Comprehensive model outlining the cause and effects the advent of autonomous electric cars have had upon supply and demand as well as numerous other aspects of the economy.
Comprehensive model outlining the cause and effects the advent of autonomous electric cars have had upon supply and demand as well as numerous other aspects of the economy.
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  The current electricity portfolio of Texas  is heavily reliant on high-emission sources of fossil fuel (i.e. Coal). Texas has a range of energy options at its disposal and has the opportunity to make choices that grow renewables (e.g. solar and wind) while encouraging the production of le

The current electricity portfolio of Texas is heavily reliant on high-emission sources of fossil fuel (i.e. Coal). Texas has a range of energy options at its disposal and has the opportunity to make choices that grow renewables (e.g. solar and wind) while encouraging the production of less carbon-intensive fossil fuels (e.g. natural gas).

As boundaries to our problem, we will be using 35 years as our time frame. We will also limit our model to the State of Texas as our spatial extent. Over the past decade, Texas is becoming a major natural gas consumer; the electricity portfolio has been gradually changing. However, around 40% of electricity is still generated from burning coal, and only a very minor portion of electricity is from renewables. Texas is betting better in adopting solar and wind energy, however generally speaking the state is still falling behind in renewable energy.

The two main goals are to lower the overall emission of greenhouse gases for the electricity grid and to encourage growth of cleaner, renewable energy resources.

Our objectives include maximizing the economic benefits of exploring unconventional oil and natural gas resources, diversifying the energy portfolio of Texas, encouraging the production and exportation of unconventional hydrocarbon resources, and reallocating the added revenue to the transition to renewables, like wind and solar

This is a model for progression through a program. Inputs include thresholds for movement through the program, based on progress made in the portion of the program the participant(s) is currently in. Outputs include the progress of the participant(s) in meeting their program goals over time, as well
This is a model for progression through a program. Inputs include thresholds for movement through the program, based on progress made in the portion of the program the participant(s) is currently in. Outputs include the progress of the participant(s) in meeting their program goals over time, as well as totals for the total amount of change enacted by reducing X value of something, be it energy consumption, food usage, etc. Units of time are in weeks; changing time values at the core to months, years, etc. would involve rewriting the lines within each variable, however simple calculations at the end are possible as well. A detailed description of what this model does, what the "thresholds" are, and what inputs/outputs are required follows.



Individual "programs" listed in the model are essentially separate programs that a participant or participants could move through once they have reached the designated thresholds of progress to do so.

The designated "thresholds" are in terms of time and progress. Progress is measured as a percent (in terms of 35, 46.5, 100, not .35, .465, 1.00) of completed progress in the program compared to total progress possible. "Total Progress Possible" is determined by taking the user's current use/consumption, and subtracting from that the ideal use/consumption which they can achieve based on their circumstances. An example could make this easier to see:

For example, say somebody currently uses 250 kWh of power in their home a week. They could, based on their circumstances, reduce their weekly consumption to 100 kWh/week. Therefore, the "Total Progress Possible" is a reduction of 150 kWh/week. Say the homeowner is then in the program, and has achieved 50% of progress; this would mean that they have reduced their energy consumption/week by 75 kWh.
 This is the original model version (v1.0) with default "standard run" parameter set: see detailed commentary  here  and  here . As of 2 September 2015, ongoing development has now shifted to  this version  of the model.   The significance of reduced energy return on energy invested (EROI) in the tr
This is the original model version (v1.0) with default "standard run" parameter set: see detailed commentary here and here. As of 2 September 2015, ongoing development has now shifted to this version of the model.

The significance of reduced energy return on energy invested (EROI) in the transition from fossil fuel to renewable primary energy sources is often disputed by both renewable energy proponents and mainstream economists.​ This model illustrates the impact of EROI in large-scale energy transition using a system dynamics approach. The variables of primary interest here are: 1) net energy available to "the rest of the economy" as renewable penetration increases [Total final energy services out to the economy]; and 2) the size of the energy sector as a proportion of overall economic activity, treating energy use as a very rough proxy for size [Energy services ratio].
This model aggregates energy supply in the form of fuels and electricity as a single variable, total final energy services, and treats the global economy as a single closed system.
The model includes all major incumbent energy sources, and assumes a transition to wind, PV, hydro and nuclear generated electricity, plus biomass electricity and fuels. Hydro, biomass and nuclear growth rates are built into the model from the outset, and wind and PV emplacement rates respond to the built-in retirement rates for fossil energy sources, by attempting to make up the difference between the historical maximum total energy services out to the global economy, and the current total energy services out. Intermittency of PV and wind are compensated via Li-ion battery storage. Note, however, that seasonal variation of PV is not fully addressed i.e. PV is modeled using annual and global average parameters. For this to have anything close to real world validity, this would require that all PV capacity is located in highly favourable locations in terms of annual average insolation, and that energy is distributed from these regions to points of end use. The necessary distribution infrastructure is not included in the model at this stage.
It is possible to explore the effect of seasonal variation with PV assumed to be distributed more widely by de-rating capacity factor and increasing the autonomy period for storage.

