When time and budget are tight, it's tempting to follow the "happy path" in testing. But be careful: it may be a path that brings your program great unhappiness. From William E. Novak and  Linda Levine CMU SEI Sept 2010 Success in Acquisition: Using Archetypes to Beat the Odds  paper  and see  webp

When time and budget are tight, it's tempting to follow the "happy path" in testing. But be careful: it may be a path that brings your program great unhappiness. From William E. Novak and  Linda Levine CMU SEI Sept 2010 Success in Acquisition: Using Archetypes to Beat the Odds paper and see webpage



6 months ago
 Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9. Compare with the SI infectious disease model Insight 584.

Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9. Compare with the SI infectious disease model Insight 584.

 Purpose 1 New Small Business - Cloud Support Model  Purpose-To enable a visual model to acquire new business owners to adopt cloud services.      Purpose 2 Cloud Service Provider Delivery Model-Service   2. ​The purpose of this model intends to allow a cloud service provider a way to design offers
Purpose 1 New Small Business - Cloud Support Model
Purpose-To enable a visual model to acquire new business owners to adopt cloud services.   

Purpose 2 Cloud Service Provider Delivery Model-Service 

2. ​The purpose of this model intends to allow a cloud service provider a way to design offers for generic use across any industry.  

Outcome - Key Control for Segregation of Duties GAAP/GARP
3. The purpose of this model incorporates the variables of different components for completeness and monitoring scope for any master data update or create activity.  

Outcome - Key Controls for SOX 404 Assurances
Monitoring all activities for segregation of duties controls - in a control chart.  The model ensures a completeness criteria for cost structuring of any new offer or acquisition integration.  

GAAP-Non-GAAP Revenue
The primary inputs shown on this diagram trigger the leverage points for many of the dependent processes and management of an offers revenue treatment.  

Completeness - Supplies the various parts of the whole 
Organization or Agency models - simulations 
Stock and Flow models enable simulation of the proposed design with a better view into results of any proposed changes.   

Enterprise Architecture Value 

Predict changes and prepare for complexity based on the risk using the components simulated in stock and flow diagrams.  

Model and simulate the "as is" and "to be" or monitor as the way to ensure your architecture stability and when investments need to be made in a next generation strategy.  

Business Architecture Value
Use the whole and parts (stock and flow child) to better understand the "current state" measuring the transition to the desired state on the journey to a performance model.   

The model applies the rows from Enterprise Architecture as prescribed by Zachman Ontology v3.  Based on the way business requirements need to be applied to technology solutions.  


Row 1 - Executive - Context of the organization

Row 2 - Business Managers - Business Process connectivity

Row 3 - Architects - Systems - The transition from Business to Enterprise Architects.

Ideally-the offer management capability serves as one of 5 capabilities which must be in place to meet both financial and quality certification criteria for the majority of companies.  

Highway Analogy
A 5 capability model enables the audit relationships between different master record management audit log tracking for SOX to be used by quality management to align with corporate policies which intend to guide decision making within any size and any type organization or agency.  

Applied 
The system model would be copied by an organizations resource and inputs applied to a stock and flow diagram as prescribed in associated models.  Herein we must assume the whole and each of the stock and flow simulation models the component parts.  







 There is a general belief that wind and solar will
enable us to get fossil-fuels-use to net-zero. This is, unfortunately,
impossible as an examination of only some limitations and constraints associated
with solar and wind energy will show. Solar panels and wind turbines have now been used for many

There is a general belief that wind and solar will enable us to get fossil-fuels-use to net-zero. This is, unfortunately, impossible as an examination of only some limitations and constraints associated with solar and wind energy will show. Solar panels and wind turbines have now been used for many years, but until now they represent only a tiny fraction of total energy use (not just electricity but all forms of energy).  In 2020, wind accounted for 3% of the world’s total energy consumption and solar amounted to 1% of total energy. Thus, the combination of wind and solar produced only 4% of world energy in 2020. How long will we have to wait before they can generate enough energy to power the world? The climate emergency will not wait.  Solar panels and wind turbines have average lifespans of around 15 to 30 years, then they need to be replaced. However, the manufacture of the replacements will require fossil fuels since one cannot use wind or solar to build wind and solar. Further, solar panels do not supply enough energy. The net-energy gained from solar panels is only about 3.9:1. This net-energy ratio is known as ‘energy return on energy invested’ (EROI) and is critically important.  Unfortunately, the EROI of solar is far too low to power a modern industrial society, which requires an EROI of about 12:1. There is also the question of space. Renewable energy sources can take up 1000 times more space than fossil fuel – that is bad news for agriculture and food production in a world that is already experiencing food shortages because of global warming. If you take these limitations into consideration, then it becomes clear that solar and wind cannot solve our energy problem – they are a fix that will inevitably fail

 Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9. Compare with the SI infectious disease model Insight 584, to which we added churn and duplicated it to model a 2 sided marketplace..  In this 2-sided market model -- take etsy for example --  the adoption rate of end users is also a

Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9. Compare with the SI infectious disease model Insight 584, to which we added churn and duplicated it to model a 2 sided marketplace..

