Diagrams of theories of control of destiny at multiple scales as fundamental causes of social determinants of health from  Whitehead 2016 article  in Health and Place
Diagrams of theories of control of destiny at multiple scales as fundamental causes of social determinants of health from Whitehead 2016 article in Health and Place
Diabetes Mellitus Type II diakibatkan oleh tingginya kadar glukosa darah melebihi kadar normal. Hal ini dipengaruhi oleh konsumsi makanan tinggi gula berlebihan, kurangnya aktivitas fisik, serta yang sangat menentukan adalah hormon insulin yang diproduksi oleh pankreas dan berperan dalam pembakaran
Diabetes Mellitus Type II diakibatkan oleh tingginya kadar glukosa darah melebihi kadar normal. Hal ini dipengaruhi oleh konsumsi makanan tinggi gula berlebihan, kurangnya aktivitas fisik, serta yang sangat menentukan adalah hormon insulin yang diproduksi oleh pankreas dan berperan dalam pembakaran glukosa untuk menjadi energi.
SARS Modelling with SEIR Model. Author: Aulia Nur Fajriyah & Lutfi Andriyanto
SARS Modelling with SEIR Model.
Author: Aulia Nur Fajriyah & Lutfi Andriyanto
This diagram shows the impact of government policy and funding on a student's access to post-secondary education and the institution's health and wellness services.
This diagram shows the impact of government policy and funding on a student's access to post-secondary education and the institution's health and wellness services.
 The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST W

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Bugs have a life cycle. The population of the bugs can be controlled by destroying the stocks of eggs/nymphs/adults or by controlling the rate at which they lay eggs, the rate of hatching of the eggs and the rate at which the nymphs become adults. The growth also depends on the time taken for eggs t
Bugs have a life cycle. The population of the bugs can be controlled by destroying the stocks of eggs/nymphs/adults or by controlling the rate at which they lay eggs, the rate of hatching of the eggs and the rate at which the nymphs become adults. The growth also depends on the time taken for eggs to hatch and for the nymphs to become adults. Some of the control strategies could also be to increase this time. The effectiveness of these strategies differs and the model lets you evaluate them
3 months ago
  Relationships among different players in Bourke       This complex system is used to evaluate the relationships among
different players in Bourke. This diagram show flows to which can be beneficial
to certain aspects of the relationship or damaging in some social aspects among
the different player
Relationships among different players in Bourke

This complex system is used to evaluate the relationships among different players in Bourke. This diagram show flows to which can be beneficial to certain aspects of the relationship or damaging in some social aspects among the different players.the social impacts have significant factors which include the following:

 

-  the amount of police force that are required to protect citizen

- the crime levels of the place that are associated

-  the sports membership that they play for

- The community development of the individual

- the relationships that the individual has

- the social class that the individual is associated with

 

some of the following characteristic have following relations that factor in greatly for either positive and negative values. This diagram has a gradual slope of increase or decrease depending on the type of variable. The police force and crime levels of crime are opposed to one another because Bourke should be a safe place for citizens to live in. The sports and community development have a positive relation that contributes to the interest of both sport and community. Lastly the relationship and social class are opposed to one another as people with a higher social class will mean less people are associated in it. The diagram is supposed to show the gradual increase or decrease of the variables in the Complex system.

 

 

Police 

police factor in the amount of crime or the chances of crime to occur. Police force are to protect and serve the community and make Bourke a safe place for citizens.

 

 

Crime

Crime is associated with all the problems that involve damaging the community and also factor on the amount of police that are in duty. If more crime increases so does the police force.

 

 

Crime versus police force:

 Crime and police force have factors that play an important role to manage and control the levels of crime that occur in Bourke. No matter how much crime occurs police always overcome the adversity to stop the amount of crime and is a gradual raise which would minimise the amount of crime from occurring from Bourke.

 

Sports membership

Sports membership involves the community involvement in participating in the sport. Sports are played to increase the interest of people who have a strong connection with the community of Bourke.

 

 

 

Community Development

Community development involves the community in supporting sports teams. Community development includes people going for their local team and supporting which also effects people who are interested in playing the sport.

 

 

 

Sports membership versus Community development

Sports and community both contain a positive effect among individuals in the town. As more people have a strong relationship between the community development this then factors the individual in participating in the sport itself.

