SUST1001U Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “SUST1001U”.

Insight diagram
The dynamics of a moose population with  birth and death rates that vary year to year depending on factors like food supply, predators, and random chance.
Moose Population Exponential Growth w Stochasticty
15 2 weeks ago
Insight diagram
The model simulates the local environmental (specifically greenhouse gas emissions), economic, and resource impacts of transitioning from internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) to electric vehicles (EVs) for personal ownership in New York City in the context of a sustainable program of new energy vehicles, which is the context of the current era. To be realistic, we combine delay and stochasticity in this model to simulate the real world. By understanding the model, one can gain insight into the importance of EV penetration for sustainable development.

SUST 1001U 2024 Fall Group 10 - Electrifying NYC: A System Dynamics Model of EV Adoption and Sustainability Impacts
Insight diagram
This model simulates the basic dynamics of a water reservoir, including the impact of rainfall, community water consumption, conservation efforts, and evaporation. The model shows how the reservoir’s water level changes over time based on natural inflows and human , nature water use.
Water Reservoir System (Basic)
Insight diagram
This model represents a population with a density-dependent birth rate for the population of the town of Whitby. The birth rate and death rate for the town of Whitby will be equal if the population in this model reaches its carrying capacity (K). When the town of Whitby's population exceeds its carrying capacity, that means that the death rate has exceeded the birth rate. The opposite occurs when the population is below its carrying capacity, which in this case, the birth rate has exceeded the death rate for this population. This model aims to demonstrate what happens to the current population of Whitby when it reaches its carrying capacity (K). 
The Logistic Growth of the Population of the Town of Whitby and its Dynamics
Insight diagram
This complex system displays the dynamics of Uxbridge, ON's estimated human population in the year of 2021 by use of density-dependent birth rate. Within this population model, the birth rate equals the death rate when the population of Uxbridge, ON is at its carrying capacity (birth rate = death rate). Two other scenarios can occur: When the birth rate is greater than the death rate, the population of Uxbridge, ON is below its carrying capacity (birth rate > death rate); when the birth rate is less than the death rate, the population of Uxbridge, ON is above the carrying capacity (birth rate < death rate). 

Note: A complex system is one in which there may be multiple variables which affect the inflow and outflow into and out of the stock. In this specific system, the human population is the stock, and the inflow and outflow is the human population change, which is affected by the human population per capita growth rate. This variable is also impacted by the following variables: carrying capacity, human maximum birth rate, human minimum death rate. It should be noted that this complex system does not include two of the four key factors that influence alterations in population dynamics, those being immigration (inflow into the population) and emigration (outflow from a population). 
Logistic Human Population for Uxbridge, Ontario: Complex System Dynamics
Insight diagram
This model simulates the tradeoff between the total costs and total benefits of using AI. The model shows the investment rate in comparison to the effectiveness and efficiency rate of the AI and we can visualize this relationship with our graph to see the cost and benefits of AI.
AI
Insight diagram
The dynamics of a villages population with constant birth and death rates.
Modeling the growth in the number of villagers
Insight diagram

This complex system models the dynamics and impacts of transportation efficacy and efficiency of sustainable urban transportation in Durham Region. Within the Regional Municipality of Durham, there are eight local Municipalities consisting of Ajax, Brock, Clarington, Oshawa, Pickering, Scugog, Uxbridge, and Whitby, which account for a total population of approximately 750,000 individuals as of 2023. As Durham Region continues to expand and increase in population, road structures will be faced with an increasing traffic load that will generate a significant amount of carbon emissions. Due to the prevailing climate concerns, the need for sustainable urban transportation is evident.

Urban transportation systems are a cornerstone of city life. They connect communities and businesses, while providing access to services, supporting economic and social activities. Maintaining a vast network of transportation systems as cities grow, becomes increasingly challenging. These challenges, consisting of traffic congestion, environmental impact, and diverse transportation needs, become of paramount concern, such that political campaigns run solely on these platforms.

