SUST1001U Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “SUST1001U”.

Insight diagram
The dynamics of a moose population with density-dependent birth rate...the birth rate equals the death rate when the population is at carrying capacity; the birth rate is greater than the death rate when the population is below carrying capacity; the birth rate is below the death rate when the population is above carrying capacity.
Clone of Logistic Moose Population Dynamics
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The dynamics of a moose population with constant birth and death rates.
Clone of Exponential Moose Population Dynamics
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Star production was greater at the beginning of the universe, and has slowed down as lots of gases are now trapped in living stars. While this isn't true for every galaxy, this is a model simulating a galaxy where star formation rate is decreasing.
Everything is divided by 1 billion as to not have to simulate huge numbers.
Decelerating Star Formation over time
Insight diagram

This complex system models the dynamics and impacts of transportation efficacy and efficiency of sustainable urban transportation in Durham Region. Within the Regional Municipality of Durham, there are eight local Municipalities consisting of Ajax, Brock, Clarington, Oshawa, Pickering, Scugog, Uxbridge, and Whitby, which account for a total population of approximately 750,000 individuals as of 2023. As Durham Region continues to expand and increase in population, road structures will be faced with an increasing traffic load that will generate a significant amount of carbon emissions. Due to the prevailing climate concerns, the need for sustainable urban transportation is evident.

Urban transportation systems are a cornerstone of city life. They connect communities and businesses, while providing access to services, supporting economic and social activities. Maintaining a vast network of transportation systems as cities grow, becomes increasingly challenging. These challenges, consisting of traffic congestion, environmental impact, and diverse transportation needs, become of paramount concern, such that political campaigns run solely on these platforms.

Within this stock and flow model are the main variables that comprise transportation emissions within Durham Region. The urban transportation model highlights different modes of transportation in the form of stocks, which consist of public transit users (bus), fossil fuel car drivers, and EV car drivers, as well as the inflows and outflows that are influenced by various variables. 

All data used within this model was obtained from the various sources on the internet. The data used within the model is based off of estimate values. Data pertaining to population values and cities/towns that comprise Durham Region, ON obtained from the following source(s): 


**NOTE: Kindly note we have used 10 sources in total that we have referenced - 2 are listed below as these 2 sources were used for the above description - the other references are located in the variables where the sources were used. 

Regional Municipality of Durham. (n.d.). Demographics and statistics. Durham Region Economic Development and Tourism. Retrieved November 24, 2024, from https://www.durham.ca/en/economic-development/invest-and-grow/demographics-and-statistics.aspx

Regional Municipality of Durham. (n.d.). Local municipalities. Durham Region. Retrieved from https://www.durham.ca/en/regional-government/local-municipalities.aspx

Group 8 Members: Leda Alizada (100821720), Pritika Lally (100867821), Mahad Rashid (100779108), Rileigh Rodych (100515185), Sami Siddique (100460897)

Clone of EcoTransit Durham - Modeling Urban Transportation in Durham Region
Insight diagram

Ayman Town is a fictional municipality located within Ontario, Canada. This model visually represents the balance between energy supply and demand, and consolidates energy from various sources—nuclear, hydroelectric, natural gas, solar, and wind—into a Total Power Supply that feeds into the town’s power grid. On the demand side, energy consumption is divided into residential and business sectors, factoring in micro-generation (e.g., solar panels) to calculate net demand, or the remaining load that must be met by the grid.

This model highlights the dynamics between traditional and renewable energy sources while showing how decentralized energy generation can reduce grid dependence. By understanding the flow of energy and identifying key drivers of demand, this framework helps guide infrastructure planning, energy policy, and sustainability efforts, ensuring the town’s energy needs are met efficiently and reliably.

Electricity Inflow/Outflow Model for Ayman Town
Insight diagram
The dynamics of a constant bathtub water level with constant water inflow and water outflow rates.
Constant Bathtub Water Level Dynamics
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Modeling a Human Population
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The dynamics of a moose population with density-dependent birth rate...the birth rate equals the death rate when the population is at carrying capacity; the birth rate is greater than the death rate when the population is below carrying capacity; the birth rate is below the death rate when the population is above carrying capacity.
Clone of Logistic Moose Population Dynamics
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A model demonstrating the proportion of different power sources due to the residential and business sector demand in one day, as well as the carbon footprint in kg of CO2 produced. 
Brooklin Electricity Flows
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This model displays how the population of the Earth changes. With a larger birth rate than death rate the population increases and heads towards K (carrying capacity). If the birth rate is lower than the death rate, the population will slowly diminish and will move away from carrying capacity.
Clone of Globe Population Dynamics
Insight diagram
In this model, I will be demonstrating my understanding of Modelling a Human Population by using Oshawa as a current example. For this model, we begin with a current population of 170,000. However, with Oshawa's "theoretically new" (just to demonstrate my understanding) neighbourhoods being built the population will change to reflect that and the city's appropriate carrying capacity! By using variable factors such as "Moving in/inflow rate" and "Moving out/outflow rate" to reflect the number of current residents residing within Oshawa (nResidents).
Modelling Oshawa's 2024 Residential Population Dynamics
Insight diagram
The dynamics of a moose population with density-dependent birth rate...the birth rate equals the death rate when the population is at carrying capacity; the birth rate is greater than the death rate when the population is below carrying capacity; the birth rate is below the death rate when the population is above carrying capacity.
Clone of Logistic Moose Population Dynamics
Insight diagram
The model simulates the local environmental (specifically greenhouse gas emissions), economic, and resource impacts of transitioning from internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) to electric vehicles (EVs) for personal ownership in New York City in the context of a sustainable program of new energy vehicles, which is the context of the current era. To be realistic, we combine delay and stochasticity in this model to simulate the real world. By understanding the model, one can gain insight into the importance of EV penetration for sustainable development.

