Model explanation:

This model is to simulate the youth development in the town of Bourke based on 2 factors, community development and the police force within 24 months.

In addition, the model also simulates the effectiveness of rehabilitation at community hub and detention center.

 Bourke town refers to the town in the northwest area of New South Wales and it is the administrative center of the Bourke Shire local government area. The town is plagued with a high crime rate number; thus a justice reinvestment project was deployed in the area to reduce the crime rate of the town.

The youth population with a positive lifestyle refers to young people within the town who receive education, do not commit the crime, and help develop the town.

Youth population with negative lifestyle refer to young people who do not receive education and often commit crime or offender. 

Assumption:

The model assumes that the youth population is from 15-24 years old. 

In addition, the rate such as employment rate, high school/university attendance, and the crime rate is based on information that can be found in Census Data on Australia Bureau of Statistics websites.

Variables:

The police force variable is used to measure the effectiveness of the police force and the funding toward the police force. A higher police force will lead to a high level of imprisonment.

Community development is used to measure the effectiveness of the community toward the development of the youth population in Bourke town. A high level of community development will lead to a high number of young people with a positive lifestyle.

A community hub and detention center effectiveness are used to measure the success rate of a community hub and detention center at rehabilitating the youth population with a negative lifestyle. The success rate of the community hub is at 70%, while the detention center is at 85%.

Outcome:

The model is set so that if the police force is higher than community development then most of the youth population will lead toward a negative lifestyle and vice versa.

However, if the effectiveness of community hub and detention centres are high then the number of imprisonments will remain low.

References:

Australian Bureaus of Statistics, 2016. Retrieved at https://quickstats.censusdata.abs.gov.au/census_services/getproduct/census/2016/quickstat/SSC10522