This model is derived from the paper "Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement" by Nelson P. Repenning and John D Sterman. See Insight 752 for a causal loop version of this model.

BCTD

Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.

Video

The Essence of And?

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BCTD AIAC

The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.

Video

The Essence of And?

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BCTD AIAC

All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...

Video * Context

And? It's All Connected

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BCTD

There are about fifteen known archetypes with an interesting set of relationships among them.Video * Context

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See also...

* Success in Acquisitions: Using Archetypes to Beat the Odds by Novak & Levine

* Systems Thinking Metaphors for Illuminating Fundamental Policy Dilemmas by Saeed

Systemswiki AIAC BCTD Archetype

This model depicts the interactions of Aesop's Fable "The Boy Who Cried Wolf."

BCTD

Yesterday's actions are responsible for the world we experience today. And today's actions are responsible for the world that we will experience tomorrow. The "Creating the Future" model is intended to provide a better sense of the common process associated with the unexpected unfolding of the future..

Video * Context

And? It's All Connected

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BCTD AIAC

This model is derived from the paper "Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement" by Nelson P. Repenning and John D Sterman. See Insight 9781 for a simulation of this model.

BCTD

Rich Pictures, Causal Loop Diagrams and Stock & Flow Simulation Models are the three types of models most commonly used.

BCTD

When endeavoring to develop an understanding of the nature of something it is generally useful to create a model of some type to aid in surfacing that understanding.

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Systemswiki BCTD

To develop insights regarding a situation of interest there are a number of things should be considered to ensure a view of the relevant influences.

BCTD

While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.

BCTD

This Romeo and Juliet Model was adapted by Geoff McDonnell from Michael J Radzicki (1993) Dyadic processes, tempestuous relationships, and system dynamics, System Dynamic Rev. 9 (1) :79-94

BCTD

There's actually more to filling a swimming pool with water than you might realize.

BCTD

There are limits to what one can infer from a qualitative model.

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Little Red Riding Hood walking through the woods to Grandma's house. How long will it take?

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The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilize at about 400 ppmv in 2100.  From Sterman, John D. (2008)  Risk Communication on Climate:  Mental Models and Mass Balance.  Science 322 (24 October): 532-533.

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Joe P. is currently managing a project that's behind schedule and he's experiencing substantial pressure to get the project back on track.

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What's the real difficulty associated with managing time?

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How a Savings Account works.

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How does a goal seeking structure progress with a resource constraint.

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From Jay Forrester 1971 book World Dynamics, the earlier, simpler version of the World 3 Limits to Growth Model. Adapted by Geoff McDonnell from Mark Heffernan's ithink version at Systemswiki.org.

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This is a more Traditional Career Model of how education works, with an increased lifetime earnings from going to college. The following are links to the other two models in the series.

• Loan Cost Model
• Savings Model

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CLD of Eric Wolstenholme Syst. Dyn. Rev. 23, 371–389, (2007) See IM-1008 for a stock flow version.

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