Technology learning curve calculations see IM-614 for wider technology and healthcare costs context

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9. Compare with the SI infectious disease model Insight 584.

Some programs take on a life of their own—privileged, and woven into an organization's existence. But when "sacred cow" projects begin to go wrong, that privilege and protection makes fixing them even more difficult. From William E. Novak and  Linda Levine CMU SEI Sept 2010 Success in Acquisition: Using Archetypes to Beat the Odds paper and see webpage

Adapted from Engineering perspectives on healthcare delivery: Can we afford technological innovation in healthcare? Rouse, William B Systems Research and Behavioral Science 2009 Vol 26 (5) p573-582 abstract

See IM-435 for a simulation

• Aligns to APQC Process Framework
• Aligns to Principles in ISO 9001, 26000 and 27001 

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9. Compare with the SI infectious disease model Insight 584.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/System_dynamics

https://pt.wikipedia.org/wiki/Din%C3%A2mica_de_sistemas

https://youtu.be/LRlkwN_cFnQ

This model shows the dynamics of use of a new medical technology based on its scope of use and perceived relative benefit. The technology needs cumulative usage to fix its glitches, and the benefits will be diluted  as the scope of use widens.

Everyone intends the best in project-driven marriages of PMOs and contractors, but good intentions can't overcome the hostility generated by loss of trust and squabbles in poorly developed relationships. From William E. Novak and  Linda Levine CMU SEI Sept 2010 Success in Acquisition: Using Archetypes to Beat the Odds paper and see webpage

POPULATION CONTROL BASED ON THE 2017 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

This expanded World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9, with additional discarding

https://youtu.be/LRlkwN_cFnQ

There is a general belief that wind and solar will enable us to get fossil-fuels-use to net-zero. This is, unfortunately, impossible as an examination of only some limitations and constraints associated with solar and wind energy will show. Solar panels and wind turbines have now been used for many years, but until now they represent only a tiny fraction of total energy use (not just electricity but all forms of energy).  In 2020, wind accounted for 3% of the world’s total energy consumption and solar amounted to 1% of total energy. Thus, the combination of wind and solar produced only 4% of world energy in 2020. How long will we have to wait before they can generate enough energy to power the world? The climate emergency will not wait.  Solar panels and wind turbines have average lifespans of around 15 to 30 years, then they need to be replaced. However, the manufacture of the replacements will require fossil fuels since one cannot use wind or solar to build wind and solar. Further, solar panels do not supply enough energy. The net-energy gained from solar panels is only about 3.9:1. This net-energy ratio is known as ‘energy return on energy invested’ (EROI) and is critically important.  Unfortunately, the EROI of solar is far too low to power a modern industrial society, which requires an EROI of about 12:1. There is also the question of space. Renewable energy sources can take up 1000 times more space than fossil fuel – that is bad news for agriculture and food production in a world that is already experiencing food shortages because of global warming. If you take these limitations into consideration, then it becomes clear that solar and wind cannot solve our energy problem – they are a fix that will inevitably fail. 

Simple Bass diffusion with repeat purchases, modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9

When projects attempt to please too many customers, complexity mounts, schedules slip, costs expand ... and no one is happy. From William E. Novak and  Linda Levine CMU SEI Sept 2010 Success in Acquisition: Using Archetypes to Beat the Odds paper and see webpage

Purpose 1 New Small Business - Cloud Support Model
Purpose-To enable a visual model to acquire new business owners to adopt cloud services.   

Purpose 2 Cloud Service Provider Delivery Model-Service 
2. ​The purpose of this model intends to allow a cloud service provider a way to design offers for generic use across any industry.  

Outcome - Key Control for Segregation of Duties GAAP/GARP
3. The purpose of this model incorporates the variables of different components for completeness and monitoring scope for any master data update or create activity.  

Outcome - Key Controls for SOX 404 Assurances
Monitoring all activities for segregation of duties controls - in a control chart.  The model ensures a completeness criteria for cost structuring of any new offer or acquisition integration.  

