Explanation   This model shows the COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie and how the government policy impacts the economy. The possible phases when the infectious disease spreads in Burnie can be labelled as Susceptible, Infection and Recovery, which are main factors in the model. It is concluded that the
Explanation
This model shows the COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie and how the government policy impacts the economy. The possible phases when the infectious disease spreads in Burnie can be labelled as Susceptible, Infection and Recovery, which are main factors in the model. It is concluded that the government policy can reduce the infectious disease and also the impact in the overall economy.

Assumption
The Government Healthy Policy will affect the decrease in the infection and economy growth rate at the same time.

The Government Health Policy is only triggered when there are more than 10 cases

The increase in number of COVID-19 cases can affect negatively towards the economic growth.

Interesting Insights:
The Government's vaccination promote will reduce the possibility of spreading the infectious disease. 

When vaccination rate increase, the dead, infected people and susceptible group will all decrease. This reveals that the crucial role in government's vaccination promote program.

When there is more than 10 confirmed cases, the government policies can effectively reduce the infections and the overall economic activities.


 The model here shows the COVID-19 outbreaks in Burnie Tasmania, which has impacted in the local economy. the relationship between COVID-19 and economic situation has been shown in the graph. Based on the susceptible analysis, people who usual go out are might have chance to meet susceptible people
The model here shows the COVID-19 outbreaks in Burnie Tasmania, which has impacted in the local economy. the relationship between COVID-19 and economic situation has been shown in the graph. Based on the susceptible analysis, people who usual go out are might have chance to meet susceptible people and have a high rate to be infected. The period of spreading can be controlled by keeping social distance and Government lockdown policy. 

Susceptible can be exposed by go out.  resident has a possibility to infect and be infected by others. people who might be die due to the lack of immunity. and others would recover and get the immune. 

Beside, the economy situation is proportionate to the recovery rate. If there are more recovery rate from the pandemic, the employment rate will be increased and the economy situation will recover as well.   
 This model is to explain the COVID-19 outbreak in Brunie Island, Tasmania, Australia, and the relationship between it and the government policies , also with the local economy.      This model is upgraded on the basis of the SIR model and adds more variables.      A large number of COVID-19 cases w
This model is to explain the COVID-19 outbreak in Brunie Island, Tasmania, Australia, and the relationship between it and the government policies , also with the local economy.

This model is upgraded on the basis of the SIR model and adds more variables.

A large number of COVID-19 cases will have a negative impact on the local economy. But if the number of cases is too small, it will have no impact on the macro economy

Government policy will help control the growth of COVID-19 cases by getting people tested.


 This Model was first developed from the SIR model (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered). It was designed to explore relationship between the government policies regarding the COVID-19 and its influences on the economy as well as well-being of local residents.       Assumptions:   Government policies w

This Model was first developed from the SIR model (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered). It was designed to explore relationship between the government policies regarding the COVID-19 and its influences on the economy as well as well-being of local residents. 

 

Assumptions:

Government policies will be triggered when reported COVID-19 case are 10 or less;

Government policies reduces the infection and economic growth at the same time.

 


Interesting Insights:

In the first two weeks, the infected people showed an exponential growth, in another word, that’s the most important period to control the number of people who got affected. 

 

Model di samping adalah model SEIR yang telah dimodifikasi sehingga dapat digunakan untuk menyimulasikan perkembangan penyebaran COVID-19.
Model di samping adalah model SEIR yang telah dimodifikasi sehingga dapat digunakan untuk menyimulasikan perkembangan penyebaran COVID-19.
 Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.