Insight diagram
Attempts to model in the social dynamics of  Pavilion host aquisition
Pavilion Model
10 months ago
Insight diagram

Clone of IM-806 modified to integrate AnyLogic Real world, Model World with Van de Ven Engaged Scholarship and Land Use Modelling approaches. See also Complex Decision Technologies IM

Real World and Model World
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Realistic Teaching Tool
Insight diagram
This model tries to show the effect of car-sharing (CS) and its possible effect on reducing CO2 emission over a time period of 20 years. The main target of car-sharing is to reduce individual car ownership and the total number of cars on. In addition to that, with more fuel-efficient cars and the increased use of electric cars it could be an effective tool to reduce CO2 emissions.

We assumed that the total travel demand (yearly driven passenger units) shifts from private car ownership to CS services over a time of 20 years [1]. The possibility of buying a private car and a CS car is calculated by dividing the travel demand and the maximal travel demand possible, multiplied by the number of families without a private car respectively with the number of CS families. Private cars will abrade increasing the number of families without a car. However, in our model they will decide to join CS thereby increasing the number of CS families. By this the number of private cars will decrease while number of CS cars will increase. Gasoline CS cars will change over time into electric CS cars with a benefit for the CO2 emission due to lower lifecycle emission. Since CS cars are utilized more, they will abrade faster. However, this will overall result in more fuel efficient cars with another benefit for CO2 emissions.

Private Autos(100.000) Familien ohne private Autos(20.000) CS Familien(1.000) CS Autos - Benzin( 5.000) Bedarf private Autos(1.920.000.000 yearly passanger distance) Umstiegsrate(0.25) Kraftstoffeffizienz(0.15) CO2 emission of gasoline car(24 t CO2) [2] CO2 emission of electric car(19 t CO2)[2]

Thing to try (with influence on CO2 emission of CS cars):
Change the exchange-rate with which CS cars with gasoline motor are exchanged by electric motor  Change the fuel-efficiency of CS cars Both will influence the reduction of CO2 emission by CS cars

Extending the model:Demand for public transportation Would create a more realistic model since there are not only the options of having a private car or using CS.Public transportation could help reduce overall CO2 emissions.

Credits and references:
Cornelius Frank & Ameur GlouiaDepartment of Bioengineering SciencesWeihenstephan-Triesdorf University of Applied Science85354 Freising, Germanycornelius.frank@student.hswt.de / ameur.glouia@student.hswt.de

[1] Kawaguchi, T. (2019). Scenario Analysis of Car- and Ride-Sharing Services Based on Life Cycle Simulation. Procedia CIRP. 80: 328-333
[2] Low Carbon Vehicle Partnership. (2015). Lifecycle emissions from cars.


Effect of Car-sharing on CO2 Emission - Projectwork Dyn. Sim. SS19 HSWT - CorneliusFrankAmeurGlouia v2.0
Insight diagram
Realistic Teaching Tool
Insight diagram
Realistic teaching tool
Insight diagram
Improvement Science as one of the clusters of interacting methods for improving health services network design and delivery using complex decision technologies IM-17952
Improvement Science
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An overview of Thomas A Goudge's Book on The Thought of CS Peirce Dover NY 1950 and Thomas Knight's Book Charles Peirce NY 1965. See also causality insight

The Thought of CS Peirce
5 months ago
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Realistic Teaching Tool 1
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Class 2 Exercise - Realistic Teaching Tool
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This simulation allows you to compare different approaches to influence flow, the Flow Times and the throughput of a work process. The simulation is described in the blog post "Starting late - The Superior Scheduling Approach - How, despite being identical, one company delivers almost 10 times the value of its competitor using flow-oriented project initiation."

By adjusting the slider below you can observe the work process 
  • without any work in process limitations (WIP Limits), 
  • with process step specific WIP Limits* (work state WIP limits), 
  • with Kanban Token and Replenishment Token based on the Tameflow approach (a form of drum-buffer-rope) 
  • with Drum Buffer Rope** scheduling method. 
* Well know in (agile) Kanban
** Known in the physical world of factory production

The simulation and the comparison between the different scheduling approaches can be seen here -> https://youtu.be/xXvdVkxeMMQ

The "Tameflow approach" using Kanban Token and Replenishment Token as well as the Drum Buffer Rope method take the Constraint (the weakest link of the work process) into consideration when pulling in new work items into the delivery "system". 

Feel free to play around and recognize the different effects of work scheduling methods. 

If you have questions or feedback get in touch via twitter @swilluda

The work flow itself
Look at the simulation as if you would look on a kanban board

The simulation mimics a "typical" feature delivery process on portfolio level. 

From left to right you find the following ten process steps. 
  1. Ideas
  2. Selected ideas (waiting)
  3. Initiate and pitch
  4. Waiting for preparation
  5. Prepare
  6. Waiting for delivery
  7. Deliver
  8. Waiting for closure
  9. Close and communicate
  10. Closed
[Published] Simulation Starting late  -  The Superior Scheduling Approach (simplified version)
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2f. [thought question] Is it possible for r maxrmax to be positive and yet for the total regional abundance to exhibit a persistent declining trend? Explain your reasoning, using at least one biologically realistic example. You can use the agent-based metapopulation model in InsightMaker to help test your ideas, but this is not required.
NRES 470 Lab 6, 2b
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PlayCast Analytics
11 months ago
Insight diagram
Summary mostly of Cheryl Misak's 2004 Book Truth and the End of Inquiry: A Peircean Account of Truth
See also broader history of Pragmatism insight, mostly  from Cheryl Misak's other works and reviews

Peirce Truth and the End of Inquiry
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This model illustrates predator prey interactions using real-life data of wolf and moose populations on the Isle Royale.

Experiment with adjusting the initial number of moose and wolves on the island.
A More Realistic Model of Isle Royale: Predator Prey Interactions
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Realistic Teaching Tool
Insight diagram
This model illustrates predator prey interactions using real-life data of wolf and moose populations on the Isle Royale.

Experiment with adjusting the initial number of moose and wolves on the island.
Parker Realistic Isle Royale: Predator Prey Interactions
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My model more realistic
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Test model to decribe weight loss by reduced calorie intake through 5:2 fasting

Test model 5:2 fast PJK
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moose model
Realistic Moose Model
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Realistic teaching tools 1/27/20
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realistic Teaching Tool
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From Werner Ulrich's JORS Articles Operational research and critical systems thinking – an integrated perspective. Part 1: OR as applied systems thinking. Journal of the Operational Research Society advance online publication (14 December 2011). and Part 2 :OR as argumentative practice.

See also insight on Boundary Critique

Critical Systems Thinking
3 12 months ago
Insight diagram
FuturePulse V2