A very simple thermodynamic model of a planet, based on first order approximations of its (black body) radiation balance.

A very simple thermodynamic model of a planet, based on first order approximations of its (black body) radiation balance.

Market-led Sustainability is  a 'Fix-that-Fails' as is illustraited in this graph in a very simplified manner. Likely market-led initiatives would be investment in renewables, electric cars and the development of long-term battery storage as a back-up to renewable energy adn other initiatives. However, all of these make demands on the environmemt, requiring  resources, fossil fuels (solar cannot beused to built  solar) and will be accompanied by greenhouse gas emission. In the medium and long term  they will undermine the market-driven goal,  increasing  environmental and economic costs.  The whole enterprise will eventually fail.

Estresse Térmico

People, generally, do not seem to be conscious of, or care about, the enormous dangers of climate change and even the possibility of a devastating war in the Korean peninsula that could turn nuclear. They carry on with their routine and banal conversations as if that was all that mattered. In the 60s there were peace demonstration, there was more awareness and public engagement in the face of the thread of nuclear war. Could the pressures and demands of modern capitalism, now no longer tamed by a competing communist system that could potentially appear to be more attractive, be a causal factor? People caught up in the turmoil of a positive feedback loop rarely perceive reality beyond it. This simple CLD tries to illustrate the dynamic and feedback loops that could be responsible for this strange apathy and how our present day economic system could be blinding us to imminent danger.

Changes to V17: capacity retirement updated, fraction of Al in energy intensities endognously calculated; fC repair is now also limited by Al supply gap

This Insight is a model of Daisyworld created by James Lovelock in 1982 to demonstrate the central idea behind the Gaia hypotheses that life and the environment may be considered two parts of a coupled system.

DRAFT conceptual model of climate change connections in Yamuna river project.

DRAFT conceptual model of climate change connections in Yamuna river project.

Fajardo, Paul Gabriel E.

A model of the potential impact on the elderly population (75+ years) from heat stress, which is increased by climate change in the UK.

A very simple thermodynamic model of a planet, based on first order approximations of its (black bodies) radiation balance, and includes two radiation modulating effects i.e. albedo and green house as well as two heat stores (ocean and atmosphere). It is a lumped model which does not consider spatial variations and resulting mass transports - thus no heat exchange between e.g. equatorial and polar regions. As a consequence all values are surface specific i.e. per square meter. The radiation balance is in  W/m² and the heat reservoirs are in J/m² i.e. water and air columns with a cross section of 1 m².

DRAFT conceptual model of climate change connections in Yamuna river project.

The purpose of this deer management model is to explore the capacity of wildlife management actions to help us adapt to the effects of climate change.

DRAFT conceptual model of climate change connections in Yamuna river project.

The 3-machines energy transition model is a global system dynamics model based on energy balances,  and used to explore the energy frontiers for stabilizing the Earth's climate. The model comprises a hypothetical fossil engine, a solar engine including energy storage, and a carbon scrubber. These machines interact with Earth's carbon cycle and satisfy humanity’s energy demand. A detailed description can be accessed here: https://osf.io/fcwt8/