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2014 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility - The World3+ Model: Forecaster

Guy Lakeman

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Environment Demographics Population Growth Population Weather Climate Failure Death Mortality Science Technology Engineering Strategy Economics Politics Fertility Health Services Resources Land Jobs Labor Urban Industrial Rural Lifetime Pollution Regeneration Yield Ocean Sea Fish Plants Animals

  • 3 years 10 months ago

Bow wave effect

Geoff McDonnell

When deferred requirements pile up and underestimated complexity surround a project, managers end up riding a bow wave of schedule and delivery complications.  From William E. Novak and  Linda Levine CMU SEI Sept 2010 Success in Acquisition: Using Archetypes to Beat the Odds paper and see webpage

Archetype Technology

  • 4 years 11 months ago

2017 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility by Guy Lakeman - The World3+ Model: Forecaster

Guy Lakeman

THE 2017 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Environment Demographics Population Growth Population Weather Climate Failure Death Mortality Science Technology Engineering Strategy Economics Politics Fertility Health Services Resources Land Jobs Labor Urban Industrial Rural Lifetime Pollution Regeneration Yield Ocean Sea Fish Plants Animals Flood Drought Loss Hurricane Typhoon Tornado Cyclone Agriculture Food Energy Nuclear Solar Resource Graphene Silicene Transport

  • 1 month 1 week ago

To Be Business and Technology Architecture

Lisa Martinez
​Purpose
Enables the different components in the 5 capability model in a visual manner for Enterprise and Business Architecture stakeholders.  


BUSINESS ARCHITECTURE 

5 Capability Model
The 5 capability model has many stock and flow children which each organization will need to model based on their current state.  

  • Aligns to APQC Process Framework
  • Aligns to Principles in ISO 9001, 26000 and 27001 

ENTERPRISE ARCHITECTURE 
Aligns Zachman Framework Enterprise and Business Architecture with Executive and Leaders from a business management level across any organization.  

A method in which to align and benchmark any organization or agency, with the system(s) logic required from Architects in Row 3, to enable Row 4 engineers who need to supply physics. 


Semantic
Getting terms to align to the generic objects can be a trying task, unless you simply list the stakeholders "semantic" term below the stakeholder in the presentation layer by order shown in the business process management section above the capability management group.  



Business Technology Quality 5 Capability Model Application As Is To Be Enterprise And Business Architecture

  • 4 years 9 months ago

Performance shaping factors

Geoff McDonnell

Incorporating organizational factors into Probabilistic Risk Assessment(PRA) of complex socio-technical systems: A hybrid technique formalization Zahra Mohaghegh, Reza Kazemi, Ali Mosleh Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2009) 94 5 p1000–1018 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095183200800269X. More detailed part of Insight 1074

Health Care Behavior Risk Work Systems Technology Human Action Performance Capability Ability

  • 3 years 7 months ago

Socio Technical Risk Assessment

Geoff McDonnell

Incorporating organizational factors into Probabilistic Risk Assessment(PRA) of complex socio-technical systems: A hybrid technique formalization Zahra Mohaghegh, Reza Kazemi, Ali Mosleh Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2009) 94 5 p1000–1018 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095183200800269X. THis overview has a more detailed area in Insight 1077

Health Care Risk Systems Methods Technology Performance Capability

  • 3 years 7 months ago

OSCON 2017: Help Desk - True Cost Impact of Improper Escalation

Kishau Rogers
​The Problem: What is the true cost of escalating too many Tier 1/Level 1 tickets to Level 2/3 engineers?
Things to measure: How does this impact:1. (MONEY) Cost per incident - what does this cost the business? 2. (TIME) Service Level - how does this impact desired service levels/SLAs? 3. (PEOPLE) Agent utilization - how does this impact backlog? are we overworking engineers? Does this contribute to staff burnout?

