BCTD Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “BCTD”.

Related tagsUdemyCIwIMSwIM

Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.   Video   @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.
There's actually more to filling a swimming pool with water than you might realize.
There's actually more to filling a swimming pool with water than you might realize.
The model construction process is actually a balancing loop with endeavors to employ an abstract version of real events to form a model which produces conclusions and behavior which mimic the real events.
The model construction process is actually a balancing loop with endeavors to employ an abstract version of real events to form a model which produces conclusions and behavior which mimic the real events.
Yesterday's actions are responsible for the world we experience today. And today's actions are responsible for the world that we will experience tomorrow. The "Creating the Future" model is intended to provide a better sense of the common process associated with the unexpected unfolding of the futur
Yesterday's actions are responsible for the world we experience today. And today's actions are responsible for the world that we will experience tomorrow. The "Creating the Future" model is intended to provide a better sense of the common process associated with the unexpected unfolding of the future..
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...   Video  *  Context    And? It's All Connected    Facebook ,  LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.
This Romeo and Juliet Model was adapted by  Geoff McDonnell  from Michael J Radzicki (1993)  Dyadic processes, tempestuous relationships, and system dynamics , System 
Dynamic Rev. 9 (1) :79-94
This Romeo and Juliet Model was adapted by Geoff McDonnell from Michael J Radzicki (1993) Dyadic processes, tempestuous relationships, and system dynamics, System Dynamic Rev. 9 (1) :79-94
The structure responsible for rabbit population growth.
The structure responsible for rabbit population growth.
If we pay close attention to our actions and the typical outcomes of those actions it would be evident that there are frequently occurring patterns that develop. And there is a relation between the patterns.
If we pay close attention to our actions and the typical outcomes of those actions it would be evident that there are frequently occurring patterns that develop. And there is a relation between the patterns.
When endeavoring to develop an understanding of the nature of something it is generally useful to create a model of some type to aid in surfacing that understanding.   Video  *  Context    LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
When endeavoring to develop an understanding of the nature of something it is generally useful to create a model of some type to aid in surfacing that understanding.
When endeavoring to develop an understanding of the nature of something it is generally useful to create a model of some type to aid in surfacing that understanding.
When endeavoring to develop an understanding of the nature of something it is generally useful to create a model of some type to aid in surfacing that understanding.
Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics 
Ch 9
Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics Ch 9
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.   Video   @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
All the following have a common characteristic.
All the following have a common characteristic.
Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.   Video    The Essence of And?    Facebook ,  LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.
The model construction process is actually a balancing loop which endeavors to employ an abstract version of real events to form a model which produces conclusions and behavior which mimic the real events.
The model construction process is actually a balancing loop which endeavors to employ an abstract version of real events to form a model which produces conclusions and behavior which mimic the real events.
When endeavoring to develop an understanding of the nature of something it is generally useful to create a model of some type to aid in surfacing that understanding.   Video   @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
When endeavoring to develop an understanding of the nature of something it is generally useful to create a model of some type to aid in surfacing that understanding.
 The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilize at about 400 ppmv in 2100.  From Sterman, John D. (2008)   Risk Communication on Climate:  Mental Models and Mass Balance .  Science
The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilize at about 400 ppmv in 2100.  From Sterman, John D. (2008)  Risk Communication on Climate:  Mental Models and Mass Balance.  Science 322 (24 October): 532-533.