Within this stock and flow model are the main variables that comprise transportation emissions within Durham Region. The urban transportation model highlights different modes of transportation in the form of stocks, which consist of public transit users (bus), fossil fuel car drivers, and EV car drivers, as well as the inflows and outflows that are influenced by various variables. 

All data used within this model was obtained from the various sources on the internet. The data used within the model is based off of estimate values. Data pertaining to population values and cities/towns that comprise Durham Region, ON obtained from the following source(s): 



Regional Municipality of Durham. (n.d.). Demographics and statistics. Durham Region Economic Development and Tourism. Retrieved November 24, 2024, from https://www.durham.ca/en/economic-development/invest-and-grow/demographics-and-statistics.aspx

Regional Municipality of Durham. (n.d.). Local municipalities. Durham Region. Retrieved from https://www.durham.ca/en/regional-government/local-municipalities.aspx

Clone of EcoTransit Durham - Modeling Urban Transportation in Durham Region
Insight diagram
The dynamics of a moose population with density-dependent birth rate...the birth rate equals the death rate when the population is at carrying capacity; the birth rate is greater than the death rate when the population is below carrying capacity; the birth rate is below the death rate when the population is above carrying capacity.
Logistic Moose Population Dynamics Deterministic w Delay
135 2 weeks ago
Insight diagram
A model demonstrating the differences in productivity and cost in an arbitrary workforce (this could be one company/institution or an entire area). I used AI to assist me in creating this model, by explaining to it what I would like to have as my main stocks and what I'd like to model, and then had it suggest variables, flows, and links (and thus equations for the flows and variables as well). The actual initial values were also suggested by the AI.
Efficiency & Productivity of using AI in Workforce
Insight diagram
This model illustrates the flow of water in a reservoir, with inflows from rainfall and outflows from community water usage. It tracks how the amount of water in the reservoir changes over time, depending on the balance between inflow and outflow. In this example, the inflow from rainfall (2,000 liters/day) exceeds the outflow from water consumption (1,500 liters/day + 400 liters/day = 1,900 liters/day), leading to a gradual increase in the reservoir's water level by 100 liters per day. The model demonstrates how fluctuations in rainfall and water usage rates affect the sustainability of water resources, making it useful for understanding water management in changing environmental conditions.
Water in a Reservoir Model
Insight diagram
Canadian population dynamics where growth rate (birth rate plus immigration rate) depends on density ...... When the population is at carrying capacity, the growth rate is equal to the mortality rate; when the population is below carrying capacity, the growth rate is greater than the mortality rate; when the population is above carrying capacity, the growth rate is lower than the mortality rate.
Canada Population Dynamics
Insight diagram
The dynamics of household water management with constant water supply and usage rates.


This model simulates the management of water in a household. The “Water Reservoir” stock represents the total amount of water available. The “Water Supply” inflow adds water to the reservoir based on the “Supply Rate.” The “Water Usage” outflow removes water from the reservoir based on the “Usage Rate.” By adjusting the “Supply Rate” and “Usage Rate,” users can see how conservation efforts impact water availability over time.
Model 1 - Water Usage and Conservation in a Household
Insight diagram
This model represents the exponential growth of a Quokka population. Quokka's are a small creature which are native to the Australian continent. This model's inflow are the joey's that enter the initial quokka population through each quokka mother that gives birth. This would be like the faucet turning on in the bathtub model which then adds to the stock. The initial quokka population is the stock according to the bathtub model as previously mentioned in this week's reading by Donella Meadows. The stock is what is already present. So the tub contains water, just like how the initial population of quokka's is present before the addition of baby quokka's, also known as joey's. Finally, the outflow, are the quokka's leaving the population by death. Similar to the bathtub model, this would be similar to the drain, removing the stock from the model. This whole system keeps the quokka population in equilibrium and can also act as a guide to sustainability, as it allows us to view birth and death rates of a population. We can then work with the numbers of this model to decide how we want to approach this population with sustainability in mind. For example, a high birth rate means we would need to find methods to control the population to create a sustainable environment which is able to maintain this population. Overall, this model can help look at population rates, while keeping sustainability in mind. 
The Exponential Growth of a Quokka Population and its Features
Insight diagram
The population dynamics of rabbits (prey) and foxes (predator) under different birth and death rates for both 
The "population Dynamics of Rabbit (Prey) and ( Foxes) (Group 3 - Model 2)"
Insight diagram
The dynamics of population growth and decline are influenced by a balance between birth rates and death rates, which are affected by various social, economic, and environmental factors. One key concept in population dynamics is the idea of carrying capacity, which refers to the maximum population size that an environment can sustain indefinitely given the available resources like food, water, shelter, and medical care.

