Inference Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “Inference”.

A model of the ladder of inference which shows how we short circuit reality based on the assumptions and beliefs we develop  IM-351 . Combined with the cyclical scientific process described by Gary An.
Behavior Health Care Inference Decision Making Methods

A model of the ladder of inference which shows how we short circuit reality based on the assumptions and beliefs we develop IM-351. Combined with the cyclical scientific process described by Gary An.

Clone of Ladder of Inference and Cyclical Scientific Process
J B S
Examples of macroanalysis relevant to representing causal mechanisms linking genes to diseases from darden2018 MecCog article  and 2017 Product to Process  article
Inference Causation Clinical Care Biomedical Decision Making Mechanism Judgment
Examples of macroanalysis relevant to representing causal mechanisms linking genes to diseases from darden2018 MecCog article and 2017 Product to Process article
Mechanistic Reasoning from Genotype to Phenotype
Geoff McDonnell
Overview of Myers Briggs mental preferences based on Jim Rogers MBTI Manual and Gifts Differing Book. Compare with Thinking feeling acting and interacting representation of human behaviour based on BPSD (dementia) work by Victor Vickland, PCT, Sapience and Gary Smith
Decision Making Behavior Explanation Perception Judgment Inference Ability Personality PCT
Overview of Myers Briggs mental preferences based on Jim Rogers MBTI Manual and Gifts Differing Book. Compare with Thinking feeling acting and interacting representation of human behaviour based on BPSD (dementia) work by Victor Vickland, PCT, Sapience and Gary Smith
Clone of Psychological MBTI Types
Jeb Eddy
IM-1175 with computable arguments, based on ideas from Micropublications  paper  about Claims, Evidence, Representations and Context Networks
Methods Learning Health Care Inference Realist Reasoning

IM-1175 with computable arguments, based on ideas from Micropublications paper about Claims, Evidence, Representations and Context Networks

Toulmin's Argument Model and Micropublications
Geoff McDonnell
10 months ago
The cyclical scientific process described by Gary An.
Science Health Care Methods Decision Making Inference

The cyclical scientific process described by Gary An.

Cyclical Scientific Process
Geoff McDonnell
Gavan Lintern's Decision Ladder of Cognitive states and processes associated with the Ladder of Inference  IM-351  
Health Care Decision Making Inference Methods

Gavan Lintern's Decision Ladder of Cognitive states and processes associated with the Ladder of Inference IM-351 

Clone of Decision Ladder
Mohammed Azeez
WIP based on Nate Osgood's Motivation for Dynamic Simulation Models in System Science Lecture see  Youtube video  at 20:34
Motivation Methods Causation Systems Science Health Care Intervention Inference Complexity
WIP based on Nate Osgood's Motivation for Dynamic Simulation Models in System Science Lecture see Youtube video at 20:34
Explaining and Intervening in Complex Systems
Geoff McDonnell
3
WIP Summary of recent IEEE Computer graphics article  (abstract)  which could be applied to almost any chronic persistent health or social problem
Causation Complexity Foundations Theory Methods Simulation Visualization Realist Systems Science Computation Inference Understanding
WIP Summary of recent IEEE Computer graphics article (abstract) which could be applied to almost any chronic persistent health or social problem
Clone of Building useful theory on solid foundations
sub cribed
Inference Robustness Assessment entails demonstrating that the ways a model differs from the real world do not affect model based inferences. From Jim Koopman's work on Infection Transmission Science esp  Biological Networks Book  Ch 13 p 453-4 and this accessible  paper  pdf
Causation Methods Inference Realist
Inference Robustness Assessment entails demonstrating that the ways a model differs from the real world do not affect model based inferences. From Jim Koopman's work on Infection Transmission Science esp Biological Networks Book Ch 13 p 453-4 and this accessible paper pdf
Inference Robustness Assessment
Geoff McDonnell
Modified from Sterman (2006) article and Gene Bellinger's Assumptions IM-351  by Dr Rosemarie Sadsad UNSW See also  Complex Decision Technologies IM  and  IM-63975
Inference Health Care Decision Making Methods Virtual Experiment Realist

Modified from Sterman (2006) article and Gene Bellinger's Assumptions IM-351 by Dr Rosemarie Sadsad UNSW See also Complex Decision Technologies IM and IM-63975

Virtual Experiments
Geoff McDonnell
3 9 months ago
A model of the ladder of inference which shows how we short circuit reality based on the assumptions and beliefs we develop  IM-351 . Combined with the cyclical scientific process described by Gary An.
Inference Health Care Methods Behavior Decision Making

A model of the ladder of inference which shows how we short circuit reality based on the assumptions and beliefs we develop IM-351. Combined with the cyclical scientific process described by Gary An.

