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Covid-19 Italy
11 months ago
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Contamination COVID-19
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The SEIRS(D) model for the purpose of experimenting with the phenomena of viral spread. I use it for COVID-19 simulation.
Clone of SEIR - COVID-19 (v.1)
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Joseph P.
Jalyen T.
John C.
Eco-Innovation Group Project Cause/Problem/Effect Version
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Самостоятельная 2 работа
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If no attempt is made to eradicate SARS-CoV-2 it will eventually become endemic, ineradicable, at a high never-ending cost to world in terms of economic growth, human health and lives. The current strategy adopted by most governments is to impose  restrictive measures when the virus threatens to overwhelm hospital services and to relax these restrictions as this danger recedes. This is short-sighted. It cannot eliminate the highly infectious delta variant, which has an estimated R0-value of between 6 & 9. Periodic lockdowns will be hard to avoid in the future.

However, eradication is possible, herd immunity can be achieved quickly worldwide, reducing the R0 permanently to below 1, which will lead to the disappearance of the virus. Critical in achieving this is Ivermectin, a medicine that is cheap,  readily available and can be manufactured by most countries. A recent meta study has shown that Ivermectin, prophylactically employed, can prevent infection with the virus  by 86 % on average – very similar to the efficacy of vaccines. Eradication will require employment of all the instruments shown in the graph: future generations do not have to live with this plague. 

SarsCov 2: Countering its Dynamic
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SIRD COVID-19 Хубэй
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The System Dynamics Of Covid-19 Pandemic at Puerto Princesa City Palawan
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covid 19 in china 2
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SIMULASI COVID-19_AUGUSTO DA COSTA DOS SANTOS
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COVID-19 SD model
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Recent COVID-19 Outbreak in Burnie Tasmania
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Өзіндік жұмыс
11 months ago
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Өзіндік жұмыс агенттік
4 months ago
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This is a mitigated model showing the potential spread of COVID-19 across the healthcare system.

COVID phased community model DEMO V1.1 Northern
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Exemple de modélisation
https://youtu.be/Kas0tIxDvrg
Les chiffres 
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-symptoms/
Modélisation Covid-19 aka Coronavirus
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Pada Tugas 3 mata kuliah Pemodelan Transportasi Laut, ditugaskan untuk membuat pemodelan penyebaran COVID-19 di negara yang dipilih, dan pada simulasi ini merupakan negara Indonesia

Dosen Pengampu : Dr.-Ing Ir Setyo Nugroho
Simulasi Pemodelan Penyebaran COVID-19 di Indonesia
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COVID-19 model with hospitalizations and deaths
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Covid-19
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The SEIRS(D) model for the purpose of experimenting with the phenomena of viral spread. I use it for COVID-19 simulation.
Clone of SEIR - COVID-19 (v.1)
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COVID-19 Outbreak in Burnie Tasmania Simulation Model

Introduction:

This model simulates the COVID-19 outbreak situation in Burnie and how the government responses impact local economy. The COVID-19 pandemic spread is influenced by several factors including infection rate, recovery rate, death rate and government's intervention policies.Government's policies reduce the infection spread and also impact economic activities in Burnie, especially its tourism and local businesses.   

Assumptions: 

- This model was built based on different rates, including infection rate, recovery rate, death rate, testing rate and economic growth rate. There can be difference between 
this model and reality.

- This model considers tourism and local business are the main industries influencing local economy in Burnie.

- Government's intervention policies will positive influence on local COVID-19 spread but also negative impact on local economic activity.

- When there are more than 10 COVID-19 cases confirmed, the government policies will be triggered, which will brings effects both restricting the virus spread and reducing local economic growth.

- Greater COVID-19 cases will negatively influence local economic activities.

Interesting Insights:

Government's vaccination policy will make a important difference on restricting the infection spread. When vaccination rate increase, the number of deaths, infected people and susceptible people all decrease. This may show the importance of the role of government's vaccination policy.

When confirmed cases is more than 10, government's intervention policies are effective on reducing the infections, meanwhile local economic activities will be reduced.

BMA708-Tian Liang-586868-Model of COVID-19 Outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania
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Simulasi Pemodelan Penyebaran COVID-19 di Indonesia + Prokes
Simulasi Pemodelan Penyebaran COVID-19 di Indonesia + Prokes
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This is a mitigated model showing the potential spread of COVID-19 across the healthcare system.

COVID phased community model DEMO V1.1 Western