When a human population is at or near its carrying capacity, the birth rate equals the death rate. In this state, the population size remains stable because the number of individuals being born roughly matches the number of individuals dying. This equilibrium prevents the population from growing any further, as the available resources are just sufficient to maintain the current population size.

If the human population is below the carrying capacity, the birth rate tends to be greater than the death rate. This is often because there are more abundant resources per person, leading to better health, improved access to necessities, and increased life expectancy. In such conditions, population growth can occur, as more people are being born than are dying, pushing the population size upwards. 

Conversely, when the human population is above the carrying capacity, the death rate surpasses the birth rate. This can happen when resources become scarce, leading to issues such as malnutrition, lack of access to clean water or healthcare, and increased disease prevalence. As a result, the population may decrease until it returns to a level that can be sustained by the available resources.
Logistic Human Population Dynamics of New York City
Insight diagram
Plastic Pollution in the world. 

The model illustrates the dynamics of plastic pollution in the world, specifically focusing on the cycle of plastic waste. The system includes four key components: recycled plastic, recycled and reused plastic, incinerated plastic, and plastic waste sent to landfills. Positive and negative feedback loops interconnect these components, influencing the overall flow of plastic through the system.
Model 3_Group 6
Insight diagram
A model demonstrating the differences in productivity and cost in an arbitrary workforce (this could be one company/institution or an entire area). I used AI to assist me in creating this model, by explaining to it what I would like to have as my main stocks and what I'd like to model, and then had it suggest variables, flows, and links (and thus equations for the flows and variables as well). The actual initial values were also suggested by the AI.
Clone of Efficiency & Productivity of using AI in Workforce
Insight diagram
The dynamics of a human population with density-dependent birth rate. When the population reaches the limit that the environment can support (carrying capacity), births and deaths happen at the same rate. If the population is below this limit, more people are born than die, so the population grows. If the population goes above the limit, more people die than are born, so the population shrinks
Model 2 - Modeling a Human Population
Insight diagram
This model exemplifies the simple system of a bathtub. The total water volume in the bathtub (lWater) at any given time is determined by the water added from the faucet and the water removed through the drain. The volume of water added from the faucet is affected by the water inflow rate, and the volume of water draining out of the bathtub is affected by the outflow rate. In this model, the total water volume (lWater) increases over time because the inflow rate (0.5L/s) is greater than the outflow rate (0.2L/s).
Modeling Group 5 - The Bathtub
Insight diagram


SUST1001U Sustainability Fundamentals
Dr. Bob Bailey

Group 4:

Amandeep Saroa (100836651)
Matt Baird (1008406500)

Nami Zuha (100821467)

Zachary Wayne (100814747)

The purpose of the InsightMaker model is to model how Waste-to-Energy (WtE) technology impacts waste management efficiency, energy output and greenhouse gas emissions for the scale of ten years (assuming the WtE technology integration in an urban setting). This will determine if WtE has the capability of minimizing the reliance on waste landfills as well as assisting reaching renewable energy targets. This model will shine light on Waste-to-Energy sustainability opportunities and challenges.


Orange variables are associated with calculating waste volume, green variables are associated with calculating energy generation.



