Kingdon Theory of Streams in Policy
Geoff McDonnell ★
John Kingdon's Theory of Streams in the politics of the policy process. From the book Kingdon, John (1999) Agendas Alternatives and Public Policies. Longman New York. Click on View Story at the bottom left.
- 5 years 2 months ago
The probability density function (PDF) of the normal distribution or Bell Curve Gaussian Distribution by Guy Lakeman
Guy Lakeman
The parameter is its standard deviation with its variance then, A random variable with a Gaussian distribution is said to be normally distributed and is called a normal deviate.However, those who enjoy upskirts are called deviants and have a variable distribution :)
A random variable with a Gaussian distribution is said to be normally distributed and is called a normal deviate.
If mu = 0 and sigma = 1
If the Higher Education Numbers Are Increased then the group decision making ability of society would be raised above that of a middle teenager as it is nowBUT Governments can control children by using bad parenting techniques, pandering to the pleasure principle, so they will make higher education more and more difficult as they are doing
85% of the population has a qualification level equal or below a 12th grader, 17 year old ... the chance of finding someone with any sense is low (~1 in 6) and the outcome of them being chosen by those who are uneducated in the policies they are to decide is even more rare !!!
Experience means little if you don't have enough brain to analyse it
Democracy is only as good as the ability of the voters to FULLY understand the implications of the policies on which they vote., both context and the various perspectives. National voting of unqualified voters on specific policy issues is the sign of corrupt manipulation.
Democracy: Where a group allows the decision ability of a teenager to decide on a choice of mis-representatives who are unqualified to make judgement on social policies that affect the lives of millions.The kind of children who would vote for King Kong who can hold a girl in one hand and swat fighter jets out of teh sky off the tallest building, doesn't have a brain cell or thought to call his own but has a nice smile and offers little girls sweets.
updated 16/3/2020 from 4 years 3 months ago
MATHS Statistics Physics Science Ecology Climate Weather Intelligence Education Probability Density Function Normal Bell Curve Gaussian Distribution Democracy Voting Politics Policy
- 11 months 3 weeks ago
Urban Dynamics
Geoff McDonnell ★
An adaptation of the URBAN1 Model from Navid Ghaffarzadegan, John Lyneis and George P Richardson's How small system dynamics models can help the public policy process. System Dynamics Review 27: 22-44 (2011) Conference version at http://bit.ly/HlxtZj and LA Alfeld and AK Graham's Introduction to Urban Dynamics 1974 p 195.
An element of Perspectives: The Foundation of Understanding and Insights for Effective Action. Register at http://www.systemswiki.org/
- 1 year 8 months ago
Managing Mess
Geoff McDonnell ★
Reliability Policy Management Performance Behavior Politics Culture Safety Resilience Multiscale Complexity Decision Making
- 2 years 7 months ago
Policy Resistance
Geoff McDonnell ★
Sources of Policy Resistance. From article Sterman, John D. Learning from Evidence in a Complex World Am J Public Health 2006 96: 505-514. See also fighting complexity IM-1955
- 1 year 3 weeks ago
The Art of the State
Geoff McDonnell ★
Reliability Policy Politics Management Performance Behavior Culture Safety Resilience Grid Group
- 4 years 4 months ago
Swamping Insight
Geoff McDonnell ★
This common archetype of systems that include relapse or recidivism allows exploration of the unintended effects of increasing upstream capacity and swamping downstream capacity. The increase in the relapse rate eventually returns to swamp upstream capacity as well. A social welfare example, based on a TANF case study, from How Small System Dynamics Models Can Help the Policy Process. N. Ghaffarzadegan, J. Lyneis, GP Richardson. System Dynamics Review 27,1 (2011) 22-44 abstract Conference version here
- 2 years 4 months ago
Climate Sector Boundary Diagram of Guy Lakeman
Guy Lakeman
As general population is composed of 85% with an education level of a 12 grader or less (a 17 year old), a simple block of components concerning the health of the planet needs to be broken down into simple blocks.Perhaps this picture will show the basics on which to vote for a sustained healthy futureDemocracy is only as good as the ability of the voters to FULLY understand the implications of the policies on which they vote., both context and the various perspectives. National voting of unqualified voters on specific policy issues is the sign of corrupt manipulation.
