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Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.

Clone of Clone of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
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Clone of IM-91683 from jacqui and vincy Summary of paper map produced by participants at the compelling case for prevention workshop 6 june 2017. Current premier version for vincy to update
Clone of Concept Map produced by CCP Workshop 1
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Diagrams from Greene 2017 nejm article Putting the patient back together Social Medicine, Network Medicine, and the Limits of Reductionism
Network medicine
12 months ago
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To avoid blood sugar spikes, eat first fiber, then proteins and fats, and lastly, carbohydrates: pasta and sweets in general.

This video shows how to use this model. It shows the blood glucose results when you adjust the time at which you eat each of these types of food.

The video was made by capturing the screen of this computer simulation model, based on System Dynamics, and is intended exclusively to conceptually show in an interactive and dynamic way what happens to blood glucose when the order in which foods are eaten is changed, as described in detail in the book "Glucose Revolution: The Life-Changing Power of Balancing Your Blood Sugar" by Jessie Inchauspé.

In the bottom left corner, click on START STORY to visualize and simulate the model, in three scenarios where the order of carbohydrate intake is changed.

Click here to see how to use this model.

WARNING: This is just a first version model. Perhaps others will come in the future. For this model to be used in real situations, it still requires a lot of improvement and calibration based on concrete data. 

Your comments and criticisms will be most welcome.

Prof. Paulo Villela
paulo.villela@engenharia.ufjf.br
Blood Glucose Spike Conceptual Model - V1
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Based on Chris Argyris 2010 Book Organizational Traps Oxford University Press, built around Insight 619 on single and double loop learning
Clone of Organizational Traps Argyris
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From David Rees PhD dissertation "Developing a Theory of Implementation for Better Chronic Health Management" Health Services Research Centre, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand
Clone of Implementing Chronic Care Management
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Drug Dose Modelling
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WIP summaries of bill mitchell's blog postings related to the connections between macroeconomics and wellbeing, particularly via unemployment and inflation
Clone of Unemployment and wellbeing
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Based on G.P. Cimellaro et al. Framework for analytical quantification of disaster resilience Engineering Structures 32 (2010) 3639–3649 paper

Facilities Disaster Resilience
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Simplified Rich picture version of Tanner's Clinical Judgment Model, with the addition of clinical reasoning cycle concepts from T Levett-Jones et al Nurse Education Today 30 (2010) 515-520

Thinking like a nurse rich pic after simulation
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Based on Chris Argyris 2010 Book Organizational Traps Oxford University Press, built around single and double loop learning picture insight 
Organizational Traps Argyris
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Population Model
Intro SysDyMo course 1.
Population Model of ICS/STP/LA
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IM-1175 with computable arguments, based on ideas from Micropublications paper about Claims, Evidence, Representations and Context Networks

Toulmin's Argument Model and Micropublications
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Clone of Socio Technical Risk Assessment
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From Adapting ‘Agility’ to Healthcare Service Delivery, by Tom Rust, Khalid Saeed, Isa Bar-On, Oleg Pavlov Paper from July 2013 System dynamics Conference Cambridge MA and also 2012 Conference paper  Could be extended by adding dynamics described in going solid insight
Clone of Care Service Capacity Adjustment
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Clone of SD - Simple CLD
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Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9, with Correlation coefficients added, from Taylor TRB et al. (2010)  Improving model understanding using statistical screening System Dynamics Review 26 (1) p 73-87

Clone of Innovation Diffusion Model with Correlation
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From Am J Public Health April 2015 Article  Relates to Service Identification in the Health Service Network Improvement Matrix IM
Health Care Delivery Framework
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Extension of IM-14144 with ward outliers as a prelude to a modular ward dynamics framework. Should include ideas in IM-1008 For backlog and services see IM-8382

Generic Hospital Ward Dynamics
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Summary of Gizem Aktas M Sc thesis and prize winning paper from ISDC2018 extended abstract pdf 
See also Tom fiddaman's metaSD blog entry1 and entry 2 Note the response time frame of interest is from hours to around 45 days. See IM-34861 for a broader developmental view
Stress Response Dynamics
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Larry Weed's Medicine in Denial book : his view of health information to make a difference
Problem knowledge coupler
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WIP Stock Flow representation of Panarchy Adaptive Cycles

Clone of Adaptive Cycles Stock Flow
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Working model of Erythropoiesis and Erythropoiesis Stimulating Agents (ESA) Dosing in Anemia due to Renal Failure from Jim Rogers See Stock Flow Map  Insight 810  and Simpler Dosing Model at IM-26182

ESA Dosing in Renal Anemia Simulation
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A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

Clone of SIR Model with waning immunity