The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Environment Population Growth Demographics

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of (4, Assignment) Copy of "The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster"
Sonja Liedke
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Environment Demographics Population Growth

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of (4, Assignment) Copy of "The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster"
hannah nicklas
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Demographics Environment Population Growth

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of (4, Assignment) Copy of "The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster"
Nikola Schmidt
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Demographics Population Growth Environment

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of (4, Assignment) Copy of "The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster"
Solveig Lux
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Population Growth Environment Demographics

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of (4, Assignment) Copy of "The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster"
hannah nicklas
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Environment Population Growth Demographics

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

An element of Perspectives: The Foundation of Understanding and Insights for Effective Action. Register at http://www.systemswiki.org/

Clone of The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster
marco schopp
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Environment Demographics Population Growth

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of (4, Assignment) Copy of "The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster"
Klara Bohr
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Environment Demographics Population Growth

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of (4, Assignment) Copy of "The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster"
Julia Cammann
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.   Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing th
Demographics Environment Population Growth

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

 

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of My World3
Leopold
Simulation of MTBF with controls F(t) = 1 - e ^ -λt  Where   • F(t) is the probability of failure   • λ is the failure rate in 1/time unit (1/h, for example)  • t is the observed service life (h, for example) The inverse curve is the trust time On the right the increase in failures brings its
Chaos Environment Economics Strategy Failure Risk MTBF BIFURCATIONS Finance Growth Mathematics Population Demographics Science Physics Biology Navier Stokes Engineering Health TURBULENCE Fractals
Simulation of MTBF with controls

F(t) = 1 - e ^ -λt 
Where  
• F(t) is the probability of failure  
• λ is the failure rate in 1/time unit (1/h, for example) 
• t is the observed service life (h, for example)

The inverse curve is the trust time
On the right the increase in failures brings its inverse which is loss of trust and move into suspicion and lack of confidence.
This can be seen in strategic social applications with those who put economy before providing the priorities of the basic living infrastructures for all.

This applies to policies and strategic decisions as well as physical equipment.
A) Equipment wears out through friction and preventive maintenance can increase the useful lifetime, 
B) Policies/working practices/guidelines have to be updated to reflect changes in the external environment and eventually be replaced when for instance a population rises too large (constitutional changes are required to keep pace with evolution, e.g. the concepts of the ancient Greeks, 3000 years ago, who based their thoughts on a small population cannot be applied in 2013 except where populations can be contained into productive working communities with balanced profit and loss centers to ensure sustainability)

Early Life
If we follow the slope from the leftmost start to where it begins to flatten out this can be considered the first period. The first period is characterized by a decreasing failure rate. It is what occurs during the “early life” of a population of units. The weaker units fail leaving a population that is more rigorous.

Useful Life
The next period is the flat bottom portion of the graph. It is called the “useful life” period. Failures occur more in a random sequence during this time. It is difficult to predict which failure mode will occur, but the rate of failures is predictable. Notice the constant slope.  

Wearout
The third period begins at the point where the slope begins to increase and extends to the rightmost end of the graph. This is what happens when units become old and begin to fail at an increasing rate. It is called the “wearout” period. 
Clone of BATHTUB MEAN TIME BETWEEN FAILURE (MTBF) RISK
atif
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Environment Demographics Population Growth

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of (4, Assignment) Copy of "The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster"
DerTheo
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Population Growth Environment Demographics

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster
Naduni Obadage
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Population Growth Environment Demographics

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of Updated World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster
Aalia Kara
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Demographics Population Growth Environment

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a more environmentally focused policy.