Business Help Desk Technology

  • 2 years 5 months ago

2018 OVERPOPULATION LEADS TO POLLUTION based on Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility by Guy Lakeman - The World3+ Model: Forecaster

Guy Lakeman

THE 2018 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION.
WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Environment Demographics Population Growth Population Weather Climate Failure Death Mortality Science Technology Engineering Strategy Economics Politics Fertility Health Services Resources Land Jobs Labor Urban Industrial Rural Lifetime Pollution Regeneration Yield Ocean Sea Fish Plants Animals Flood Drought Loss Hurricane Typhoon Tornado Cyclone Agriculture Food Energy Nuclear Solar Resource Graphene Silicene Transport

  • 1 month 1 week ago

Reasons why you should ditch your car and use an electric skateboard

Ben Smith

Just as the Weezer said it all the way back in 1994 that ‘’You take your car to work, I’ll take my board’’

Well we all can agree that they new how much damaging the cars are both to our environment and most importantly to our pockets. So, it’s time to ditch your normal and boring cars and time to hop on a board. There are many benefits of riding an electric skateboard both health and financial, so in this insight we are going to focus on that.

But there’s a catch with the traditional skateboards as they are quite slow and requires a lot of effort. So it’s better to go for the electric skateboards as tey are much more practical and easy to use in day to day life.

So, without any due let’s begin

Benifits

Lets checkout some of the benefits that you will get by ditching your car.

1.       Time and Traffic: According to a study by US Department of Transportation an average American spends an average 17,600 min driving each year which includes commuting to and from work.

2.       Cost: Commuting is both time consuming and expensive. However according to AAA you can save upto $11,931 a year by ditching your car. Also according to the balance if an average American spend 26 mins on average a day to work it will cost $2600 a year. So, you would save almost $2600 on gasoline alone.

3.       Speed: While many Americans opt for public transportation like buses and trains but they are not fast as you imagine in fact a study according to the American Public Transportation Association showed that the average speed of rail transit is 21.5 mph and the average speed of bus transit is only 14.1 mph.

4.       Electric Skateboards: If you go for the electric skateboards than you can expect them to be a lot more fun than your boring public transport of your car as they are quite fast. According to Wheels Compared an average electric skateboard can reach top speed of 18 to 28 mph.

5.       Mental Wellness: According to a study back in 2014, researchers reveled that when compared to those who drove a car, people who commuted by active transport (like biking and skateboarding) exhibited greater mental wellness.

6.       Hills: These electric skateboards are Insane when it comes to power as on a full charge you can enjoy a range of 12-18 miles of endless ride time. You can even go uphill on a 20% gradient with ease.

7.       Everyone Is Doing It: According to a study conducted by Parks and Recreation there are almost 16 million skateboarders in the USA and the trends are just growing and growing with the new electric skateboards on the shelves.

8.       Cheap: Electric Skateboards are cheap. So, just you know you can get one for around $500 or less if you are on a budget but also you’ve got some expensvie ones that are beast and have a greater top speed and range. But these expensive one gonna cost a lot more anywhere from $1000 to $2000+.

So that’s it all you need to know about if you are thinking to switch over to a traditional or an electric skateboard. All I could say is don’t waste your whole day spending hours and hors stuck in traffic and waiting on signals as you can get by traffic easily and efficiently on a skateboard. So what are you waiting for hop on a board and enjoy the ride.

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Technology

  • 7 months 1 week ago

Offer Management Capability Generic Model

Lisa Martinez
Purpose 1 New Small Business - Cloud Support Model
Purpose-To enable a visual model to acquire new business owners to adopt cloud services.   

Purpose 2 Cloud Service Provider Delivery Model-Service 

2. ​The purpose of this model intends to allow a cloud service provider a way to design offers for generic use across any industry.  

Outcome - Key Control for Segregation of Duties GAAP/GARP
3. The purpose of this model incorporates the variables of different components for completeness and monitoring scope for any master data update or create activity.  

Outcome - Key Controls for SOX 404 Assurances
Monitoring all activities for segregation of duties controls - in a control chart.  The model ensures a completeness criteria for cost structuring of any new offer or acquisition integration.  