In this 2-sided market model -- take etsy for example --  the adoption rate of end users is also a factor of how many vendors the company has on-boarded.  You can control the impact on end user adoption via the Choice Impact Factor.

Conversely,  the rate at which vendors will be on-boarded is a factor of the perceived opportunity they have to sell their wares.  You can control the rate at which suppliers are on-boarded via the Opportunity Impact Factor.

Copyright 2016 Whatifics Pte Ltd

 Fig 3.1 Sociotechnical system underlying health IT-related adverse events NAP IOM Report

Fig 3.1 Sociotechnical system underlying health IT-related adverse events NAP IOM Report

6 months ago
​Summary of Hermans Scale dynamics of grassroots innovations through parallel pathways of  transformative change Ecological Economics 2016  article (paywalled)  This is applied to  health in a subsequent insight
​Summary of Hermans Scale dynamics of grassroots innovations through parallel pathways of  transformative change Ecological Economics 2016 article (paywalled) This is applied to health in a subsequent insight
 Applying more pressure on staff can temporarily increase productivity, but burnout soon sets in. From William E. Novak and  Linda Levine CMU SEI Sept 2010 Success in Acquisition: Using Archetypes to Beat the Odds  paper  and see  webpage  
 See similar  CLD IM-641  and  Simulation IM-333

Applying more pressure on staff can temporarily increase productivity, but burnout soon sets in. From William E. Novak and  Linda Levine CMU SEI Sept 2010 Success in Acquisition: Using Archetypes to Beat the Odds paper and see webpage

See similar CLD IM-641 and Simulation IM-333

 Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9. Compare with the SI infectious disease model Insight  584 .

Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9. Compare with the SI infectious disease model Insight 584.

 Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9, with additional discarding

Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9, with additional discarding

 Mind map example of a medication management project.  See also  IM-692  for CLD

Mind map example of a medication management project.

See also IM-692 for CLD

 Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9, with additional discarding  https://youtu.be/LRlkwN_cFnQ

Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9, with additional discarding

https://youtu.be/LRlkwN_cFnQ

​The Problem:  What is the true cost of escalating too many Tier 1/Level 1 tickets to Level 2/3 engineers?    Things to measure: How does this impact:1. (MONEY) Cost per incident - what does this cost the business? 2. (TIME) Service Level - how does this impact desired service levels/SLAs? 3. (PEOPL
​The Problem: 
What is the true cost of escalating too many Tier 1/Level 1 tickets to Level 2/3 engineers?

Things to measure: How does this impact:1. (MONEY) Cost per incident - what does this cost the business? 2. (TIME) Service Level - how does this impact desired service levels/SLAs? 3. (PEOPLE) Agent utilization - how does this impact backlog? are we overworking engineers? Does this contribute to staff burnout?

 Adapted from Engineering perspectives on healthcare delivery: Can we afford technological innovation in healthcare? Rouse, William B Systems Research and Behavioral Science 2009 Vol 26 (5) p573-582  abstrac t  See  IM-435  for a simulation

Adapted from Engineering perspectives on healthcare delivery: Can we afford technological innovation in healthcare? Rouse, William B Systems Research and Behavioral Science 2009 Vol 26 (5) p573-582 abstract

See IM-435 for a simulation

This Systems Thinking helped me in what I want to express in my action research paper.
This Systems Thinking helped me in what I want to express in my action research paper.
​The Problem:  What is the true cost of escalation?    Things to measure: How does this impact:1. (MONEY) Cost per incident - what does this cost the business? 2. (TIME) Service Level - how does this impact desired service levels/SLAs? 3. (PEOPLE) Agent utilization - how does this impact backlog? ar
​The Problem: 
What is the true cost of escalation?

Things to measure: How does this impact:1. (MONEY) Cost per incident - what does this cost the business? 2. (TIME) Service Level - how does this impact desired service levels/SLAs? 3. (PEOPLE) Agent utilization - how does this impact backlog? are we overworking engineers? Does this contribute to staff burnout?

 The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST W

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

WIP based on Austin 2021  Article    Converting mostly linear representation into multiscale nested causal loops
WIP based on Austin 2021 Article   Converting mostly linear representation into multiscale nested causal loops
 Planning for a long development period doesn't always solve acquisition scheduling problems. Sometimes it makes them worse. From William E. Novak and  Linda Levine CMU SEI Sept 2010 Success in Acquisition: Using Archetypes to Beat the Odds    paper  and see  webpage

Planning for a long development period doesn't always solve acquisition scheduling problems. Sometimes it makes them worse. From William E. Novak and  Linda Levine CMU SEI Sept 2010 Success in Acquisition: Using Archetypes to Beat the Odds paper and see webpage



6 months ago