The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST W

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

 This model should be used purely for personal interest.  I’m a designer and have no training in epidemiological studies. So, take this as an interesting experiment and nothing else.      I made it for a university subject looking into modelling and thought this was a very interesting topic area.
This model should be used purely for personal interest.  I’m a designer and have no training in epidemiological studies. So, take this as an interesting experiment and nothing else. 

I made it for a university subject looking into modelling and thought this was a very interesting topic area.

Using figures from: 
Zhang, L., Peng, P., Wu, Y., Ma, X., Soe, N. N., Huang, X., Wu, H., Markowitz, M., & Meyers, K. (2018). Modelling the epidemiological impact and cost-effectiveness of prep for HIV transmission in MSM in China. *AIDS and Behavior*, *23*(2), 523-533. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-018-2205-3

Schneider, K., Gray, R. T., & Wilson, D. P. (2014). A cost-effectiveness analysis of HIV Preexposure prophylaxis for men who have sex with men in Australia. *Clinical Infectious Diseases*, *58*(7), 1027-1034. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/cit946

AFAO. (2021). *HIV IN AUSTRALIA*. Australian Federation of AIDS Organisations. https://www.afao.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/HIV-in-Australia-2021.pdf

Department of Health. (2018). *National HIV Strategy* (8). Commonwealth of Australia. https://www1.health.gov.au/internet/main/publishing.nsf/Content/ohp-bbvs-1/$File/HIV-Eight-Nat-Strategy-2018-22.pdf

Monitoring HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (Prep) uptake in Australia: Issue 1*. (2021, June 29). Kirby Institute. https://kirby.unsw.edu.au/report/monitoring-hiv-prep-uptake-australia-issue1

Monitoring HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (Prep) uptake in Australia: Issue 4*. (2021, June 29). Kirby Institute. https://kirby.unsw.edu.au/report/monitoring-hiv-prep-uptake-australia-issue4
Modelo que simula a atuação da insulina no nível de açúcar no sangue. Leva em consideração que parte da glicose ingerida se transforma em energia e parte desta energia é gasta com o tempo (para o funcionamento do próprio organismo).
Modelo que simula a atuação da insulina no nível de açúcar no sangue. Leva em consideração que parte da glicose ingerida se transforma em energia e parte desta energia é gasta com o tempo (para o funcionamento do próprio organismo).
First model developed for Senior Design dealing with Healthcare Analytics
First model developed for Senior Design dealing with Healthcare Analytics
THE BROKEN LINK BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND CREATES TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION  The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed  Growth in supply and productivity is a summation of variables as is demand ... when the link between them is broken by catastrophic failure in a compon
THE BROKEN LINK BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND CREATES TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

Growth in supply and productivity is a summation of variables as is demand ... when the link between them is broken by catastrophic failure in a component the creation of unpredictable chaotic turbulence puts the controls ito a situation that will never return the system to its initial conditions as it is STIC system (Lorenz)

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite working containers (villages communities)

 FORCED GROWTH GROWTH GOES INTO TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION     BEWARE pushing increased growth blows the system!    (governments are trying to push growth on already unstable systems !)  The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed  The chaotic turbulence is the result of th
FORCED GROWTH GROWTH GOES INTO TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION 
 BEWARE pushing increased growth blows the system!
(governments are trying to push growth on already unstable systems !)

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept and flawed strategy of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite limited size working capacity containers (villages communities)

Modelo que simula a atuação da insulina no nível de açúcar no sangue. Leva em consideração que parte da glicose ingerida se transforma em energia e parte desta energia é gasta com o tempo (para o funcionamento do próprio organismo).
Modelo que simula a atuação da insulina no nível de açúcar no sangue. Leva em consideração que parte da glicose ingerida se transforma em energia e parte desta energia é gasta com o tempo (para o funcionamento do próprio organismo).
Modelo que simula a atuação da insulina no nível de açúcar no sangue. Leva em consideração que parte da glicose ingerida se transforma em energia e parte desta energia é gasta com o tempo (para o funcionamento do próprio organismo).
Modelo que simula a atuação da insulina no nível de açúcar no sangue. Leva em consideração que parte da glicose ingerida se transforma em energia e parte desta energia é gasta com o tempo (para o funcionamento do próprio organismo).
OVERSHOOT GROWTH GOES INTO TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION  The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed  The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunb
OVERSHOOT GROWTH GOES INTO TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite limited size working capacity containers (villages communities)

