This stock-flow simulation model is to show Covid-19 virus spread rate, sources of spreading and safety measures followed by all the countries affected around the world.
The simulation also aims at predicting for how much more period of time the virus will persist, how many people could recover at what kind of rate and also about the virus toughness dependence based on its excessive speed, giving rise to bigger numbers day-by-day.
Clone of Clone of Week-12-Practice
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity
Clone of SIR model with waning immunity
This is reproduction of the tutorial exercise 1, Disease Dynamics.
Clone of Tut1-diseaseDynamics
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Aids Patient disease model.
Clone of ВИЧ в китае на миллион человек
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of Clone of SIR Model
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity
Clone of SIR model with waning immunity
SARS-CoV-19 spread in different countries
- please
adjust variables accordingly
Italy
- elderly population (>65): 0.228
- estimated undetected cases factor: 4-11
- starting population size: 60 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.32 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.04 (statista)
- free intensive care units: 3 100
Germany
- elderly population (>65): 0.195 (bpb)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 2-3 (deutschlandfunk)
- starting population size: 83 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.26 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.2-0.28 (herzstiftung)
- free intensive care units: 5 880
France
- elderly population (>65): 0.183 (statista)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 3-5
- starting population size: 67 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.3 (fondation-recherche-cardio-vasculaire)
- heart disease: 0.1-0.2 (oecd)
- free intensive care units: 3 000
As you wish
- numbers of encounters/day: 1 = quarantine, 2-3 = practicing social distancing, 4-6 = heavy social life, 7-9 = not caring at all // default 2
- practicing preventive measures (ie. washing hands regularly, not touching your face etc.): 0.1 (nobody does anything) - 1 (very strictly) // default 0.8
- government elucidation: 0.1 (very bad) - 1 (highly transparent and educating) // default 0.9
- Immunity rate (due to lacking data): 0 (you can't get immune) - 1 (once you had it you'll never get it again) // default 0.4
Key
- Healthy: People are not infected with SARS-CoV-19 but could still get it
- Infected: People have been infected and developed the disease COVID-19
- Recovered: People just have recovered from COVID-19 and can't get it again in this stage
- Dead: People died because of COVID-19
- Immune: People got immune and can't get the disease again
- Critical recovery percentage: Chance of survival with no special medical treatment
Clone of SARS-CoV-19 model
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
Data provided by:
PHE and
Worldometers
Clone of UK COVID 19 Simulator
A model of an infectious disease and control
Clone of Disease Dynamics (Agent Based Modeling) Guy Lakeman
Data provided by:
PHE and
Worldometers
Clone of UK COVID 19 Simulator
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
A spatially aware, agent based model of disease spread. There are three classes of people: susceptible (healthy), infected (sick and infectious), and recovered (healthy and temporarily immune).
Clone of Spatially Aware SIR Diseasse Model
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
