This model highlights the interdependent relationship between:
- Police funding
- Community Development
- Youth Alienation
And the impact they have on youth engagement levels over time in the NSW town of Bourke.
The model assumes the youth population of bourke to be 1000 people.
-Community Group effect is delayed by 3 months, aligning the model to seasonality to account for the large impact seasonal sport has on rural community.
- 20% of youth will disengage with the community after realising the development funding doesn't align to their interests.
- 80% of disengaged youth will be at risk of committing a crime.
- 19% of youth arrested will have their charges dropped
- 81% will have a conviction recorded
- 21% of detained youth will be rehabilitated in line with the NSW average.
- 79% of detained youth will re-offend in line with the NSW average.
- Police Force Funding can be adjusted upward or downward to simulate the effect on engagement, disengagement and crime levels.
- Community Development Funding can be adjusted to simulate the positive effect developing programs and opportunity for youth in Bourke may have on their engagement in society and the overall crime rate amongst their cohort.
- Youth Alienation slider allows the rate of youth alienation (Exposure to violence, drugs, alcohol. Lack of training, education and opportunity), to be slowed and speed up to simulate the impact it has on engagement and crime levels.