Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Real Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram

Goodwin cycle IM-2010 with debt and taxes added, modified from Steve Keen's illustration of Hyman Minsky's Financial Instability Hypothesis "stability begets instability". This can be extended by adding the Ponzi effect of borrowing for speculative investment.

Clone of Clone of Minsky Financial Instability Model
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram

THE 2017 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of 2017 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility by Guy Lakeman - The World3+ Model: Forecaster
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram

On the occasion of th G20-meeting in Toronto, the German Economics minister Herr Schaüble said that without restoring confidence it would not be possible to get consumer spending and business investment going. Similar remarks were made by David Cameron and Señor Zapatero of Spain. All maintain that confidence is a pre-requisite to get growth going and that, therefore, it was imperative to reduce fiscal deficits. Reducing the fiscal deficit will restore confidence at first. However, reducing the deficit very quickly will introduce a dynamic that may cause the economy to decline - and perhaps depress  consumers demand even further.  It will actually destroy confidence: few businesses are inclined to invest in a shrinking economy. Cutting the deficit too rapidly or too steeply can lead to a confidence trap.

NOTE: A big experiment is now taking place in the UK - the government has cut public spending severely! Will this lead to hardship and, perhaps, social unrest? 

Clone of Confidence Trap and Growth
Insight diagram
WIP Summary of MIchael Hudson's Book Killing the Host: How Financial Parasites and Debt destroy the Global Economy 
Killing the Host
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram
Based on the Market and Price simulation model in System Zoo 3. Used in the System Thinking section of Regenerative Economics.
Price change from supply
Insight diagram
THE BROKEN LINK BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND CREATES TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

Growth in supply and productivity is a summation of variables as is demand ... when the link between them is broken by catastrophic failure in a component the creation of unpredictable chaotic turbulence puts the controls ito a situation that will never return the system to its initial conditions as it is STIC system (Lorenz)

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite working containers (villages communities)

Clone of THE BROKEN LINK BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND CREATES CHAOTIC TURBULENCE (+controls)
Insight diagram
This model is made to illustrate the components that impact profitability on a basic level. 
Profit maximizing
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Clone of Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram
FORCED GROWTH GROWTH GOES INTO TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION 
 BEWARE pushing increased growth blows the system!
(governments are trying to push growth on already unstable systems !)

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept and flawed strategy of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite limited size working capacity containers (villages communities)

Clone of FORCED GROWTH INTO TURBULENCE
Insight diagram
HANDY Model of Societal Collapse from Ecological Economics Paper 
see also D Cunha's model at IM-15085
Clone of Human and Nature Dynamics of Societal Inequality
Insight diagram
Method with the feedback loops
Dynamic_Model_System dynamics approach to Isernia CBA