Insight diagram
This is an example of the balancing loop described by Dennis Sherwood on page 103 of his book, Seeing the Forest for the Trees - a Manager's Guide to Applying Systems Thinking.
Coffee cup example from 'Seeing the forest for the trees' by Dennis Sherwood
Insight diagram
Modelling after Earth, this is a model of the greenhouse effect has in increasing the temperature. By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can is itself a positive feedback loop.
Influence of Surface Temperature on Albedo and Greenhouse Effect
Insight diagram
This is a simulation of exponential growth as set out by Dennis Sherwood in his book, Seeing the Forest for the Trees: A manager's guide to applying systems thinking.  The story of the frogs is this:

A colony of frogs is living happily on one side of a large pond.  At the other side of the pond is a lily pad.  One day, a chemical pollutant flows into the pond, which has the effect of stimulating the growth of the lily pad so that it doubles every 24 hours.  This is a problem for the frogs, for if the lily pad were to cover the pond entirely, the frog colony would be wiped out.

•Q1: how would you describe the growth of the lily pad?
•Q2: if the lily-pad can cover the entire pond in 50 days, on what day is the pond half covered?
•Q3: The frogs have a method of stopping the growth of the lily-pad, but it takes them 10 days to put their method into effect.  What proportion of the pond is covered at the latest possible time the frogs can take action to save themselves?

The story of the frogs
Insight diagram
This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.
Aquaworld Revised - Surface Albedo, GHG and Temperature
Insight diagram

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

2014 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility - The World3+ Model: Forecaster
Insight diagram
1D harmful algal bloom model for Alexandrium based on population dynamics for the the Gulf of Maine described in McGillicuddy, Anderson et al. (2005) and model by Stock, McGillicuddy et al. (2005).

References:

McGillicuddy DJ, Anderson DM, Lynch DR, Townsend, DW 2005. Mechanisms regulating large-scale seasonal fluctuations in Alexandrium fundyense populations in the Gulf of Maine: Results from a physical–biological model. Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography, 52(19), 2698-2714.


Stock CA, McGillicuddy DJ, Solow AR, Anderson DA, 2005, Evaluating hypotheses for the initiation and development of Alexandrium  fundyense blooms in the western Gulf of Maine using a coupled physical-biological model. Deep-Sea Research II: Topical Studies in Oceanography, 52(19):2715-2744.

Alexandrium Cyst Model - Gulf of Maine (Dennis)
Insight diagram
A very simple thermodynamic model of a planet, based on first order approximations of its (black body) radiation balance.
AcquaWorld
Insight diagram
Clone of: 
'Sucesion Forestal' (by Denny S. Fernandez del Viso) for subtropical forest, which in turn is a modification of 'Modeling forest succession in a northeast deciduous forest' (by Owen Stuart).
Translated to English (by Lisa Belyea)
Subtropical forest succession
3 4 months ago
Insight diagram
The World Socio-Economics model is computer model to simulate the consequence of interactions between the earth and human systems based on the World3 model by the work of Club of Rome, The Limits to Growth[1].

The World3 model builds by system dynamics theory that is has an approach to understanding the nonlinear behaviour of complex systems over time using stocks, flows, feedback loops, table functions and time delays.

The Limits to Growth concludes that, without substantial changes in resource consumption, "the most probable result will be a rather sudden and uncontrollable decline in both population and industrial capacity". 

Since the World3 model was originally created, it has had minor tweaks to get to the World3-91 model used in the book Beyond the Limits[2], later improved to get the World3-03 model used in the book Limits to Growth: the 30 year update[3].

References;
[1] Meadows, Donella H., Meadows, Dennis L., Randers, Jørgen., Behrens III, William W (1972). The Limits to Growth. 

[2] Meadows, Donella H., Dennis L. Meadows, Randers, Jørgen., (1992). Beyond the limits: global collapse or a sustainable future.

[3] Meadows, Dennis., Randers, Jørgen., (2004). The limits to growth: the 30-year update.
World Socio-Economics model 2000-2100
47 9 months ago
Insight diagram
Image Bibliography;
First image -> Creator: Neil Bowdler
 Title: Life may have survived 'Snowball Earth' in ocean pockets
Source: http://ichef-1.bbci.co.uk/news/660/media/images/50427000/jpg/_50427800_snowball_earth-spl.jpg

Second image: Creator: ID 4266723 © Addict
        Title: Frozen Earth
Source: https://thumbs.dreamstime.com/x/frozen-earth-4266723.jpg

Third image: Creator: Sam Carana
   Title: Sea ice is shrinking
  Source: http://arctic-news.blogspot.ca/2016_11_01_archive.html
*This image was modified to fit my data

Fourth Image: Creator: License: Free (no creator)
      Title: Kitchen Knife
      Source: http://pngimg.com/download/1516
Fith Image: Creator: MrGear (youtuber)
   Title: EXPERIMENT Glowing 1000 degree KNIFE VS Samsung Galaxy S6 edge
      Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7a4eoz_DviU

Sixth Image: Creator: Wiki (site is in different language can't find author)
      Title: Datei: Carbon Dioxide 400kyr.png
Source: https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Datei:Carbon_Dioxide_400kyr.png

Seventh Image: Creator: Charles R. Anderson, Ph.D
  Title: What if the atmosphere had no greenhouse gases?
  Source: https://objectivistindividualist.blogspot.ca/2013/05/what-if-atmosphere-had-no-greenhouse.html

Eigth Image: Creator: Unsure, from Giphy
      Title: No title
       Source: http://giphy.com/gifs/breaking-melting-glacier-nl3XFL8eMnlUk

Clone of Aquaworld Radiation Balance
Insight diagram

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.


Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster
Insight diagram
World3
3 9 months ago
Insight diagram
This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.
Clone of Aquaworld Radiation Balance
Insight diagram
This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.

Step through the story at the bottom of this window.
Aquaworld Radiation Balance
142 11 months ago
Insight diagram
This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.
Nick's Clone of Aquaworld Radiation Balance
Insight diagram
Semestrální práce
Insight diagram
This is a model which attempts to replicate a simple reinforcing loop described by Dennis Sherwood on page 75-87 of his book 'Seeing the forest for the trees - a manager's guide to applying systems thinking.

This is not a realistic model but I just wanted to reproduce it as practice of implementing causal loop models.

www.stantonattree.com
Clone of Seeing the forest for the trees example
Insight diagram
Model vyvoje spolecnosti GPUminers
Mining
Insight diagram

THE 2017 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

THE MODEL IS ZONE SPECIFIC AS GLOBAL WEATHER IS NOT HOMOGENEOUS BUT A COLLECTION OF HEAT BUMBPS DEPENDENT ON POPULATION SIZE OF URBAN HEAT ISLANDS AND MASSED CONURBATIONS AND AGGLOMERATIONS 

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

2017 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility by Guy Lakeman - The World3+ Model: Forecaster
Insight diagram
This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.
Greenhouse effect_NM
Insight diagram

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster
Insight diagram
This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.
Clone of Clone of Aquaworld Radiation Balance
Insight diagram
Questo modello di bilancio delle radiazioni emesse e assorbite mostra l'effetto serra che l'atmosfera può avere nel riscaldamento di un pianeta simile alla terra. Trattenendo parte della radiazione emessa dal pianeta, l'atmosfera può far sì che la superficie diventi più calda di quanto non sarebbe altrimenti.

Passate attraverso la storia in fondo a questa finestra.
Effetto Serra
4 11 months ago