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Simulation d'un MRU d'un corps qui avance avec une régulation de vitesse réaliste.
serie 08a ex4 Une regulation de vitesse plus realiste V1
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Attempts to model in the social dynamics of  Pavilion host aquisition
Pavilion Model
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WIP integration of dynamic and complexity insights using rubik's cube metaphor from Pop Health Book insight folders,  and others linked in notes
Beyond connecting the dots
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This simulation allows you to compare different approaches to influence flow, the Flow Times and the throughput of a work process. The simulation is described in the blog post "Starting late - The Superior Scheduling Approach - How, despite being identical, one company delivers almost 10 times the value of its competitor using flow-oriented project initiation."

By adjusting the slider below you can observe the work process 
  • without any work in process limitations (WIP Limits), 
  • with process step specific WIP Limits* (work state WIP limits), 
  • with Kanban Token and Replenishment Token based on the Tameflow approach (a form of drum-buffer-rope) 
  • with Drum Buffer Rope** scheduling method. 
* Well know in (agile) Kanban
** Known in the physical world of factory production

The simulation and the comparison between the different scheduling approaches can be seen here -> https://youtu.be/xXvdVkxeMMQ

The "Tameflow approach" using Kanban Token and Replenishment Token as well as the Drum Buffer Rope method take the Constraint (the weakest link of the work process) into consideration when pulling in new work items into the delivery "system". 

Feel free to play around and recognize the different effects of work scheduling methods. 

If you have questions or feedback get in touch via twitter @swilluda

The work flow itself
Look at the simulation as if you would look on a kanban board. 

The simulation mimics a "typical" feature delivery process on portfolio level. 

From left to right you find the following ten process steps. 
  1. Ideas
  2. Selected ideas (waiting)
  3. Initiate and pitch
  4. Waiting for preparation
  5. Prepare
  6. Waiting for delivery
  7. Deliver
  8. Waiting for closure
  9. Close and communicate
  10. Closed
[Published] Simulation Starting late  -  The Superior Scheduling Approach (simplified version)
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Simulate an impact of an asteroid of any Diameter at any given Speed!
Asteroid impact simulator
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based on Kolb 2005 article and 1984 publication on Experiential Learning and Pepper World Hypotheses via John Barton. See also The Art of the State IM  and Social Relations Worldviews IM  and The Educated Mind IM
The Structure of Learning and Knowledge
11 months ago
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Causal Loop and Summary of Klein and Kahneman's American Psychologist 2009 article  with 2024 Gigerenzer The Rationality Wars article update, assisted by my Gemini interaction April2026 using Gene Bellinger's AI prompts
Intuitive Expertise
5 months ago
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Realistic_WolvesMoose
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This model illustrates predator prey interactions using real-life data of wolf and moose populations on the Isle Royale.

Experiment with adjusting the initial number of moose and wolves on the island.
A More Realistic Model of Isle Royale: Predator Prey Interactions
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This model illustrates predator prey interactions using real-life data of wolf and moose populations on the Isle Royale.

Experiment with adjusting the initial number of moose and wolves on the island.
Parker Realistic Isle Royale: Predator Prey Interactions
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An overview of Thomas A Goudge's Book on The Thought of CS Peirce Dover NY 1950 and Thomas Knight's Book Charles Peirce NY 1965. See also causality insight

The Thought of CS Peirce
12 months ago
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A combination of qualitative and quantitative methods for implementing a systems approach, including virtual intervention experiments using computer simulation models. See also Complex Decision Technologies IM
Interventions and leverage points added in IM-1400 (complex!) 
Systems Methods
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Clone of Streamer Social Media Virality
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Attempts to model in the social dynamics of returning players
Streamer Social Media Virality 7 w Player loop
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This model illustrates predator prey interactions using real-life data of wolf and moose populations on the Isle Royale.

Experiment with adjusting the initial number of moose and wolves on the island.
Day 22: More Realistic Model of Isle Royale: Predator Prey Interactions
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There has been an ongoing effort to find a means of making systems thinking accessible and readily adopted by others not familiar with systems thinking. One line of thinking places a good deal of the blame on systems thinkers themselves, the problem is that they have not found a good enough method of explaining it and its benefits yet. 

Another possibility though is the extent to which those who are to be helped feel besieged by the situation in which they find themselves making them extremely wary about trying something new. 

This model is not realistic, at least it is hoped that there isn't anyplace where things are this bad. Different communities will be better or worse off in different categories and some will be succeeding in all areas. Those are the communities we need to learn from.

More explanation can be found under the information icons associated with each of the elements.
Complexity, Corruption and False Complacency assailing our Communities
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Final Group Formula 1 Model
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MAST 610_Homework 1: More Realistic Covid Model
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Spring, 2020: in the midst of on-line courses, due to the pandemic of Covid-19.

With the onset of the Covid-19 coronavirus crisis, we focus on SIRD models, which might realistically model the course of the disease.

We start with an SIR model, such as that featured in the MAA model featured in
https://www.maa.org/press/periodicals/loci/joma/the-sir-model-for-spread-of-disease-the-differential-equation-model

Without mortality, with time measured in days, with infection rate 1/2, recovery rate 1/3, and initial infectious population I_0=1.27x10-4, we reproduce their figure

With a death rate of .005 (one two-hundredth of the infected per day), an infectivity rate of 0.5, and a recovery rate of .145 or so (takes about a week to recover), we get some pretty significant losses -- about 3.2% of the total population.

Resources:
  1. http://www.nku.edu/~longa/classes/2020spring/mat375/mathematica/SIRModel-MAA.nb
  2. https://www.maa.org/press/periodicals/loci/joma/the-sir-model-for-spread-of-disease-the-differential-equation-model
Coronavirus: A Simple SIR (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered) with death
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Clone of IM-806 modified to integrate AnyLogic Real world, Model World with Van de Ven Engaged Scholarship and Land Use Modelling approaches. See also Complex Decision Technologies IM

Real World and Model World
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Summary of the History of Pragmatism mostly based on Cheryl Misak's Books and reviews   See also Insight Peircean Truth and the end of Inquiry
Pragmatism
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Modified from Sterman (2006) article and Gene Bellinger's Assumptions IM-351 by Dr Rosemarie Sadsad UNSW See also Complex Decision Technologies IM and IM-63975

Virtual Experiments
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This is a clone of "Fast Fashion ISCI 360 Solutions Final submission" created by user "V B" which we are using as the foundation for an exercise in the DTU course 12100 "Quantitative sustainability".

The model takes into account clothing production and textile waste on a global scale while incorporating Vancouver's own "Fast Fashion" issue into the model.

Please refer to the notes for each variable and stock to see which links were hidden from the model.

Part 2: Our solution for the issue surrounding "Fast Fashion" focuses on increasing individuals education about sustainability and how they can help reduce negative impacts on the environment by shopping less, recycling and donating. This effect of education on sustainability is seen in the "Online Shopping" equation where the impact of "Education on Sustainability" is increased by x1.5 which impacts the entire model. Furthermore, components of the feedback loop on the right are also influenced by increasing education on sustainability and thus, those values were altered accordingly. These values were chosen arbitrarily by taking into account that doubling any value is not realistic so the change should be between x1.0 and x2.0.
Clone of Fast Fashion ISCI 360 Solutions Final Edit
732 6 months ago
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Improvement Science as one of the clusters of interacting methods for improving health services network design and delivery using complex decision technologies IM-17952
Improvement Science