Hipertiroid merupakan penyakit berlebihnya hormon Tiroid yang diproduksi tubuh. Faktor penyebabnya bisa karena bawaan lahir ataupun karena tubuh salah menerjemahkan zat tertentu (bisa dicari di literatur kesehatan terkait).    Pada contoh ini, dimisalkan seseorang memiliki level hormon sebanyak 14 d
Hipertiroid merupakan penyakit berlebihnya hormon Tiroid yang diproduksi tubuh. Faktor penyebabnya bisa karena bawaan lahir ataupun karena tubuh salah menerjemahkan zat tertentu (bisa dicari di literatur kesehatan terkait).

Pada contoh ini, dimisalkan seseorang memiliki level hormon sebanyak 14 dengan pertumbuhannya 0.2 per hari. Padahal, di sini kondisi manusia normal memiliki level hormon antara 3.4 hingga 7.9.

Untuk mengurangi level hormonnya, maka dia perlu mengonsumsi penurun hormon Tiroid yaitu Thyrozol. Berdasarkan pengalaman, seorang penderita penyakit ini tetap harus mengonsumsi ~10 mg Thyrozol tiap hari untuk menjaga agar hormonnya tidak naik. Maka dari itu, persamaan-persamaan yang dipakai di sini adalah:

[Thyroid Level] = [Thyrozol Dose]*0.2 - [Grow Rate]

Normal_Condition = ([Max Normal Level]+[Min Normal Level])/2

[Thyrozol Dose] = ([Thyroid Level]/Normal_Condition)*10
   THE 2017 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER REL

THE 2017 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

 A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with herd immunity and isolation policies.

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with herd immunity and isolation policies.

Ocular Rosacea is a systemic disease related to
the faulty functioning of the immune system. This means that there will be
repeated flare-ups and frequent recurrences of the 'pink eye' condition it
triggers. Systemic illnesses are best treated with  systemic means such as antibiotics. Because
facial
Ocular Rosacea is a systemic disease related to the faulty functioning of the immune system. This means that there will be repeated flare-ups and frequent recurrences of the 'pink eye' condition it triggers. Systemic illnesses are best treated with  systemic means such as antibiotics. Because facial rosacea (red nose and cheeks) does not correlate with manifestations of ocular rosacea, such a pink eye or blepharitis (red eye lids), it is often underdiagnosed. The fundamental approach using specifically doxycycline at only 40mg permits maintaining the treatment over long periods to prevent frequent recurrence. This could be particulary important for patients suffering  repeated bouts of blepharits / conjuntivits.  Its effectiveness at a low sub-antibiotic level has been shown in a study by Ines Pfeffer et al. (2011). Please also have a look at Insight 74700 Ocular Rosacea 1

Dosage per day, Doses per day, Every ? hours, Medicine in Intestines, Drug absorption, Plasma level, Blood volume, Plasma concentration, ​Toxic level, Medicinal level, Drug excretion, Excretion rate, Half-Life
Dosage per day, Doses per day, Every ? hours, Medicine in Intestines, Drug absorption, Plasma level, Blood volume, Plasma concentration, ​Toxic level, Medicinal level, Drug excretion, Excretion rate, Half-Life
MEE460-04 Caleb Hemmelgarn  Sarah Hollis  Carson Kizer  Scott Koney  McKenzie Warman
MEE460-04
Caleb Hemmelgarn
Sarah Hollis
Carson Kizer
Scott Koney
McKenzie Warman

COVID-19 DISEASE SPREAD SIMULATION OF SWEDEN 
COVID-19 DISEASE SPREAD SIMULATION OF SWEDEN 
THE BROKEN LINK BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND CREATES TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION  The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed  Growth in supply and productivity is a summation of variables as is demand ... when the link between them is broken by catastrophic failure in a compon
THE BROKEN LINK BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND CREATES TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

Growth in supply and productivity is a summation of variables as is demand ... when the link between them is broken by catastrophic failure in a component the creation of unpredictable chaotic turbulence puts the controls ito a situation that will never return the system to its initial conditions as it is STIC system (Lorenz)

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite working containers (villages communities)