Clone of Impact of Waste-to-Energy Technology on Urban Sustainability
Insight diagram
This model analyzes the growth and dynamics of Oshawa’s population using a logistic approach. Starting with an initial population of 170,000 and an increased carrying capacity of 180,000, it evaluates how the addition of new neighbourhoods, planned to accommodate an extra 10,000 residents over the next 10-15 years (or whatever time period) affects population changes. Key factors include the Oshawa Residents Death/Emigration Rate of 0.8% (realistic percent approximation), accounting for natural deaths and emigration, and the Oshawa Residents Birth/Immigration Rate of 2.4% (also a realistic percent approximation), reflecting new residents through births and immigration. The model tracks the net population change, providing insights into how Oshawa's population might grow or stabilize as it approaches its new carrying capacity!
Logistic Model of Oshawa's Population Growth with Increased Residential Carrying Capacity
Insight diagram
Note: The following model is purely designed by ChatGPT with very limited human intervention.

This model simulates the tradeoff between the costs of AI resource allocation and the resulting benefits in terms of increased efficiency and effectiveness. It demonstrates how resources are invested in AI, how efficiency gains accumulate, and how diminishing returns impact the overall effectiveness over time. Key variables, such as resource cost, return on investment, and diminishing returns, illustrate the dynamic balance between resource consumption and productivity improvements.
AI Resource Tradeoff Model: Balancing Costs and Benefits
Insight diagram
This complex system models the dynamics of energy demand and consumption within the small, rural town of Uxbridge, ON. The town of Uxbridge, ON has a total population of approximately 21,500 individuals as of 2021. Within this town, there are an estimated total of 8,310 residential dwellings and 855 businesses, all of which consume various degrees of energy from various sources on the daily. 

The inflow of energy, which is stored in Uxbridge's energy grid of available and generated energy (the stock), comes from various means of fuel sources consisting of nuclear, gas, hydro, wind, solar, and biofuel power plants. The energy these sources generate is utilized as a source of power for the residences and businesses of Uxbridge, ON. 

The outflow of energy from Uxbridge's energy grid provides both the residents and businesses of Uxbridge, ON with the energy that they will consume. The demand and thus, total energy consumed by both divisions is dependent on two main variables, those being, the average number of households and/or businesses, and the average electricity consumption for both. There is also the contribution of energy to residents from their own micro-environments, specifically in the form of wind and solar power, which is utilized as a means to reduce the town's dependence on its energy grid and move toward implementing a more sustainable energy system. In such, one can describe the outflow of energy as that which is provided from Uxbridge's energy grid and consumed by residences and businesses in Uxbridge, ON. 

If the demand outweighs the supply, there will not be enough energy generated and therefore, there will not be enough energy available to meet the needs of the town. In opposition, if the supply outweighs the demand, there will be enough energy generated and therefore, be available to meet the needs of the town. It is important to note trends within the data that display and suggest if there is a greater supply or demand for energy within the town, and how this relationship changes throughout various times of the day. 

Note: The amount of energy available that is provided by the various fuel sources, and the consumption by the residences and business of the town can fluctuate and differ throughout different hours of the day. As some sources' generation of energy, such as solar power, are dependent on the degree of available sunlight, the numbers utilized in this model are based off of daily averages but are subject to change. Therefore, the numbers of this graph should not be considered to be accurate for all hours of the day. 

All data used within this model was obtained from the various sources on the internet. The data used within the model is based off of estimate values. Data pertaining to energy information, residential home numbers, and business numbers for Uxbridge, ON was obtained from the following source(s):  

1. https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2021/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&SearchText=Uxbridge&DGUIDlist=2021A00053518029&GENDERlist=1,2,3&STATISTIClist=1&HEADERlist=0

2. https://www.uxbridge.ca/en/business-and-development/community-profile.aspx

Data for the amount of energy generated per hour in Ontario, as well as per the various fuel types and the energy they generate per hour in Ontario was obtained from the following source(s): 

3. https://live.gridwatch.ca/home-page.html
Electricity in A Rural Community: Energy Inflow and Outflow in Uxbridge, ON