Hourly arrival pattern added to IM-663 A work in progress model for ED daily average flows based on reported statistics by triage category with all triage categories aggregated. Based on a hospital performance report from http://www.bhi.nsw.gov.au/publications/hospital_quarterly_3
See IM-8221 for Triage splits WIP
ED flows by triage totals with hourly arrival
Adapted from Fig.1.from Ana V Diez Roux (2011) Complex Systems Thinking May Help Us Transcend Current Impasses in Health Disparities Research Am J Public Health 2011;101 1627-1634 http://ajph.aphapublications.org/cgi/content/abstract/101/9/1627?etoc
Genes environment and health disparities
Adapted from Systems approaches to public health by Alan Shiell and Penny Hawe See also Health System Efficiency IM and specific health outcome logic diagram example IM
Program Evaluation
Reported services via medicare statistics and healthy communities (hc) PHN reports
MBS Statistics Financial Year
P20082 GP Workforce 2000-17
See reports icon for more details
Primary Care Activity and Linkages
This model is based on the article Dynamic modeling of Infectious Diseases, An application to Economic Evaluation of Influenza Vaccination Farmacoeconomics 2008, 26(1): 45-56 .
And EBOLA
Dynamic Modeling of Infectious Diseases
A network view of IM-731.Combination of several other insights under the regional tag, inspired by Padgett and Powell IM-9044
Regional health supply and demand networks
From MIT ESD work (de Weck Ilities ) esp on Survivability (Medecki) http://bit.ly/HVsceb and Unarticulated Value (Ross) 2006 PhD pdf
Clone of System Change Value and Ilities
Full mind map version following modelling and simulation
Producing Health Consuming Health Care Mind Map
Downstream and upstream responses, from Jack Homer , Gary HIrsch and Bobby Milstein. Chronic Illness in a Complex Health Economy Syst. Dyn. Rev. 23, 313-343 (2007). Conference paper available at http://bit.ly/JCO68V
Clone of Chronic Illness in a Complex Health Economy
Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.
Clone of Clone of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
Festinger's theory of cognitive dissonance represented in feedback loops, relevant to defensive behaviours, goal conflict in PCT and mental health From p256 Fig 4.23 of George Richardson (1991) Book Feedback Thought in Social Science and Systems Theory,. Book reviewed here
Cognitive Dissonance
IPCC Extreme weather events combined context diagrams FBE WIP
Adaptation and disaster risk managment approaches for a changing climate
From PLOS One Article April 2012 Worni, M et al System Dynamics to Model the Unintended Consequences of Denying Payment for Venous Thromboembolism after Total Knee Arthroplasty
Payment Policy Unintended Consequences
Causal Loop Diagram CLD version of Insight 339. A simple workforce supply chain like Insight 162 with optimal intake policy taking into account the target for professionals and the trainees already in the pipeline.
Trainees to Professionals Hiring Policy CLD
Attempting to outdo an opponent leads to escalation. A weaker response leads to De-escalation. A slightly more complex form of Insight 972. Z508 p36-38 System Zoo 3 by Hartmut Bossel.
Escalation
Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9. Compare with the SI infectious disease model Insight 584.
Clone of Clone of Diffusion of Innovation Bass Model
WIP based on Nate Osgood's Motivation for Dynamic Simulation Models in System Science Lecture see Youtube video at 20:34
Clone of Explaining and Intervening in Complex Systems
WIP based on WHO Decade of Healthy Ageing baseline report 2020 Annex
WHO Healthy Ageing
From David Rees PhD dissertation "Developing a Theory of Implementation for
Better Chronic Health Management" Health Services Research
Centre, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand
Implementing Chronic Care Management
Linked concept version of Tanner's Clinical Judgment Model
Thinking like a nurse
Dynamic system underlying project life cycles From Roberts Edward B The Dynamics of Research and Development p5 Harper & Row NY 1964
The dynamics of Research and Development
From blog entry understandingsociety
Meaning and Causation. Expanded from IM-1163
Social Mechanisms
Clone of IM-806 modified to integrate AnyLogic Realworld, Model World with Van de Ven Engaged Scholarship and LAnd Use Modelling approaches. See also Complex Decision Technologies IM
Clone of Real World and Model World