Clone of SUST 1001U 2024 Fall Group 10 - Electrifying NYC: A System Dynamics Model of EV Adoption and Sustainability Impacts
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By: Roman Ahmad Zeia, Rhythm Alam, Hailey Uhlman-O’Conner, Ahmer Khan, Zain Siddiqui

This model estimates the annual emissions from Toronto's multiple transit options including Trains, Airplanes, Gas & Electric personal vehicles and Buses. The resulting chart reports in the in the amount of kilograms of emissions  over years.
SUST Final Project (Group 2)
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The dynamics of moose (prey) and wolf (predator) populations
Moose (Prey) and Wolf (Predator) Population Dynamics
149 last month
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A model demonstrating the differences in productivity and cost in an arbitrary workforce (this could be one company/institution or an entire area). I used AI to assist me in creating this model, by explaining to it what I would like to have as my main stocks and what I'd like to model, and then had it suggest variables, flows, and links (and thus equations for the flows and variables as well). The actual initial values were also suggested by the AI.
Clone of Efficiency & Productivity of using AI in Workforce
Insight diagram
The dynamics of a moose population with density-dependent birth rate...the birth rate equals the death rate when the population is at carrying capacity; the birth rate is greater than the death rate when the population is below carrying capacity; the birth rate is below the death rate when the population is above carrying capacity.
Clone of Clone of Logistic Moose Population Dynamics
Insight diagram
This model demonstrates how the population of trees fluctuates and changes when factors such as how much trees being planted and how many trees being harvested/torn down come into play! 
The Number of Trees in consideration of both inflow and outflows factors.
Insight diagram
The dynamics of the human population in Oshawa with density-dependent birth rate...the birth rate equals the death rate when the population is at carrying capacity; the birth rate is greater than the death rate when the population is below carrying capacity; the birth rate is below the death rate when the population is above carrying capacity.
Values are in thousands
Logistic Model of Oshawa Population Dynamics
Insight diagram
The dynamics of mouse (prey) and cat (predator) population
Mouse (prey) and Cat (predator) population Dynamics
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The dynamics of Oshawa’s population are modeled with a carrying capacity, where population growth is influenced by density-dependent factors. At lower population sizes, the birth rate exceeds the death rate, with a maximum birth rate and a maximum death rate. As the population increases and approaches the carrying capacity, resource limitations cause the birth rate and death rate to equalize. If the population exceeds the carrying capacity, the death rate will surpass the birth rate, gradually reducing population size, stabilizing near equilibrium.
Logistic Oshawa Population Dynamics
Insight diagram
This is the Logistics model for the country Nigeria over 25 years. Using a density-dependent rate,
At carrying capacity: Birth rate = Death rate. This is why at this point the population at reached a constant (a plateau) because the two rates equate themselves.
Below carrying capacity:Birth rate > death rate. There are enough resources for so the population so max birth rate is reached and more people are being birthed or are migrating into the country
Above carrying capacity: The birth rate < death rate. Nigeria's ecosystem have depleted and not enough to support its population so max death rate is reached.
Using this model, we see how population replenished per person (Population per capita) decreases as the population nears carrying capacity.
 
Clone of Logistic Moose Population Dynamics
Insight diagram
The model simulates the local environmental (specifically greenhouse gas emissions), economic, and resource impacts of transitioning from internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) to electric vehicles (EVs) for personal ownership in New York City in the context of a sustainable program of new energy vehicles, which is the context of the current era. To be realistic, we combine delay and stochasticity in this model to simulate the real world. By understanding the model, one can gain insight into the importance of EV penetration for sustainable development.

Clone of SUST 1001U 2024 Fall Group 10 - Electrifying NYC: A System Dynamics Model of EV Adoption and Sustainability Impacts
Insight diagram
The dynamics of Oshawa's human population are influenced by a density-dependent growth rate. The population growth rate equals the mortality rate when the population reaches the city's carrying capacity, defined by available housing, jobs, healthcare, and other resources. The growth rate exceeds the mortality rate when the population is below carrying capacity, allowing for positive net growth. Likewise, when the population surpasses the city's carrying capacity, growth declines, and the mortality rate exceeds the growth rate due to overburdened resources and infrastructure.
Oshawa Human Population Dynamics