SARS-Cov-2 Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “SARS-Cov-2”.

Related tagsCOVID-19

Insight diagram
The model represents the interaction between influenza and SARS-CoV-2. The data used is for Catalonia region.
Influenza and SARS-CoV-2 interaction v1
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Clone of Infectious Disease Model (Version 4.0)
Insight diagram

If no attempt is made to eradicate SARS-CoV-2 it will eventually become endemic, ineradicable, at a high never-ending cost to world in terms of economic growth, human health and lives. The current strategy adopted by most governments is to impose  restrictive measures when the virus threatens to overwhelm hospital services and to relax these restrictions as this danger recedes. This is short-sighted. It cannot eliminate the highly infectious delta variant, which has an estimated R0-value of between 6 & 9. Periodic lockdowns will be hard to avoid in the future.

However, eradication is possible, herd immunity can be achieved quickly worldwide, reducing the R0 permanently to below 1, which will lead to the disappearance of the virus. Critical in achieving this is Ivermectin, a medicine that is cheap,  readily available and can be manufactured by most countries. A recent meta study has shown that Ivermectin, prophylactically employed, can prevent infection with the virus  by 86 % on average – very similar to the efficacy of vaccines. Eradication will require employment of all the instruments shown in the graph: future generations do not have to live with this plague. 

SarsCov 2: Countering its Dynamic
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Clone of Infectious Disease Model (Version 3.0)
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Clone of Infectious Disease Model (Version 3.0)
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Clone of Infectious Disease Model (Version 4.0)
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Infectious Disease Model (Version 3.0)
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Clone of Infectious Disease Model (Version 3.0)
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Clone of Infectious Disease Model (Version 4.0)
Insight diagram
Modelling of the SARS-Cov-2 viral outbreak using an SEIR model plus specific extensions to model demand for health and care resources.

The model includes biths and deaths, and migration to accommodate import and export of infected individuals from other areas.

Healthcare resources identifies need for hospital beds and critical care.

The model is uses arrays to reflect the different impacts of modelled parameters by age and sex.
Clone of Infectious Disease Model (Covid)
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Clone of Infectious Disease Model (Version 3.0)
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Clone of Infectious Disease Model (Version 3.0)
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Clone of Infectious Disease Model V1.0
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Infectious Disease Model V1.0
Insight diagram
Modelling of the SARS-Cov-2 viral outbreak using an SEIR model plus specific extensions to model demand for health and care resources.

The model includes biths and deaths, and migration to accommodate import and export of infected individuals from other areas.

Healthcare resources identifies need for hospital beds and critical care.

The model is uses arrays to reflect the different impacts of modelled parameters by age and sex.
Clone of Infectious Disease Model (Covid)
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Clone of Infectious Disease Model (Version 3.0)
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Clone of Infectious Disease Model (Version 3.0)
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Clone of Clone of Infectious Disease Model (Version 4.0)
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Clone of Infectious Disease Model (Version 3.0)
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Infectious Disease Model (Version 4.0)
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

nfectious Disease Model 5yr (Version2.0)
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

BackUp of Infectious Disease Model (Version 4.0)
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Clone of Clone of Infectious Disease Model (Version 4.0)
Insight diagram
Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Clone of Infectious Disease Model (Version 3.0)