 

 

 

Relationships

Relationships are the amount of friends and family that an individual has. Relationships are definitely very important to build a strong sense of belonging to the community which can involve participating towards the community and sport.

 

Social Class

social class is the division of society or economical class that an individual is in. A higher social class means you are associated with different relationships and the interest that are associated in the social class.

 

Relationship versus Social Class:

 

Relationships are effected by the social class that they are associated with. The higher the social class the less amount of relationships you are associated with due to higher social class having less people in higher social classes.

 

 

 

Initial Values:

 

Relationships: 125

Social class: 50

Crime :50

police force: 75

community development: 300

Sports membership: 125


 The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST W

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Ophthalmologist Craig Blackwell described the
'Dry Eye Cycle' in two excellent videos with graphic descriptions. From his
description it becomes clear that the Dry Eye Cycle really consist of two
self-reinforcing feedback loops. I have constructed these feedback loops here because
they help explain
Ophthalmologist Craig Blackwell described the 'Dry Eye Cycle' in two excellent videos with graphic descriptions. From his description it becomes clear that the Dry Eye Cycle really consist of two self-reinforcing feedback loops. I have constructed these feedback loops here because they help explain the cycle, and understanding it may be very useful for suffers of the often debilitating 'dry eye syndrome '. The process usually starts with one of two deficiencies: the oil secreted from oil glands is too thick and does not adequately cover the aqueous film leading to evaporation and dryness or tear glands do not produce enough tears.  Dr. Blackwell stresses the role of inflammation which can lead to the progressive worsening of the condition and  which should be controlled. He suggests various treatments. I highly recommend watching the videos

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ooYcjzNtn58

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwpWKCM31JI

   THE 2017 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER REL

THE 2017 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

I will be evaluating the needs of the community in Green Bay, WI in terms of the addiction treatment system.    Factors that lead to addiction.  This links to  Services women have expressed a need for or services that will likely be beneficial based on contributing factors   The services that are cu
I will be evaluating the needs of the community in Green Bay, WI in terms of the addiction treatment system. 
  • Factors that lead to addiction.  This links to
  • Services women have expressed a need for or services that will likely be beneficial based on contributing factors
  • The services that are currently available at the Women's Empowerment Center and otherwise found in the community
  • Assessment of services accessibility, usefulness, and ability for women to locate.  Also included is an assessment of how (women feel) services can be improved.
The last category consists of suggestions for improvement of current services or new services to implement.
This insight is about infection propagation and population migration influence on this propagation.
   
 For this, we defined a world population size and a percentage of it who’s infected. Then, we created an agent where we simulated possible states of an individual. 
 So, he can be healthy, infecte
This insight is about infection propagation and population migration influence on this propagation.


For this, we defined a world population size and a percentage of it who’s infected. Then, we created an agent where we simulated possible states of an individual.

So, he can be healthy, infected (with an infection rate) or immunized ( with a certain rate of immunization). If the individual is infected, he can be alive or dead. Then, we simulated different continents (North-America, Asia and Europe) with a migration between theses with a certain rate of migration (we tried to approach reality).


Then, thanks to our our move action which represent a circular permutation between the different continents with a random probability the agent will be applied to every individual of the world population.


How the program works ?


In order to use this insight needs to define a size of world population and a probability of every individual to reproduce himself.


Every individual of this population can have three different state (healthy, infected or immunized) and infected people can be alive or dead.

We need to define a percentage of infection to healthy people and a percentage of death for infected people and also a percentage of immunization.

Finally there is le migration part of the program, in this one we need to define three different continents, states or whatever you want. We also need to define a migration probability between each continent to move these person.


With this moving people we can study the influence of migration on the propagation of a disease.


Sessions at November 2018 Saskatoon Workshop by Nathaniel Osgood on Combining Data Science and Systems Science for Health See also Youtube video  playlist
Sessions at November 2018 Saskatoon Workshop by Nathaniel Osgood on Combining Data Science and Systems Science for Health See also Youtube video playlist
 This model should be used purely for personal interest.  I’m a designer and have no training in epidemiological studies. So, take this as an interesting experiment and nothing else.      I made it for a university subject looking into modelling and thought this was a very interesting topic area.
This model should be used purely for personal interest.  I’m a designer and have no training in epidemiological studies. So, take this as an interesting experiment and nothing else. 

