BCTD Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “BCTD”.

Related tagsUdemyCIwIMSwIM

 The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilize at about 400 ppmv in 2100.  From Sterman, John D. (2008)   Risk Communication on Climate:  Mental Models and Mass Balance .  Science
The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilize at about 400 ppmv in 2100.  From Sterman, John D. (2008)  Risk Communication on Climate:  Mental Models and Mass Balance.  Science 322 (24 October): 532-533.
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...
There's actually more to filling a swimming pool with water than you might realize.
There's actually more to filling a swimming pool with water than you might realize.
The Home Heating System can be used to demonstrate how we get caught in dilemmas and become victims of ourselves.     If you find these contributions meaningful your  sponsorship  would be greatly appreciated.
The Home Heating System can be used to demonstrate how we get caught in dilemmas and become victims of ourselves.

If you find these contributions meaningful your sponsorship would be greatly appreciated.
The purpose of this model is to have the user change the value of stocks, flows and converters to experience a variety of different graphical results. Understanding this generic model is important pre-requisite to learning about intravenous drugs in the body, radioactivity, self-esteem, water flowin
The purpose of this model is to have the user change the value of stocks, flows and converters to experience a variety of different graphical results. Understanding this generic model is important pre-requisite to learning about intravenous drugs in the body, radioactivity, self-esteem, water flowing from a drain and many other basic natural systems.
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.
Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.   Video   @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.
 A pequena chapeuzinho vermelho está caminhando na floresta até a casa de sua avó, quanto tempo vai demorar?
A pequena chapeuzinho vermelho está caminhando na floresta até a casa de sua avó, quanto tempo vai demorar?
Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.   Video    The Essence of And?    Facebook ,  LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.
All the following have a common characteristic.
All the following have a common characteristic.
 The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilize at about 400 ppmv in 2100.  From Sterman, John D. (2008)   Risk Communication on Climate:  Mental Models and Mass Balance .  Science
The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilize at about 400 ppmv in 2100.  From Sterman, John D. (2008)  Risk Communication on Climate:  Mental Models and Mass Balance.  Science 322 (24 October): 532-533.
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
All the following have a common characteristic.
All the following have a common characteristic.
Little Red Riding Hood walking through the woods to Grandma's house. How long will it take?
Little Red Riding Hood walking through the woods to Grandma's house. How long will it take?
All the following have a common characteristic.
All the following have a common characteristic.
There are limits to what one can infer from a qualitative model.
There are limits to what one can infer from a qualitative model.
What do activities of these images have in common?
What do activities of these images have in common?
Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.   Video   @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.
Yesterday's actions are responsible for the world we experience today. And today's actions are responsible for the world that we will experience tomorrow. The "Creating the Future" model is intended to provide a better sense of the common process associated with the unexpected unfolding of the futur
Yesterday's actions are responsible for the world we experience today. And today's actions are responsible for the world that we will experience tomorrow. The "Creating the Future" model is intended to provide a better sense of the common process associated with the unexpected unfolding of the future..
When one undertakes to create a model there are a number of guidelines that are considered essential for consideration if there is to be a success with the model.
When one undertakes to create a model there are a number of guidelines that are considered essential for consideration if there is to be a success with the model.