Clone of The World3 Model: Classic World Simulation
meng
Simulation of MTBF with controls F(t) = 1 - e ^ -λt  Where   • F(t) is the probability of failure   • λ is the failure rate in 1/time unit (1/h, for example)  • t is the observed service life (h, for example) The inverse curve is the trust time On the right the increase in failures brings its
TURBULENCE Demographics Fractals Physics Science Failure BIFURCATIONS Strategy Growth Risk Economics Navier Stokes Finance Engineering Biology Chaos Mathematics Environment Health Population MTBF
Simulation of MTBF with controls

F(t) = 1 - e ^ -λt 
Where  
• F(t) is the probability of failure  
• λ is the failure rate in 1/time unit (1/h, for example) 
• t is the observed service life (h, for example)

The inverse curve is the trust time
On the right the increase in failures brings its inverse which is loss of trust and move into suspicion and lack of confidence.
This can be seen in strategic social applications with those who put economy before providing the priorities of the basic living infrastructures for all.

This applies to policies and strategic decisions as well as physical equipment.
A) Equipment wears out through friction and preventive maintenance can increase the useful lifetime, 
B) Policies/working practices/guidelines have to be updated to reflect changes in the external environment and eventually be replaced when for instance a population rises too large (constitutional changes are required to keep pace with evolution, e.g. the concepts of the ancient Greeks, 3000 years ago, who based their thoughts on a small population cannot be applied in 2013 except where populations can be contained into productive working communities with balanced profit and loss centers to ensure sustainability)

Early Life
If we follow the slope from the leftmost start to where it begins to flatten out this can be considered the first period. The first period is characterized by a decreasing failure rate. It is what occurs during the “early life” of a population of units. The weaker units fail leaving a population that is more rigorous.

Useful Life
The next period is the flat bottom portion of the graph. It is called the “useful life” period. Failures occur more in a random sequence during this time. It is difficult to predict which failure mode will occur, but the rate of failures is predictable. Notice the constant slope.  

Wearout
The third period begins at the point where the slope begins to increase and extends to the rightmost end of the graph. This is what happens when units become old and begin to fail at an increasing rate. It is called the “wearout” period. 
Clone of BATHTUB MEAN TIME BETWEEN FAILURE (MTBF) RISK
Ariel Ortiz Gomes
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST W
Population Growth Industrial Population Weather Urban Labor Jobs Land Climate Failure Resources Services Death Health Fertility Science Lifetime Environment Demographics Pollution Rural Regeneration Yield Ocean Sea Fish Plants Economics Strategy Engineering Technology Politics Mortality Animals

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of 2014 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility - The World3+ Model: Forecaster
T. Seemann
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Environment Demographics Population Growth

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of (4, Assignment) Copy of "The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster"
Alex
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Demographics Population Growth Environment

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of (4, Assignment) Copy of "The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster"
simonhein
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Demographics Environment Population Growth

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

An element of Perspectives: The Foundation of Understanding and Insights for Effective Action. Register at http://www.systemswiki.org/

Clone of Clone of Clone of The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster
Marilen Henning
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Population Growth Environment Demographics

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster
Alejandro Abellan
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Population Growth Demographics Environment

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of (4, Assignment) Copy of "The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster"
Janina Langner
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amo
Population Growth Demographics Environment

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.


Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster
TonyVan
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Demographics Population Growth Environment

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

An element of Perspectives: The Foundation of Understanding and Insights for Effective Action. Register at http://www.systemswiki.org/

Clone of Clone of Clone of The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster
Maraike Denien
This model represents the tradeoff between resource costs and performance benefits in implementing AI within an organization. It simulates how resource investments in terms of water and electricity (captured in the Total Resources stock) contribute to incremental improvements in operational effici
Artificial Intelligence AI Demographics Business Model
This model represents the tradeoff between resource costs and performance benefits in implementing AI within an organization. It simulates how resource investments in terms of water and electricity (captured in the Total Resources stock) contribute to incremental improvements in operational efficiency and effectiveness over time.

The overall goal of this insight maker model is to help stakeholders understand the tradeoffs involved in deploying AI by demonstrating how resource costs translate into tangible efficiency and effectiveness improvements, which in turn yield financial benefits. By comparing the cumulative resource consumption to the performance gains, decision-makers can evaluate whether the benefits justify the costs and make informed choices about scaling or adjusting AI-related resource usage.
Pasan. G - Module of AI Tradeoff: Model 7
Pasan Gunawardana
4 months ago