These models and simulations have been tagged “Climate Change”.
Economic growth cannot go on forever, although politicians and most economist
seem to think so. The activity involved in economic growth necessarily generates entropy (disorder and environmental degradation). Entorpy in turn generates powerful negative feedback loops which will, as
a response from nature, ensure that economic activity will eventually grind to
a complete halt. In these circumstances organised
society cannot persist and will collapse. The negative
feedback loops shown in this graph have already started to operate. The longer economic growth continues unabated, the more powerful these negative feedback loops will become. How long
can economic growth continue before it is overwhelmed? It may not be very far in the future.
Americans believed that extreme weather events, droughts and wildfires are
primarily caused by climate change they would soon react and demand immediate action
from their political leaders. It is likely that this will happen fairly soon
because of the dynamic hidden in the phrase 'Climate Change'. Wolfgang von Goethe
the famous German poet and scientist said ''we only see what we know". Cognitive
psychology largely agrees and says that we only understand what we see - and
give importance to it - if we have a
schema (mental model) for what we are
looking at. As the terms 'Climate Change'
become more widely used people will try to understand what they mean and start
to construct schemas. As a result of this process they will soon see extreme weather events and wild fire in a
different light as the occur again and again - after all, climate scientists
told us that their numbers and severity
would increase as a result of climate
change. This simple CLD tries to illustrate this dynamic. It suggests that if
you want to speed up this process, a good strategy would be to point out at
every occasion possible that an increase of extreme weather events and droughts
is precisely what climate scientists predicted!
The purpose of this deer management model is to explore the capacity of wildlife management actions to help us adapt to the effects of climate change.