Technology | Insight Maker

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.

BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST.

CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

2014 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility - The World3+ Model: Forecaster

Guy Lakeman

64

A visual look at using technology in school based on the article:

Levin, B. B., & Schrum, L. (2013). Using systems thinking to leverage technology for school improvement: Lessons learned from award-winning secondary Schools/Districts. Journal of Research on Technology in Education, 46(1), 29-51.

Using Systems thinking for technology in education

Rob koch

9

When deferred requirements pile up and underestimated complexity surround a project, managers end up riding a bow wave of schedule and delivery complications. From William E. Novak and Linda Levine CMU SEI Sept 2010 Success in Acquisition: Using Archetypes to Beat the Odds paper and see webpage

Bow wave effect

Geoff McDonnell

last month

Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9. Compare with the SI infectious disease model Insight 584.

Diffusion of Innovation Bass Model

Geoff McDonnell

38

Applying more pressure on staff can temporarily increase productivity, but burnout soon sets in. From William E. Novak and Linda Levine CMU SEI Sept 2010 Success in Acquisition: Using Archetypes to Beat the Odds paper and see webpage

See similar CLD IM-641 and Simulation IM-333

Project Burnout and Turnover

Geoff McDonnell

3 last month

Clusters of interacting methods for improving health services network design and delivery. Includes Forrester quotes on statistical vs SD methods and the Modeller's dilemma. Simplified version of IM-14982 combined with IM-17598 and IM-9773

Complex Decision Technologies

Geoff McDonnell

31

Simple Brooks’s Law Model

Paulo Vieira

Purpose
Enables the different components in the 5 capability model in a visual manner for Enterprise and Business Architecture stakeholders.

Enter volumes based on transactions from all your applications based on the business process layer. Actual transaction volumes recorded for your expense or revenue stream. Example; how many applications are sponsored by engineering that allow CREATE and UPDATE of a supplier or customer. Enter the number of transactions in the engineering variable. The engineering group has no authority to create either a supplier or customer. All organizations are allowed to submit a certain set of inputs for a super user group to review and then those super users create and update the master record.

Food for thought, the difference between the records created by the super user group and the volume of created party management records is the opportunity to scale and protect the reputation of your client.

Now lets do the same for every update to a party management record. All changes to a supplier or customer could effect pricing and tax or duty fees and each must use the formal change management process with many changes needing to have an authorized representative from the supplier or customer. Digital records are in need of key control designs. These are monitored and reported to the SEC.

BUSINESS ARCHITECTURE

5 Capability Model
The 5 capability model has many stock and flow children which each organization will need to model based on their current state.

Aligns to APQC Process Framework
Aligns to Principles in ISO 9001, 26000 and 27001

ENTERPRISE ARCHITECTURE
Aligns Zachman Framework Enterprise and Business Architecture with Executive and Leaders from a business management level across any organization.

A method in which to align and benchmark any organization or agency, with the system(s) logic required from Architects in Row 3, to enable Row 4 engineers who need to supply physics.

Semantic
Getting terms to align to the generic objects can be a trying task, unless you simply list the stakeholders "semantic" term below the stakeholder in the presentation layer by order shown in the business process management section above the capability management group.

As Is and To Be Business and Technology Architecture

Lisa Marie “Werby-Martinez”

8

WIP Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9, with Correlation coefficients added, from Taylor TRB et al. (2010) Improving model understanding using statistical screening WSC paper See also System Dynamics Review 26 (1) p 73-87 and earlier 2005 SDR paper with CCtemplateExcel

Innovation Diffusion Model with Correlation

Geoff McDonnell

Technology learning curve calculations see IM-614 for wider technology and healthcare costs context

Technology Learning Curve

Geoff McDonnell

Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9. Compare with the SI infectious disease model Insight 584.

Clone of Clone of Diffusion of Innovation Bass Model

Pagandai V Pannir Selvam

Mental Health Platform Post-Covid June 2021 including revisiting Wiser Health Decisions

Mental Health Platform

Geoff McDonnell

3

What happens when a program chooses to ignore Brooks' Law? This archetype explains the dynamics behind Brooks' Law and why it applies to most programs. From William E. Novak and Linda Levine CMU SEI Sept 2010 Success in Acquisition: Using Archetypes to Beat the Odds paper and see webpage

Brooks Law

Geoff McDonnell

last month

Causal loop diagram patient centric version of Insight 691, unfolding the complexity of medication management.

Medication Management CLD

Geoff McDonnell

Seminární práce

Lukáš Semecký

The Problem:

What is the true cost of escalation?

Things to measure: How does this impact:1. (MONEY) Cost per incident - what does this cost the business? 2. (TIME) Service Level - how does this impact desired service levels/SLAs? 3. (PEOPLE) Agent utilization - how does this impact backlog? are we overworking engineers? Does this contribute to staff burnout?

AGILE 2017: True Cost of Escalation

Kishau Rogers

6

A draft model of the techonomy

Technology Ecosystem

Nyimbi Odero

This model shows the dynamics of use of a new medical technology based on its scope of use and perceived relative benefit. The technology needs cumulative usage to fix its glitches, and the benefits will be diluted as the scope of use widens.

Diffusion of Medical Technology

Geoff McDonnell

THE 2017 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

THE MODEL IS ZONE SPECIFIC AS GLOBAL WEATHER IS NOT HOMOGENEOUS BUT A COLLECTION OF HEAT BUMBPS DEPENDENT ON POPULATION SIZE OF URBAN HEAT ISLANDS AND MASSED CONURBATIONS AND AGGLOMERATIONS

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.

BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST.

CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

2017 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility by Guy Lakeman - The World3+ Model: Forecaster

Guy Lakeman

31

Dynamic system underlying project life cycles From Roberts Edward B The Dynamics of Research and Development p5 Harper & Row NY 1964

The dynamics of Research and Development

Geoff McDonnell

4 11 months ago

When problems are detected in programs, it's time for everyone to listen and work toward a solution. Shooting the messenger only delays the process, and hurts program morale. From William E. Novak and Linda Levine CMU SEI Sept 2010 Success in Acquisition: Using Archetypes to Beat the Odds paper and see webpage

Shooting the Messenger

Geoff McDonnell

last month

Incorporating organizational factors into Probabilistic Risk Assessment(PRA) of complex socio-technical systems: A hybrid technique formalization Zahra Mohaghegh, Reza Kazemi, Ali Mosleh Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2009) 94 5 p1000–1018 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095183200800269X. THis overview has a more detailed area in Insight 1077

Socio Technical Risk Assessment

Geoff McDonnell

4