GAAP-Non-GAAP Revenue
The primary inputs shown on this diagram trigger the leverage points for many of the dependent processes and management of an offers revenue treatment.  

Completeness - Supplies the various parts of the whole 
Organization or Agency models - simulations 
Stock and Flow models enable simulation of the proposed design with a better view into results of any proposed changes.   

Enterprise Architecture Value 

Predict changes and prepare for complexity based on the risk using the components simulated in stock and flow diagrams.  

Model and simulate the "as is" and "to be" or monitor as the way to ensure your architecture stability and when investments need to be made in a next generation strategy.  

Business Architecture Value
Use the whole and parts (stock and flow child) to better understand the "current state" measuring the transition to the desired state on the journey to a performance model.   

The model applies the rows from Enterprise Architecture as prescribed by Zachman Ontology v3.  Based on the way business requirements need to be applied to technology solutions.  


Row 1 - Executive - Context of the organization

Row 2 - Business Managers - Business Process connectivity

Row 3 - Architects - Systems - The transition from Business to Enterprise Architects.

Ideally-the offer management capability serves as one of 5 capabilities which must be in place to meet both financial and quality certification criteria for the majority of companies.  

Highway Analogy
A 5 capability model enables the audit relationships between different master record management audit log tracking for SOX to be used by quality management to align with corporate policies which intend to guide decision making within any size and any type organization or agency.  

Applied 
The system model would be copied by an organizations resource and inputs applied to a stock and flow diagram as prescribed in associated models.  Herein we must assume the whole and each of the stock and flow simulation models the component parts.  







Technology Software Generic Offer Items Hardware Service Products Bundles Promotion

  • 6 years 5 months ago

Time to get rid of Cars and Hop On Hoverboards

David Warner
 ‘’You take your car to work, I’ll take my board’’, Once said by Weezer.
There is no dispute that vehicles are polluting our environment and forcing us to adapt to the transport system in our daily routine matters. To the very high extent, we're using vehicles for our every journey whether it's long or short. We fall into this trap that through this we save our time. No doubt, it saves time but at the cost of health and money. So, it’s time to ditch your normal and boring cars and get back to cycling or hop on board. There are countless benefits of riding a bicycle which includes both health and wealth, so in this insight, we are going to focus on this specific issue.
But there’s a catch with the bicycles as they are quite slow and requires a lot of effort. So it’s better to go for the system which is more practical, easy to use in day to day life and saves our time too.
So, without getting into other details, let’s start our discussion of the advantages of Electric Skateboarding.
Advantages
Let's check out some of the advantages of electric skateboards which will certainly convince you to get rid of your fueled car.
1.       Time and Traffic: As per the research made by the US Department of Transportation, more than 85 percent of American's spends an average of 300 hours on the road while driving.
2.       Cost: Traveling is very expensive if you take your own vehicle to the drive. However according to this study, an average American spends $2600 per year on a vehicle including fuel, wear and tear, and some other expenses. So, if you hop on the electric skateboard, which is much cheaper and costs only once. As per the Reviews Crush you can get a good quality skateboard in as less as $50 and as high as $1000. In this way, you would probably save an estimate of $2600 per year on gasoline alone.
3.       Bicycle or Skateboards: If you go for the bike then it would require some of your energy whereas electric skateboards are a lot more fun than your bicycle ride as they are quite fast. The average speed of electric skateboard is 15 to 26 mph.
4.       Speed: If you think buses or trains move much faster in the city areas then have a look at this study of American Public Transportation Association in which they provided the facts related to speed. As per them, the average speed of rail transit is not more than 28km/h and the average speed of bus transit is only 20km/h.
5.       Everyone Is Doing It: According to a study conducted by Parks and Recreation there are almost 16 million skateboarders in the USA and the trends are just growing and growing with the new electric skateboards on the shelves.
Hope this informational piece of writing on advantages of electric skateboards convinced you to get rid of the car and get on it quickly.

Technology Transport Environment

  • 3 months 4 weeks ago

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