I made it for a university subject looking into modelling and thought this was a very interesting topic area.

Using figures from: 
Zhang, L., Peng, P., Wu, Y., Ma, X., Soe, N. N., Huang, X., Wu, H., Markowitz, M., & Meyers, K. (2018). Modelling the epidemiological impact and cost-effectiveness of prep for HIV transmission in MSM in China. *AIDS and Behavior*, *23*(2), 523-533. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-018-2205-3

Schneider, K., Gray, R. T., & Wilson, D. P. (2014). A cost-effectiveness analysis of HIV Preexposure prophylaxis for men who have sex with men in Australia. *Clinical Infectious Diseases*, *58*(7), 1027-1034. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/cit946

AFAO. (2021). *HIV IN AUSTRALIA*. Australian Federation of AIDS Organisations. https://www.afao.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/HIV-in-Australia-2021.pdf

Department of Health. (2018). *National HIV Strategy* (8). Commonwealth of Australia. https://www1.health.gov.au/internet/main/publishing.nsf/Content/ohp-bbvs-1/$File/HIV-Eight-Nat-Strategy-2018-22.pdf

Monitoring HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (Prep) uptake in Australia: Issue 1*. (2021, June 29). Kirby Institute. https://kirby.unsw.edu.au/report/monitoring-hiv-prep-uptake-australia-issue1

Monitoring HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (Prep) uptake in Australia: Issue 4*. (2021, June 29). Kirby Institute. https://kirby.unsw.edu.au/report/monitoring-hiv-prep-uptake-australia-issue4
WIP Book summary of Frank Stilwell's 2019 Book, The Political Economy of Inequality, Polity Press  podcast and slides
WIP Book summary of Frank Stilwell's 2019 Book, The Political Economy of Inequality, Polity Press podcast and slides
​The hepatitis B virus is a silent killer. The incubation period is 60 to 90 days. After this period, the acute phase occurs.  During this period 90% of people infected with HBV will get rid of the virus, however 5% may die during this acute phase. The others, about 5%, will go to the chronic phase
​The hepatitis B virus is a silent killer.
The incubation period is 60 to 90 days. After this period, the acute phase occurs.
During this period 90% of people infected with HBV will get rid of the virus, however 5% may die during this acute phase. The others, about 5%, will go to the chronic phase which will cause liver damage and lead to cirrhosis of the liver and liver cancer.

Esther MIEKU REBIENO
Charles Alarich
   THE 2018 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION.  WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER R

THE 2018 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION.
WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

​This model has been constructed from the model published in the following article:  Jack B. Homer, "Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications for prevention and control".    System Dynamics Review 1 (no. 1, Summer 1985): 42-62. ISSN 0883-7066. 0 1985 by the Svstem Dynamics Society. 
​This model has been constructed from the model published in the following article:
Jack B. Homer, "Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications for prevention and control". 
System Dynamics Review 1 (no. 1, Summer 1985): 42-62. ISSN 0883-7066. 0 1985 by the Svstem Dynamics Society. 
   POPULATION CONTROL BASED ON THE 2017 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE

POPULATION CONTROL BASED ON THE 2017 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

This expanded World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

The number of doping cases at the Olympic Games has soared in the last 10 years. We feel that a systems thinking approach is necessary because it is a complex social and political problem with many underlying factors feeding into the system making it hard to find concrete one-off solutions. A system
The number of doping cases at the Olympic Games has soared in the last 10 years. We feel that a systems thinking approach is necessary because it is a complex social and political problem with many underlying factors feeding into the system making it hard to find concrete one-off solutions. A systems approach will enable us to find leverage points by breaking down the core problem thus making it easier to address the issue.
 This is a simple implementation of the SIR epidemiological model. See  Wikipedia  for a description.        The number of new infections is proportional to the total number of infected people, the fraction of the population that remains susceptible, and the ratio of the total number of infections p
This is a simple implementation of the SIR epidemiological model. See Wikipedia for a description. 

The number of new infections is proportional to the total number of infected people, the fraction of the population that remains susceptible, and the ratio of the total number of infections per case and the typical time to recover from an infection.
 A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with herd immunity and isolation policies.

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with herd immunity and isolation policies.