Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.
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The Essence of And?
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Clone of Sustaining the Forest
New Learning tend to reduce Outdated Thinking, Communicating & Learning though our Outdated Thinking, Communicating & Learning inhibits new learning. The question is then how do we break this cycle. Adopted from "An Introduction to Systems Thinking with STELLA" by Barry Richmond.
Learning
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
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Clone of Moose and Wolves
All the following have a common characteristic.
Clone of Essence Property # 2
If we pay close attention to our actions and the typical outcomes of those actions it would be evident that there are frequently occurring patterns that develop. And there is a relation between the patterns.
Clone of Experience Unfolded
When endeavoring to develop an understanding of the nature of something it is generally useful to create a model of some type to aid in surfacing that understanding.
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The model construction process is actually a balancing loop with endeavors to employ an abstract version of real events to form a model which produces conclusions and behavior which mimic the real events.
Clone of Model Construction Process
This common archetype of systems that include relapse or recidivism allows exploration of the unintended effects of increasing upstream capacity and swamping downstream capacity. The increase in the relapse rate eventually returns to swamp upstream capacity as well. A social welfare example, based on a TANF case study, from How Small System Dynamics Models Can Help the Policy Process. N. Ghaffarzadegan, J. Lyneis, GP Richardson. System Dynamics Review 27,1 (2011) 22-44 Conference version at http://bit.ly/HlxtZj
Clone of Swamping Insight
To develop insights regarding a situation of interest there are a number of things should be considered to ensure a view of the relevant influences.
Clone of Systemic Strategy
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
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The Essence of And?
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Clone of Moose and Wolves
The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilize at about 400 ppmv in 2100. From Sterman, John D. (2008) Risk Communication on Climate: Mental Models and Mass Balance. Science 322 (24 October): 532-533.
Clone of Climate Stabilization Task
All the following have a common characteristic.
Clone of Essence Property # 2
What do activities of these images have in common?
Clone of Essence Property # 3
This is a model depicting the interactions of the Aesop's Fable "The Boy Who Cried Wolf."
Clone of Clone of The Boy Who Cried Wolf
This model is derived from the paper "Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement" by Nelson P. Repenning and John D Sterman. See Insight 752 for a causal loop version of this model.
Clone of Credit Never Happened Simulation
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...
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And? It's All Connected
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The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
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Cybersyn Demo
Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.
Video
The Essence of And?
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Clone of Sustaining the Forest
Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.
Video
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Clone of Sustaining the Forest
From Jay Forrester 1971 book World Dynamics, the earlier, simpler version of the World 3 Limits to Growth Model. Adapted by Geoff McDonnell from Mark Heffernan's ithink version at Systemswiki.org.
Clone of World2 Model of World Dynamics
The model construction process is actually a balancing loop which endeavors to employ an abstract version of real events to form a model which produces conclusions and behavior which mimic the real events.
Clone of Model Construction Process
Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.
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Clone of Sustaining the Forest
The issue of increasing private and government debt to banks is a major
concern after the financial crisis of 2008 (see Figure at link given below). In order to
understand why our society and government is increasingly indebted to banks we
need to understand how our current money system works and why we need a
continuous infusion of new money in a growing economy. “Why We Are Increasingly
Indebted To Banks?” investigates the reasons behind this and suggest a possible
solution.
Clone of Increasingly Indebted To Banks
The structure responsible for rabbit population growth.
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