Business Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “Business”.

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This simulation mimics the flow of projects through an organization. The organization consists of teams that idependently or collaboratively work on projects. Many of the projects have a mulit-team dependency.    If you want to understand more in depth what this simulation is all about, read this bl
This simulation mimics the flow of projects through an organization. The organization consists of teams that idependently or collaboratively work on projects. Many of the projects have a mulit-team dependency.

If you want to understand more in depth what this simulation is all about, read this blog post: https://stefan-willuda.medium.com/super-powerful-how-full-kitting-will-speed-up-your-cross-team-projects-1598d55fa9d7
2 months ago
 Multi-echelon inventory optimization (sounds like a complicated phrase!) looks at the way we are placing the inventory buffers in the supply chain. The traditional practice has been to compute the safety stock looking at the lead times and the standard deviation of the demand at each node of the su
Multi-echelon inventory optimization (sounds like a complicated phrase!) looks at the way we are placing the inventory buffers in the supply chain. The traditional practice has been to compute the safety stock looking at the lead times and the standard deviation of the demand at each node of the supply chain. The so called classical formula computes safety stock at each node as Safety Stock = Z value of the service level* standard deviation * square root (Lead time). Does it sound complicated? It is not. It is only saying, if you know how much of the variability is there from your average, keep some 'x' times of that variability so that you are well covered. It is just the maths in arriving at it that looks a bit daunting. 

While we all computed safety stock with the above formula and maintained it at each node of the supply chain, the recent theory says, you can do better than that when you see the whole chain holistically. 

Let us say your network is plant->stocking point-> Distributor-> Retailer. You can do the above safety stock computation for 95% service level at each of the nodes (classical way of doing it) or compute it holistically. This simulation is to demonstrate how multi-echelon provides better service level & lower inventory.  The network has only one stocking point/one distributor/one retailer and the same demand & variability propagates up the supply chain. For a mean demand of 100 and standard deviation of 30 and a lead time of 1, the stock at each node works out to be 149 units (cycle stock + safety stock) for a 95% service level. You can start with 149 units at each level as per the classical formula and see the product shortage. Then, reduce the safety stock at the stocking point and the distributor levels to see the impact on the service level. If it does not get impacted, it means, you can actually manage with lesser inventory than your classical calculations. 

That's what your multi-echelon inventory optimization calculations do. They reduce the inventory (compared to classical computations) without impacting your service levels. 

Hint: Try with the safety stocks at distributor (SS_Distributor) and stocking point (SS_Stocking Point) as 149 each. Check the number of stock outs in the simulation. Now, increase the safety stock at the upper node (SS_stocking point) slowly upto 160. Correspondingly keep decreasing the safety stock at the distributor (SS_Distributor). You will see that for the same #stock outs, by increasing a little inventory at the upper node, you can reduce more inventory at the lower node.
 Rich picture version of Causal loop diagram based on Jack  Homer's paper Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications  for prevention and control System Dynamics Review 1985 1(1)42-62 See  IM-333  for the Simulation model and  IM-2178  for a related Causal Loop Diagram of Project Turnover 
  

Rich picture version of Causal loop diagram based on Jack  Homer's paper Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications  for prevention and control System Dynamics Review 1985 1(1)42-62 See IM-333 for the Simulation model and IM-2178 for a related Causal Loop Diagram of Project Turnover

 

School project - optimization of company resource destribution leading to get better fluctuation results
School project - optimization of company resource destribution leading to get better fluctuation results
This simulation mimics the flow of projects through an organization. The organization consists of teams that idependently or collaboratively work on projects. Many of the projects have a mulit-team dependency.    If you want to understand more in depth what this simulation is all about, read this bl
This simulation mimics the flow of projects through an organization. The organization consists of teams that idependently or collaboratively work on projects. Many of the projects have a mulit-team dependency.

If you want to understand more in depth what this simulation is all about, read this blog post: https://stefan-willuda.medium.com/super-powerful-how-full-kitting-will-speed-up-your-cross-team-projects-1598d55fa9d7
3 months ago
 Harvested fishery with endogenous investment and ship deployment policy. Ch 9 p345-360 John Morecroft (2007) Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics. See simpler models at  IM-2990  and  IM-2991

Harvested fishery with endogenous investment and ship deployment policy. Ch 9 p345-360 John Morecroft (2007) Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics. See simpler models at IM-2990 and IM-2991

 Rich picture version of Causal loop diagram based on Jack  Homer's paper Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications  for prevention and control System Dynamics Review 1985 1(1)42-62 See  IM-333  for the Simulation model and  IM-2178  for a related Causal Loop Diagram of Project Turnover 
  

Rich picture version of Causal loop diagram based on Jack  Homer's paper Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications  for prevention and control System Dynamics Review 1985 1(1)42-62 See IM-333 for the Simulation model and IM-2178 for a related Causal Loop Diagram of Project Turnover

 

 Rich picture version of Causal loop diagram based on Jack  Homer's paper Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications  for prevention and control System Dynamics Review 1985 1(1)42-62 See  IM-333  for the Simulation model and  IM-2178  for a related Causal Loop Diagram of Project Turnover 
  

Rich picture version of Causal loop diagram based on Jack  Homer's paper Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications  for prevention and control System Dynamics Review 1985 1(1)42-62 See IM-333 for the Simulation model and IM-2178 for a related Causal Loop Diagram of Project Turnover

 

7 months ago
 Harvested fishery with endogenous investment and ship deployment policy. Ch 9 p345-360 John Morecroft (2007) Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics. See simpler models at  IM-2990  and  IM-2991

Harvested fishery with endogenous investment and ship deployment policy. Ch 9 p345-360 John Morecroft (2007) Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics. See simpler models at IM-2990 and IM-2991

Juan Martin Garcia Theory and Practical Exercises of System Dynamics 
Juan Martin Garcia Theory and Practical Exercises of System Dynamics 
 Model of growth from diffusion from John Morecroft's Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics Book Ch6 p174-191. A discussion of a bigger model of People's Express is in  http://bit.ly/HdaGy4  for a related You Tube video by John Morecroft on Reflections on System Dynamics and Strategy

Model of growth from diffusion from John Morecroft's Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics Book Ch6 p174-191. A discussion of a bigger model of People's Express is in http://bit.ly/HdaGy4 for a related You Tube video by John Morecroft on Reflections on System Dynamics and Strategy

We want to know the estimated projected Earnings before tax of a 5 year project. For this we have modeled Sales Growth, Cost of goods sold and Admin. expenses applying sensitivity testing by using probability distributions.
We want to know the estimated projected Earnings before tax of a 5 year project. For this we have modeled Sales Growth, Cost of goods sold and Admin. expenses applying sensitivity testing by using probability distributions.
Simple model used to assess the likely outcome of Revenue and Profit due to variability of purchase price, price impact on Units Sold, and Units Sold impact on Unit Cost.
Simple model used to assess the likely outcome of Revenue and Profit due to variability of purchase price, price impact on Units Sold, and Units Sold impact on Unit Cost.
How the Lean Startup method, developed by Eric Reis, works as a business system.
How the Lean Startup method, developed by Eric Reis, works as a business system.