BMA708 | Insight Maker

Overview

The model shows the industry connection and conflict between Forestry and Mountain Tourism in Derby, Tasmania. The objective of this simulation is to find out the balance point for co-exist.

How Does the Model Work?

Both industries can provide economic contribution to Tasmania. Firstly, selling timbers through logging would generate income. Also, spendings from mountain bike riders would generate incomes. However, low tree regrowth rate can not cover up logging, which influences the beautiful vistas and riders' experiences. While satisfaction and expectation depend on vistas and experience, the demand of mountain biking would be influenced through repeat visits and world of mouth as well.

Interesting Insights

Although forestry can provide a great amount of economic contribution to Tasmania, over logging goes against ESG framework as well as creating conflict with mountain tourism. As long as the number of rider visits is stable, tourism can always provide a greater economic contribution compared to forestry. Therefore, the government should consider the balance point between two industries.

Clone of Simulation of Derby Mountain Bikes versus Forestry

Douglas M.

12 months ago

Overview

A model which simulates the competition between logging versus adventure tourism (mountain bike ridding) in Derby Tasmania.

How the model works:

Trees grow, and we cut them down because of the demand for Timber and sell the logs. Mountain bikers and holiday visitors will come to the park and this depends on experience and recommendations. Past experience and recommendations depend on the Scenery, number of trees compared to the visitor and Adventure number of trees and users. Park capacity limits the number of users. To utilize highest park capacity, they need to promote to the holiday visitor segment as well. Again, the visit depends on the scenery. So, both mountain biking and forestry (logging) businesses need to contribute a significant amount of revenue to CSR for faster regrowth of trees.

Interesting insights

It looks like a lot of logging doesn't stop people from mountain biking.

Faster replantation of the tree will balance out the impact created by logging which will give the visitor a positive experience and the number of visitors is both improved.

To keep the park's popularity in check, the price of wood needs to be high.

Also, it looks like mountain biking only needs a narrow path.

CSR contribution to nature can be a crucial factor.

Simulation model of Mountain biking versus logging MD Raihanul Islam, ID 591146

MD Raihanul Islam

Overview

A model which simulates the competition between logging versus adventure tourism (mountain bike ridding) in Derby Tasmania. Simulation borrowed from the Easter Island simulation.

How the model works.

Trees grow, we cut them down because of demand for Timber amd sell the logs.

With mountain bkie visits. This depends on past experience and recommendations. Past experience and recommendations depends on Scenery number of trees compared to visitor and Adventure number of trees and users. Park capacity limits the number of users.

Interesting insights

It seems that high logging does not deter mountain biking. By reducing park capacity, visitor experience and numbers are improved. A major problem is that any success with the mountain bike park leads to an explosion in visitor numbers. Also a high price of timber is needed to balance popularity of the park. It seems also that only a narrow corridor is needed for mountain biking

Assignment of Simulation of Mountain biking versus logging MD Raihanul Islam

MD Raihanul Islam

3

Overview:

This model shows the relationship between the tourist industry and forestry industry in Derby Tasmania. It simulates the situation where these two competing industries can co-exist.

Methodologies:

Tourists are attracted by the beautiful scenery, good air quality and biodiversity in Mountain bike trail in Derby. The tourism income increase when more visitors are attracted to use the mountain bike trail.

The forestry industry generates revenue by logging and selling timber. Increasing timber supplied will destroy the forests, which makes the park less attractive for tourists.

However, the income from forestry and tourism can be used to improve the facilities in the park to attract more visitors.

Findings:

When the amount of timber supplied is less than the regrowth rate of forests, the tourism industry and forestry industry can co-exist. If amount of timber supplied excesses the regrowth rate, tourism industry will be negative impacted.

Simulation of Derby Mountain logging versus biking

Shaoyue Liu

Overview
This model is a working simulation of the competition between the mountain biking tourism industry versus the forestry logging within Derby Tasmania.

How the model works

The left side of the model highlights the mountain bike flow beginning with demand for the forest that leads to increased visitors using the forest of mountain biking. Accompanying variables effect the tourism income that flows from use of the bike trails.
On the right side, the forest flow begins with tree growth then a demand for timber leading to the logging production. The sales from the logging then lead to the forestry income.
The model works by identifying how the different variables interact with both mountain biking and logging. As illustrated there are variables that have a shared effect such as scenery and adventure and entertainment.

Variables
The variables are essential in understanding what drives the flow within the model. For example mountain biking demand is dependent on positive word mouth which in turn is dependent on scenery. This is an important factor as logging has a negative impact on how the scenery changes as logging deteriorates the landscape and therefore effects positive word of mouth.
By establishing variables and their relationships with each other, the model highlights exactly how mountain biking and forestry logging effect each other and the income it supports.

Interesting Insights
The model suggests that though there is some impact from logging, tourism still prospers in spite of negative impacts to the scenery with tourism increasing substantially over forestry income. There is also a point at which the visitor population increases exponentially at which most other variables including adventure and entertainment also increase in result. The model suggests that it may be possible for logging and mountain biking to happen simultaneously without negatively impacting on the tourism income.

Remake of Simulation of Derby Mountain biking versus logging

Fons Wijnhoven

3 months ago

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