Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.
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The Essence of And?
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Clone of Sustaining the Forest
This model is derived from the paper "Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement" by Nelson P. Repenning and John D Sterman. See Insight 1899 for a simulation of this model and SysNet for a Video.
Clone of Credit Never Happened Relations
To develop insights regarding a situation of interest there are a number of things should be considered to ensure a view of the relevant influences.
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There are about fifteen known archetypes with an interesting set of relationships among them.
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SystemsWiki's Musings
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The model construction process is actually a balancing loop which endeavors to employ an abstract version of real events to form a model which produces conclusions and behavior which mimic the real events.
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Joe P. is currently managing a project that's behind schedule and he's experiencing substantial pressure to get the project back on track.
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Consider the following "Sustaining the Forest" model intended to provide another example of how unexpected the behavior of a web of extended interactions can be.
Video
The Essence of And?
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Clone of Sustaining the Forest
When endeavoring to develop an understanding of the nature of something it is generally useful to create a model of some type to aid in surfacing that understanding.
Clone of The Essence of AND?
A pequena chapeuzinho vermelho está caminhando na floresta até a casa de sua avó, quanto tempo vai demorar?
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The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilize at about 400 ppmv in 2100. From Sterman, John D. (2008) Risk Communication on Climate: Mental Models and Mass Balance. Science 322 (24 October): 532-533.
Clone of Climate Stabilization Task
Introduce the concept of modeling and simulation.
Clone of Clone of Sustaining the Forest
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.
Clone of Essence Property # 1
This model is derived from the paper "Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement" by Nelson P. Repenning and John D Sterman. See Insight 1899 for a simulation of this model.
Clone of Credit Never Happened Relations
The structure responsible for rabbit population growth.
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While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.
Clone of Essence Property # 1
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.
Clone of Essence Property # 1
All the following have a common characteristic.
Clone of Essence Property # 2
Joe P. is currently managing a project that's behind schedule and he's experiencing substantial pressure to get the project back on track.
Clone of Clone of Joe P. Management Challenge (based on David N. Ford)
There's actually more to filling a swimming pool with water than you might realize.
Clone of Filling a Swimming Pool
Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics
Ch 9
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All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...
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And? It's All Connected
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What's the real difficulty associated with managing time?
Understanding Relationship and Their Implications: The Essence of AND?
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What do activities of these images have in common?
Clone of Essence Property # 3
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...
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And? It's All Connected
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Clone of Bird Feeder Dilemma
