BCTD Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “BCTD”.

Related tagsUdemyCIwIMSwIM

While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence. @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.
The structure responsible for rabbit population growth. @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
The structure responsible for rabbit population growth.
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...   Video  *  Context    And? It's All Connected    Facebook ,  LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...
When one undertakes to create a model there are a number of guidelines that are considered essential for consideration if there is to be a success with the model. @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
When one undertakes to create a model there are a number of guidelines that are considered essential for consideration if there is to be a success with the model.
Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics 
Ch 9
Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics Ch 9
Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.   Video    The Essence of And?    Facebook ,  LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.
There are limits to what one can infer from a qualitative model.
There are limits to what one can infer from a qualitative model.
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...   Video  *  Context    And? It's All Connected    Facebook ,  LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...
Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics 
Ch 9
Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics Ch 9
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...   Video  *  Context    And? It's All Connected    Facebook ,  LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.
Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.   Video   @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.
Little Red Riding Hood walking through the woods to Grandma's house. How long will it take?
Little Red Riding Hood walking through the woods to Grandma's house. How long will it take?
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.   Video   @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
 This model is derived from the paper " Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement " by Nelson P. Repenning and John D Sterman. See  Insight 752  for a causal loop version of this model.

This model is derived from the paper "Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement" by Nelson P. Repenning and John D Sterman. See Insight 752 for a causal loop version of this model.

Little Red Riding Hood walking through the woods to Grandma's house. How long will it take? @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
Little Red Riding Hood walking through the woods to Grandma's house. How long will it take?
 The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilize at about 400 ppmv in 2100.  From Sterman, John D. (2008)   Risk Communication on Climate:  Mental Models and Mass Balance .  Science
The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilize at about 400 ppmv in 2100.  From Sterman, John D. (2008)  Risk Communication on Climate:  Mental Models and Mass Balance.  Science 322 (24 October): 532-533.
Yesterday's actions are responsible for the world we experience today. And today's actions are responsible for the world that we will experience tomorrow. The "Creating the Future" model is intended to provide a better sense of the common process associated with the unexpected unfolding of the futur
Yesterday's actions are responsible for the world we experience today. And today's actions are responsible for the world that we will experience tomorrow. The "Creating the Future" model is intended to provide a better sense of the common process associated with the unexpected unfolding of the future..
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.   Video   @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
There's actually more to filling a swimming pool with water than you might realize.
There's actually more to filling a swimming pool with water than you might realize.
There are about fifteen known archetypes with an interesting set of relationships among them.  Video    There is a new version of this model at   Frequently Recurring Structures
There are about fifteen known archetypes with an interesting set of relationships among them.

There is a new version of this model at

Frequently Recurring Structures