Dec 2015 article Depression as a systemic syndrome: mapping the feedback loops of major depressive disorder by A. K. Wittenborn, H. Rahmandad, J. Rick and N. Hosseinichimeh, mentioned here. See also 2018 N. Hosseinichimeh Plos ONE article for rumination focussed SD simulation

Health Care The Body And Self Behavior Depression Stress Emotion Ability Psychiatry Mental Health PCT

Covid graphing and a rough estimate for what numbers will look like of november 23, 2021.

Health Care

Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9. Compare with the SI infectious disease model Insight 584.

Health Care Technology Diffusion

Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus 

Health Care Infection Epidemics Coronavirus COVID-19

An adaptation of the URBAN1 Model from Navid Ghaffarzadegan, John Lyneis and George P Richardson's How small system dynamics models can help the public policy process. System Dynamics Review 27: 22-44 (2011) Conference version at http://bit.ly/HlxtZj  and LA Alfeld and AK Graham's Introduction to Urban Dynamics 1974 p 195.

An element of Perspectives: The Foundation of Understanding and Insights for Effective Action. Register at http://www.systemswiki.org/

Health Care Policy Regional Urban Forrester

Rich picture, Based on Lyneis JM and Ford DN System Dynamics Applied to Project Management Syst. Dyn. Rev. 23, 157-189 (2007)

Health Care

An exploration of interactions among 'fuzzy' qualitative concepts that interact to produce either tolerance or violent conflict. ​Z509 p43-49 System Zoo 3 by Hartmut Bossel.

Health Care Social Psychology System Zoo Self Emotion Violence

Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9. Compare with the SI infectious disease model Insight 584.

Health Care Technology Diffusion

Health Care Cybersecurity Culture Business Alignment

Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9. Compare with the SI infectious disease model Insight 584.

Health Care Technology Diffusion