Internet of Things and Data Collection - Active and Passive Data under Conditions of Regulation.
System Dynamics Internet Of Things Data Analysis Internet Data Collection
Internet of Things and Data Collection - Active and Passive Data under Conditions of Regulation.
Active and Passive Internet of Things - Regulated
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Foxes birth rate  is increase by 50%
System Dynamics
Foxes birth rate  is increase by 50%
Investigation of Predator/Prey Modal 1 Scenario 6
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Overview A model which simulates the competition between logging versus adventure tourism (mountain bike ridding) in Derby Tasmania.  Simulation borrowed from the Easter Island simulation. How the model works. Trees grow, we cut them down because of demand for Timber amd sell the logs. Wit
BMA708 System Dynamics Economy Ecology Tourism Mountain biking Derby Tasmania Marketing Insights into Big Data Forestry
Overview
A model which simulates the competition between logging versus adventure tourism (mountain bike ridding) in Derby Tasmania.  Simulation borrowed from the Easter Island simulation.

How the model works.
Trees grow, we cut them down because of demand for Timber amd sell the logs.
With mountain bkie visits.  This depends on past experience and recommendations.  Past experience and recommendations depends on Scenery number of trees compared to visitor and Adventure number of trees and users.  Park capacity limits the number of users.  
Interesting insights
It seems that high logging does not deter mountain biking.  By reducing park capacity, visitor experience and numbers are improved.  A major problem is that any success with the mountain bike park leads to an explosion in visitor numbers.  Also a high price of timber is needed to balance popularity of the park. It seems also that only a narrow corridor is needed for mountain biking
Simulation of Derby Mountain biking versus logging. Version 2
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Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in  All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flo
System Dynamics Sterman
Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flow connection with a connection from Trig. function.  Repeat (A) & (B).
Clone of Sterman Model (2002)
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Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in  All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flo
System Dynamics Sterman
Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flow connection with a connection from Trig. function.  Repeat (A) & (B).
Clone of Sterman Model (2002)
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Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in  All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flo
Sterman System Dynamics
Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flow connection with a connection from Trig. function.  Repeat (A) & (B).
Clone of Sterman Model (2002)
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Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in  All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flo
System Dynamics Sterman
Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flow connection with a connection from Trig. function.  Repeat (A) & (B).
Clone of Sterman Model (2002)
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Overview A model which simulates the competition between logging versus adventure tourism (mountain bike ridding) in Derby Tasmania.  Simulation borrowed from the Easter Island simulation. How the model works. Trees grow, we cut them down because of demand for Timber amd sell the logs. Wit
BMA708 System Dynamics Economy Ecology Tourism Mountain biking Derby Tasmania Marketing Insights into Big Data Forestry
Overview
A model which simulates the competition between logging versus adventure tourism (mountain bike ridding) in Derby Tasmania.  Simulation borrowed from the Easter Island simulation.

How the model works.
Trees grow, we cut them down because of demand for Timber amd sell the logs.
With mountain bkie visits.  This depends on past experience and recommendations.  Past experience and recommendations depends on Scenery number of trees compared to visitor and Adventure number of trees and users.  Park capacity limits the number of users.  
Interesting insights
It seems that high logging does not deter mountain biking.  By reducing park capacity, visitor experience and numbers are improved.  A major problem is that any success with the mountain bike park leads to an explosion in visitor numbers.  Also a high price of timber is needed to balance popularity of the park. It seems also that only a narrow corridor is needed for mountain biking
Clone of Simulation of Derby Mountain biking versus logging
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Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in  All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flo
Sterman System Dynamics
Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flow connection with a connection from Trig. function.  Repeat (A) & (B).
Clone of Sterman Model (2002)
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A new archetype, The Tyranny of Small Steps (TYST) has been observed. Explained through a system dynamics perspective, the archetypical behaviour TYST is an unwanted change to a system through a series of small activities that may be independent from one another. These activities are small enough no
Archetype System Dynamics ABM Agent Based Modelling
A new archetype, The Tyranny of Small Steps (TYST) has been observed. Explained through a system dynamics perspective, the archetypical behaviour TYST is an unwanted change to a system through a series of small activities that may be independent from one another. These activities are small enough not to be detected by the ‘surveillance’ within the system, but significant enough to encroach upon the “tolerance” zone of the system and compromise the integrity of the system. TYST is an unintentional process that is experienced within the system and made possible by the lack of transparency between an overarching level and a local level where the encroachment is taking place.