Climate Weather Ecology Economics Population Welfare Energy Policy CO2 Carbon GHG Green House Gas
- 5 years 2 months ago
Aged Care and Hospital Flows
Geoff McDonnell ★
Flows between acute hospital and aged care for older people. See IM-1012 for a simpler version
Health Care Patient Flow Policy Population Hospital Aged Care
- 2 years 10 months ago
Version 10: Hattie Calibrated Education Scenario Tool Capability Demonstration
Robert L. Brown
- 1 week 1 hour ago
Neoliberalism and health policy
Geoff McDonnell ★
Health Care Economics Policy Politics Neoliberal Control Governance
- 3 years 5 months ago
Core of HR4286
Steve Wallis
- 6 years 1 week ago
Intellectual Disability Services Concept Map
Geoff McDonnell ★
Services planning for people with intellectual disability concept map. Stock and FLow model is Insight 668 and RIch Picture is Insight 746
- 8 years 1 month ago
S-Curve + Delay for Bell Curve by Guy Lakeman
Guy Lakeman
Generation of Bell Curve from Initial Market through Delay in Pickup of Customers
This provides the beginning of an Erlang distribution model
The Erlang distribution is a two parameter family of continuous probability distributions with support . The two parameters are:
- a positive integer 'shape'
- a positive real 'rate' ; sometimes the scale , the inverse of the rate is used.
MATHS Statistics Physics Science Ecology Climate Weather Intelligence Education Probability Density Function Normal Bell Curve Gaussian Distribution Democracy Voting Politics Policy Erlang
- 11 months 3 weeks ago
Social Justice, Epidemiology and Health Inequalities
Geoff McDonnell ★
Health Care Social Determinants Inequality Stress ATSI SDOH Neoliberal Politics Economics Policy Justice Health Disparities Value Epidemiology Marmot Suicide Child Development
- 3 years 1 month ago
Version 8B with story: Calibrated Student-Home-Teachers-Classroom-LEA-Spending
Yolande Tra
- 3 years 10 months ago
Payment Policy Unintended Consequences
Geoff McDonnell ★
Health Care Policy Funding Clinical Care Surgery Quality Safety Performance Unintended Consequences
- 4 years 2 months ago
Ejercicio de simulación
Carlos Sandoval
Base del modelo territorial de Ciudad Hermosa
Una adaptación del URBAN1 Model from Navid Ghaffarzadegan, John Lyneis and George P Richardson's How small system dynamics models can help the public policy process at System Dynamics Review 27: 22-44 (2011) (click here to view full paper).
- 8 months 4 days ago
MANAGING FULL EMPLOYMENT
Hanns-Jürgen Hodann
MODERN MONETARY THEORY SHOWS HOW FULL EMPLOYMENT CAN BE ACHIEVED!
POTENTIAL GDP is a level of overall spending - by the government and the non-government sector - at which there is full employment. If the economy is not operating at its potential, then the private sector has failed to invested or spend enough to generate the necessary growth nor has income from net exports contributed enough. This only leaves the government to close the spending gap. Conceptually, a government disposing of its own freely floating currency could act using two powerful tools - spending in excess of tax revenue, and taxation - to ensure that the gap between the actual economic activity and potential GDP is quickly closed. Achieving the full employment that prevailed for 30 years between 1945 and 1975 in western economies is definitely possible!
- 1 year 11 months ago
Intervention Types Mechanisms and Effects
Geoff McDonnell ★
Health Care Intervention CCP Policy Program Multiscale Causation Politics Prevention Methods Social Determinants SDOH
- 3 years 1 month ago
International vs National Post-Graduates
Geoff McDonnell ★
- 7 years 9 months ago
Clone 26/07/16 of Plastic Pollution Solution Revolution
Pascal Dubois
- 4 years 6 months ago
Institutional adaptive cycles
Geoff McDonnell ★
Resilience Health Care Politics Governance Panarchy Policy Behavior
- 4 years 11 months ago
Alcohol CLD Feedbacks
Geoff McDonnell ★
Health Care Policy Control Alcohol Prevention Social Services
- 5 years 1 week ago