Clone of Ladder of Inference and Cyclical Scientific Process
sub cribed
Summary of 2017 IEEE Computer graphics article  (abstract)  which could be applied to almost any chronic persistent health or social problem
Complexity Methods Theory Foundations Causation Understanding Simulation Inference Visualization Realist Systems Science Computation
Summary of 2017 IEEE Computer graphics article (abstract) which could be applied to almost any chronic persistent health or social problem
Building useful theory on solid foundations
Geoff McDonnell
last month
GHH: Generalism, Holism Holarchism WIP R. Willamo et al. / Ecological Modelling 370 (2018) 1–13  article  (paywalled) and open access version Learning how to understand complexity and deal with sustainability challenges – A framework for a comprehensive approach and its application in university e
Course Complexity Synthesis Holon Thinking Methods Sustainability Explanation Qualitative Systems Science Inference
GHH: Generalism, Holism Holarchism WIP R. Willamo et al. / Ecological Modelling 370 (2018) 1–13 article (paywalled) and open access version Learning how to understand complexity and deal with sustainability challenges – A framework for a comprehensive approach and its application in university education
Comprehensive thinking GHH framework
Geoff McDonnell
last month
Gavan Lintern's Decision Ladder of Cognitive states and processes associated with the Ladder of Inference  IM-351  
Methods Decision Making Inference Health Care

Gavan Lintern's Decision Ladder of Cognitive states and processes associated with the Ladder of Inference IM-351 

Clone of Decision Ladder
Carl Gomersall
Hoffman and Klein IEEE Intelligent systems 2017-18 series of articles on decision making and computing, including macrocognition 1  theoretical foundations  abstract 2  empirical foundations  abstract 3  causal landscape s abstract 4  deep n ets abstract  See also 2018 Gary Klein  podcast  and 
Cognition Concept Methods Decision Making Inference Peirce Data Science Causation Causal Reasoning Realist
Hoffman and Klein IEEE Intelligent systems 2017-18 series of articles on decision making and computing, including macrocognition
3 causal landscapes abstract
4 deep nets abstract 
See also 2018 Gary Klein podcast and IM-171552
Clone of Explaining Explanation
sub cribed
WIP Summary of Klein and Kahneman's American Psychologist 2009 article 
Explanation Klein Kahneman Inference Inquiry Macrocognition Rationality
WIP Summary of Klein and Kahneman's American Psychologist 2009 article 
Intuitive Expertise
Geoff McDonnell
WIP Summary of Runge2019 nature communications  article  based on time series in the earth sciences
Causation Inference CCM Methods
WIP Summary of Runge2019 nature communications article based on time series in the earth sciences
Causal Inference Methods
Geoff McDonnell
WIp summary of David Lester's 2024 Suicide Studies article including Mishara's 1996 Dynamic Developmental Model of Suicide simulation
Suicide Mental Health Behavior Health Care Inference Clinical
WIp summary of David Lester's 2024 Suicide Studies article including Mishara's 1996 Dynamic Developmental Model of Suicide simulation
Toward a new theory of Suicide
Geoff McDonnell
10 months ago
WIP Summary on Charles Sanders Peirce's ideas and influences on Pragmatism based on Ch 1 to 6 of Cornelis de Waal's 2021 book Introducing Pragmatism
Pragmatism Philosophy Peirce Inference Inquiry de Waal
WIP Summary on Charles Sanders Peirce's ideas and influences on Pragmatism based on Ch 1 to 6 of Cornelis de Waal's 2021 book Introducing Pragmatism
Introducing Pragmatism CS Peirce
Geoff McDonnell
last week