Technical services orientation includes SOA, w3c and SAIF ECCF

The first task is to define what is an optometrist and to outline a career path.

The first issue is how to select and keep optometry students. The main theme is balance out student expectations with reality (see first task) especially when many students use optometry as a proxy for later entry into a medical course.

The second problem is that the current entry demographic does not meet the needs in terms of culture and expected practice location Unfolding version of IM-569 by keith Masnick

WIP Stock Flow representation of Panarchy Adaptive Cycles

WHO FBE WIP Hospitals Safe from Disasters

This models the progressive decline of the ability for self-reliance and the growing dependence on outside help. ​Z508 p39-42 System Zoo 3 by Hartmut Bossel. Strong outside help causes a collapse of self-help capacity. Weak outside help produces a stable combination of wellbeing and self-help capacity.

Personal versus Situational Dynamics: Implications of Barry Richmond’s Models of Classic Experiments in Social Psychology James K. Doyle, Khalid Saeed, Jeanine Skorinko Department of Social Science and Policy Studies Worcester Polytechnic Institute 2008. For background on the infamous 1971 study that pitted students v students in the roles of prisoners & guards see http://www.prisonexp.org 

Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus.

We add simple containment meassures that affect two paramenters, the Susceptible population and the rate to become infected.

The initial parametrization is based on the suggested current data. The initial population is set for Catalonia.

The questions that we want to answer in this kind of models are not the shape of the curves, that are almost known from the beginning, but, when this happens, and the amplitude of the shapes. This is crucial, since in the current circumstance implies the collapse of certain resources, not only healthcare.

The validation process hence becomes critical, and allows to estimate the different parameters of the model from the data we obtain. This simulation approach allows to obtain somethings that is crucial to make decisions, the causality. We can infer this from the assumptions that are implicit on the model, and from it we can make decisions to improve the system behavior.

Yes, simulation works with causality and Flows diagrams is one of the techniques we have to draw it graphically, but is not the only one. On https://sdlps.com/projects/documentation/1009 you can review soon the same model but represented in Specification and Description Language.

From Werner Ulrich's JORS Articles Operational research and critical systems thinking – an integrated perspective. Part 1: OR as applied systems thinking. Journal of the Operational Research Society advance online publication (14 December 2011). and Part 2 :OR as argumentative practice.

Jones AP, Homer JB, Murphy DL, Essien JDK, Milstein B, Seville DA.

Understanding diabetes population dynamics through simulation modeling

and experimentation. American Journal of Public Health 2006;96(3):488-494.

http://ajph.aphapublications.org/cgi/content/abstract/96/3/488

From Robert Wears Thesis, Modified from Hollnagel & Sunstrom 2006 p 341 and urban disaster risk stresses and shocks for comparison