Reference:

Haraldsson, H. V., Sverdrup, H. U., Belyazid, S., Holmqvist, J. and Gramstad, R. C. J. (2008), The Tyranny of Small Steps: a reoccurring behaviour in management. Syst. Res., 25: 25–43. doi: 10.1002/sres.859 

Clone of The Tyranny of small steps archetype (agent based)
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Ciclo 1 extra repair consturction errors rework
Construction System Dynamics
Ciclo 1 extra repair consturction errors rework
Clone of Clone of Construction Rework SD
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Evolution of Covid-19 in Brazil: A System Dynamics Approach Villela, Paulo (2020) paulo.villela@engenharia.ufjf.br This model is based on  Crokidakis, Nuno . (2020). Data analysis and modeling of the evolution of COVID-19 in Brazil . For more details see full paper here .
COVID-19 SIR Model System Dynamics Brazil Epidemiology
Evolution of Covid-19 in Brazil:
A System Dynamics Approach

Villela, Paulo (2020)
paulo.villela@engenharia.ufjf.br

This model is based on Crokidakis, Nuno. (2020). Data analysis and modeling of the evolution of COVID-19 in Brazil. For more details see full paper here.

Evolução da Covid-19 no Brasil
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Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in  All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flo
System Dynamics Sterman
Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flow connection with a connection from Trig. function.  Repeat (A) & (B).
Clone of Sterman Model (2002)
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hladina a tok
System Dynamics
hladina a tok
My Insight
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Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in  All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flo
System Dynamics Sterman
Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flow connection with a connection from Trig. function.  Repeat (A) & (B).
Clone of Sterman Model (2002)
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Overview This model which simulates the competition of Logging with Mountain Tourism in Derby, Tasmania.  This main reason of this simulation is to find if logging will affect the mountain tourism and by any chance they can co-exist. How the model works. Both Timber harvesting and mountain t
BMA708 System Dynamics Economy Ecology Tourism Mountain biking Derby Tasmania Marketing Insights into Big Data Forestry
Overview
This model which simulates the competition of Logging with Mountain Tourism in Derby, Tasmania.  This main reason of this simulation is to find if logging will affect the mountain tourism and by any chance they can co-exist.

How the model works.
Both Timber harvesting and mountain tourism can bring the economic contribution to Tasmania. In the Logging industry, it helps increase the need of employment and at the same time logging generate the profit through selling those timbers. In the Mountain Tourism industry, it can get the revenue through couple of ways which include accommodation (approximately 3 days find in paper), Restaurant and parking fee. However, the low growth rate of the trees is not keeping up with the rate of logging, if the trees getting less in Derby mountain, it will affect the sights and the riding experience for tourists, which will affect the satisfaction and expectation as it depends on the sights and experience. The satisfaction and expectation will influence the number of visitors, if they satisfied, they can come again or tell others about the great experience, if not, more and more people will not come again.

Interesting insights
It seems like logging has no significant negative effect to the mountain tourism, compare the forestry income with the tourism income, tourism income gradually higher than the forestry income at last, which means tourism is in a very important position, as long as the visitors are stable, tourism industry can provide greater economic contribution, stakeholders and governments can find the balance by maintain the status or better slightly reduce logging in order to make them co-exist.
Simulation of Derby Mountain biking versus logging
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Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in  All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flo
Sterman System Dynamics
Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flow connection with a connection from Trig. function.  Repeat (A) & (B).
Clone of Sterman Model (2002)
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A pest known as a grape-leaf hopper can cause considerable losses in vineyards. Periodically it was found that a natural parasite, anagrus epos, drastically reduced the size of the hopper population. This, in turn, led to a reduction in food (hoppers) available to the parasite and the parasite popul
System Dynamics
A pest known as a grape-leaf hopper can cause considerable losses in vineyards. Periodically it was found that a natural parasite, anagrus epos, drastically reduced the size of the hopper population. This, in turn, led to a reduction in food (hoppers) available to the parasite and the parasite population declined until the hopper population increased again. This cycle would repeat.It was found that the parasite, anagrus epos, also feeds on a non-pest leaf hopper which feeds on blackberries. By planting small patches of wild blackberries in the vineyards, the growers were able to maintain a stable parasite population that was large enough to control population explosions of both leaf hoppers.
Grape-leaf Hopper system
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4
Ciclo 1 extra repair consturction errors rework
System Dynamics Construction
Ciclo 1 extra repair consturction errors rework
Clone of Construction Rework SD
Profile photo chikwa mwanza
Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in  All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flo
Sterman System Dynamics
Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flow connection with a connection from Trig. function.  Repeat (A) & (B).
Clone of Sterman Model (2002)
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Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in  All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flo
System Dynamics Sterman
Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flow connection with a connection from Trig. function.  Repeat (A) & (B).
Clone of Sterman Model (2002)
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Insight diagram
System Dynamics
Clone of Clone of Investigation of Predator/Prey Modal 2
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Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in  All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flo
Sterman System Dynamics
Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flow connection with a connection from Trig. function.  Repeat (A) & (B).
Clone of Sterman Model (2002)
Profile photo Amanda Lengnick-Hall
Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in  All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flo
System Dynamics Sterman
Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flow connection with a connection from Trig. function.  Repeat (A) & (B).
Clone of Sterman Model (2002)
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