This version of the model takes values for emplaced capacities of conventional sources (i.e. all energy sources except wind and PV) as exogenous inputs, based on data generated from earlier endogenously-generated emplaced capacities (for which emplacement rates as a proportion of existing installed capacity were the primary exogenous input).
 Ein einfaches Modell, das beschreibt, wie eine Kaffeetasse und der Kaffee darin abkühlt, nachdem man den heissen Kaffee eingefüllt hat.  So wie das Modell im Grundzustand von mir gespeichert wurde, simuliert es eine realistische Tasse, die nicht vorgewärmt ist und Zimmertemperatur hat den festen We
Ein einfaches Modell, das beschreibt, wie eine Kaffeetasse und der Kaffee darin abkühlt, nachdem man den heissen Kaffee eingefüllt hat.
So wie das Modell im Grundzustand von mir gespeichert wurde, simuliert es eine realistische Tasse, die nicht vorgewärmt ist und Zimmertemperatur hat den festen Wert (T_0 =  22 °C).
Wählen/verändern kann man:
Anfangstemperatur des Kaffees
Anfangstemperatur der Kaffeetasse
Wärmekapazität der Tasse
Wärmeleitfähigkeiten und Wärmeübergangszahlen der Materialien


Read it, it's not hard to understand    Your omega is too high
Read it, it's not hard to understand

Your omega is too high
 This model simulates the motion of a shuttlecock. It also shows the structure of translational mechanics. Below you can see the two momentum balances with the forces as the strengths of momentum currents and momentum sources. In the middle, the velocity is integrated into the distance. The energy b
This model simulates the motion of a shuttlecock. It also shows the structure of translational mechanics. Below you can see the two momentum balances with the forces as the strengths of momentum currents and momentum sources. In the middle, the velocity is integrated into the distance. The energy balance is optionally included at the top. This balance contributes nothing to the dynamics of the system. There are no causal arrows leading away from this sub-model.
Video: https://youtu.be/FcW4mj2iwWo
This model prototypes the working of an Smart Grid with Electric Vehicles   The objective is testing the theoretical advantages of batteries (also batteries in Electric Vehicles) in combination with renewable energies. The model considers two houses, that store energy both in Electric Vehicles (Vehi
This model prototypes the working of an Smart Grid with Electric Vehicles

The objective is testing the theoretical advantages of batteries (also batteries in Electric Vehicles) in combination with renewable energies. The model considers two houses, that store energy both in Electric Vehicles (Vehicle to Grid), and in a communal battery.

Except when specified otherwise, the units of all variables are expressed in W/h.

Press "Story" in the lower bar for a guided tour over the model. Better seen at 50% zoom.

by Carlos Varela (cvarela@gmx.at)
 Can World3 be simplified? This is a model of the global human ecology. Closed systems are defined for carbon and land. An open system is defined for non-renewable non-fossil fuels in which the sink is external.  Energy is modeled as an open system with inflow from converters and outflow to various
Can World3 be simplified? This is a model of the global human ecology. Closed systems are defined for carbon and land. An open system is defined for non-renewable non-fossil fuels in which the sink is external.  Energy is modeled as an open system with inflow from converters and outflow to various energy-driven human activities.
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Model is in template form. Units are Tonnes (carbon or mineral (copper) ), Tonnes per Year, Hectares, Hectares per Year. 
Ready for input of real world values.  --CB 24Feb16
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We have started putting real world data into the model.  Fill in stocks and flows by March 11. Be sure to cite the source of the data in the Notes section. --CB 5mar2016
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This simulation examines the caloric well of the world. World population is estimated to start at about 7.7 billion. World farmland is roughly 13.4 Billion Ha or about 8,576 Billion acres, based on FAO estimates (http://www.fao.org/3/y4252e/y4252e06.htm). 
This simulation examines the caloric well of the world. World population is estimated to start at about 7.7 billion. World farmland is roughly 13.4 Billion Ha or about 8,576 Billion acres, based on FAO estimates (http://www.fao.org/3/y4252e/y4252e06.htm). 
This model describes the flow of energy from generation to consumption for neighborhoods in the metro Atlanta area. It also calculates the cost of energy production and the number of years it will take to recover that cost.
This model describes the flow of energy from generation to consumption for neighborhoods in the metro Atlanta area. It also calculates the cost of energy production and the number of years it will take to recover that cost.