BCTD Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “BCTD”.

Related tagsUdemyCIwIMSwIM

Insight diagram
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.

Video * Context

And? It's All Connected

FacebookLinkedInTwitterYouTube

Clone of Moose and Wolves
Insight diagram

To develop insights regarding a situation of interest there are a number of things should be considered to ensure a view of the relevant influences.

Clone of Systemic Strategy
Insight diagram
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.
Clone of Essence Property # 1
Insight diagram
There are about fifteen known archetypes with an interesting set of relationships among them.
Video

There is a new version of this model at

Frequently Recurring Structures

Clone of Archetypes
Insight diagram
What do activities of these images have in common?
Clone of Essence Property # 3
Insight diagram
The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilize at about 400 ppmv in 2100.  From Sterman, John D. (2008)  Risk Communication on Climate:  Mental Models and Mass Balance.  Science 322 (24 October): 532-533.
Clone of Climate Stabilization Task
Insight diagram
Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics Ch 9
Clone of Innovation Diffusion
Insight diagram
When endeavoring to develop an understanding of the nature of something it is generally useful to create a model of some type to aid in surfacing that understanding.
Clone of The Essence of AND?
Insight diagram
Rich Pictures, Causal Loop Diagrams and Stock & Flow Simulation Models are the three types of models most commonly used.
Clone of Three Types of Models
Insight diagram
The structure responsible for rabbit population growth.
Clone of Rabbit Population
Insight diagram
Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics Ch 9
Clone of Innovation Diffusion
Insight diagram
When endeavoring to develop an understanding of the nature of something it is generally useful to create a model of some type to aid in surfacing that understanding.

Video * Context

LinkedInTwitterYouTube

Clone of The Essence of And?
Insight diagram
All the following have a common characteristic.
Clone of Essence Property # 2
Insight diagram
We create the future as a result of the manner in which we choose to engage with situations which concern us. There is a also a video for this insight.
Clone of Creating the Future
Insight diagram
All the following have a common characteristic.
Clone of Essence Property # 2
Insight diagram
There's actually more to filling a swimming pool with water than you might realize.
@LinkedInTwitterYouTube
Clone of Filling a Swimming Pool
Insight diagram
The Home Heating System can be used to demonstrate how we get caught in dilemmas and become victims of ourselves.
Clone of Clone of Home Heating System
Insight diagram
Yesterday's actions are responsible for the world we experience today. And today's actions are responsible for the world that we will experience tomorrow. The "Creating the Future" model is intended to provide a better sense of the common process associated with the unexpected unfolding of the future..

Video

@LinkedInTwitterYouTube

Clone of Creating the Future
Insight diagram
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
Clone of Moose and Wolves
Insight diagram
Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics Ch 9
Clone of Innovation Diffusion
Insight diagram

Clone of IM-752 map for working simulation model This model is derived from "Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement" by Nelson P. Repenning and John D Sterman. An expanded map is at IM-1918.

Clone of Credit Never Happened Simulation
Insight diagram
The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilize at about 400 ppmv in 2100.  From Sterman, John D. (2008)  Risk Communication on Climate:  Mental Models and Mass Balance.  Science 322 (24 October): 532-533.
Clone of Climate Stabilization Task
Insight diagram
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.
Clone of Essence Property # 1
Insight diagram
Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics Ch 9
Clone of Innovation Diffusion