GAAP-Non-GAAP Revenue
The primary inputs shown on this diagram trigger the leverage points for many of the dependent processes and management of an offers revenue treatment.  

Completeness - Supplies the various parts of the whole 
Organization or Agency models - simulations 
Stock and Flow models enable simulation of the proposed design with a better view into results of any proposed changes.   

Enterprise Architecture Value 
Predict changes and prepare for complexity based on the risk using the components simulated in stock and flow diagrams.  

Model and simulate the "as is" and "to be" or monitor as the way to ensure your architecture stability and when investments need to be made in a next generation strategy.  

Business Architecture Value
Use the whole and parts (stock and flow child) to better understand the "current state" measuring the transition to the desired state on the journey to a performance model.   

The model applies the rows from Enterprise Architecture as prescribed by Zachman Ontology v3.  Based on the way business requirements need to be applied to technology solutions.  


Row 1 - Executive - Context of the organization

Row 2 - Business Managers - Business Process connectivity

Row 3 - Architects - Systems - The transition from Business to Enterprise Architects.

Ideally-the offer management capability serves as one of 5 capabilities which must be in place to meet both financial and quality certification criteria for the majority of companies.  

Highway Analogy
A 5 capability model enables the audit relationships between different master record management audit log tracking for SOX to be used by quality management to align with corporate policies which intend to guide decision making within any size and any type organization or agency.  

Applied 
The system model would be copied by an organizations resource and inputs applied to a stock and flow diagram as prescribed in associated models.  Herein we must assume the whole and each of the stock and flow simulation models the component parts.  

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Purpose 1 New Small Business - Cloud Support Model
Purpose-To enable a visual model to acquire new business owners to adopt cloud services.   

Purpose 2 Cloud Service Provider Delivery Model-Service 
2. ​The purpose of this model intends to allow a cloud service provider a way to design offers for generic use across any industry.  

Outcome - Key Control for Segregation of Duties GAAP/GARP
3. The purpose of this model incorporates the variables of different components for completeness and monitoring scope for any master data update or create activity.  

Outcome - Key Controls for SOX 404 Assurances
Monitoring all activities for segregation of duties controls - in a control chart.  The model ensures a completeness criteria for cost structuring of any new offer or acquisition integration.  

GAAP-Non-GAAP Revenue
The primary inputs shown on this diagram trigger the leverage points for many of the dependent processes and management of an offers revenue treatment.  

Completeness - Supplies the various parts of the whole 
Organization or Agency models - simulations 
Stock and Flow models enable simulation of the proposed design with a better view into results of any proposed changes.   

Enterprise Architecture Value 
Predict changes and prepare for complexity based on the risk using the components simulated in stock and flow diagrams.  

Model and simulate the "as is" and "to be" or monitor as the way to ensure your architecture stability and when investments need to be made in a next generation strategy.  

Business Architecture Value
Use the whole and parts (stock and flow child) to better understand the "current state" measuring the transition to the desired state on the journey to a performance model.   

The model applies the rows from Enterprise Architecture as prescribed by Zachman Ontology v3.  Based on the way business requirements need to be applied to technology solutions.  


Row 1 - Executive - Context of the organization

Row 2 - Business Managers - Business Process connectivity

Row 3 - Architects - Systems - The transition from Business to Enterprise Architects.

Ideally-the offer management capability serves as one of 5 capabilities which must be in place to meet both financial and quality certification criteria for the majority of companies.  

Highway Analogy
A 5 capability model enables the audit relationships between different master record management audit log tracking for SOX to be used by quality management to align with corporate policies which intend to guide decision making within any size and any type organization or agency.  

Applied 
The system model would be copied by an organizations resource and inputs applied to a stock and flow diagram as prescribed in associated models.  Herein we must assume the whole and each of the stock and flow simulation models the component parts.  

Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9. Compare with the SI infectious disease model Insight 584.

Análise comparativa e econômica de diferentes tipos de biomassa e óleos vegetais brasileiros para produção  de  alimento, ração animal e  de biocombustível e Agroenergia com o estudo de sua Rota Química.