THE SIMULATION OF COMMUNITY AND POLICE EFFECT ON YOUNG PEOPLE LIFESTYLE AT BOURKE TOWN – FOCUSING ON PEOPLE WITH NEGATIVE LIFESTYLE TO REDUCE THE CRIME CRATE
Model explanation:
This model is to simulate the impact of community development and police enforcement on two contradict lifestyles of Bourke young population - Focusing on people with negative lifestyle to reduce the crime crate.
Also illustrate the effect of community engagement and Police expenditure on young crime in town.
Bourke town is a local government area of New South Wales facing with complex social issues with high rate of crime.
Young people from 15-24 years’ old
Young people with positive lifestyle: employed, well-educated, financial independent, sport players, involved on community events
Young people with negative lifestyle: unemployed, expelled from school, drug users/dealers, alcoholic, not involved in community program. This is the focal point of the model on how the community and police enforcement need to be strongly involved to mitigate the crime in town.
Assumptions: (2019)
Dependent variable A: Bourke young population: 1000
Independent variable A: * Community development: from 1 to 10
* Police enforcement: from 1 to 20
Dependent variable B: Young people with negative lifestyle
Independent variable A: * Community engagement expenditure: from 0 to 1
* Police expenditure: from 0 to 1
Bourke young population with NEGATIVE lifestyle:
The higher rate of Community engagement expenditure and Police expenditure will reduce the number of crime rate.
OUTCOME:
1) The effect of Community development and Police enforcement will determine the Bourke young people lifestyle as majority of them is positive or negative.
If the total of [Community development + Police enforcement] is 3% covering for the total Bourke young population and above, then:
* 70% of Bourke young population is leading a POSITIVE lifestyle
* 30% of Bourke young population is leading a NEGATIVE lifestyle
In contrast, these percentages will be in the reverse order.
2) The high involment rate of Community engagement expenditure with effective Community program will reduce the number of young people with negative lifestyle to Criminal Activities and vice versa.
2) The high involvement rate of Police expenditure with effective Police Intervention will reduce the number of of young people with Criminal activities to Committed crime and vice versa.
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Student name : Nguyen Thi Nga
Student ID : 11653918
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