Decision making accuracy depends on ecological validity of indicator uses and subjective use of cues (fallible tangible indicators) Extended to clinical risk and action in  IM-62657  See medical decision making 2016 article  abstract

Decision making accuracy depends on ecological validity of indicator uses and subjective use of cues (fallible tangible indicators) Extended to clinical risk and action in IM-62657 See medical decision making 2016 article abstract

Clusters of interacting methods for improving health services network design and delivery. Includes Forrester quotes on statistical vs SD methods and the Modeller's dilemma. Simplified version of  IM-14982  combined with  IM-17598  and  IM-9773
Clusters of interacting methods for improving health services network design and delivery. Includes Forrester quotes on statistical vs SD methods and the Modeller's dilemma. Simplified version of IM-14982 combined with IM-17598 and IM-9773
20 2 months ago


This is a high level system dynamics model which is built to
determine the dynamic relationships of the FSA and Followups capacity.
Therefore, it can help clinicians to find out the optimistic method in order to
reduce the waiting list. At past clinicians were seeing more FSA patients,
however, af
This is a high level system dynamics model which is built to determine the dynamic relationships of the FSA and Followups capacity. Therefore, it can help clinicians to find out the optimistic method in order to reduce the waiting list. At past clinicians were seeing more FSA patients, however, after few months, the followups patients overwhelmed the clinics. Therefore waiting list has been built up again. By running this model, clinicians can find out the balanced leverage point(s). New Model has been developed, this is a very draft model.
Based on Nate Osgood's April 2014 Singapore Presentation  Youtube video  and Lyle Wallis material Gojii at  DecisioTech  See also  Complex Decison Technologies IM  as a more polished version
Based on Nate Osgood's April 2014 Singapore Presentation Youtube video and Lyle Wallis material Gojii at DecisioTech See also Complex Decison Technologies IM as a more polished version
From Brown and Heathcote's 2008  Paper  on the simplest model of Choice ResponseTime , a  Tutorial paper  and a  Workload capacity paper  that estimates drift rate v for individuals with single and multiple targets
From Brown and Heathcote's 2008 Paper on the simplest model of Choice ResponseTime , a Tutorial paper and a Workload capacity paper that estimates drift rate v for individuals with single and multiple targets
WIP based on Emery Roe's 2013  book . See also Dynamics in Action  IM-3239  for more on behavior and The Art of the State  IM-11962  for more on Grid-Group Cultural Theory
WIP based on Emery Roe's 2013 book. See also Dynamics in Action IM-3239 for more on behavior and The Art of the State IM-11962 for more on Grid-Group Cultural Theory
4 months ago
 ​Book  (large pdf) by Alicia Juarrero subtitled intentional behavior as a complex system. Behaviour is action and change in the world, consisting of the external, mental and social world. Human action is intentional, meaningful  and hopefully effective. Behaviours can be: Reactive: sense and respon
​Book (large pdf) by Alicia Juarrero subtitled intentional behavior as a complex system. Behaviour is action and change in the world, consisting of the external, mental and social world. Human action is intentional, meaningful  and hopefully effective. Behaviours can be:
Reactive: sense and respond
Adaptive: anticipate and learn
Generative: innovate and transform.
Which models help produce effective action?
 WIP for Continuity of care ISO From  Wikipedia  Initial Insight Representation from ContSys Patient statechart split off at  IM-4010

WIP for Continuity of care ISO From Wikipedia Initial Insight Representation from ContSys

Patient statechart split off at IM-4010
 From Rudolph JW Morrison JB and Carroll JS (2009) The Dynamics of Action-Oriented Problem Solving: Linking Interpretation and Choice. Academy of Management Review 34 (4) p733-756  Available online  . This paper won the Forrester Award for 2012 and the  presentation talk video  is available. The pre

From Rudolph JW Morrison JB and Carroll JS (2009) The Dynamics of Action-Oriented Problem Solving: Linking Interpretation and Choice. Academy of Management Review 34 (4) p733-756 Available online . This paper won the Forrester Award for 2012 and the presentation talk video is available. The presentation  paper abstract is available in System Dynamics Review 2013 here

WIP notes on Stress and Abuse, based on integrating cycles of alienation, emotional regulation in brain development, addiction, and violence/abuse, inspired by harry burns  keynote video  on Glasgow alienation due to housing estates. Peggy Thoits 2010 Stress and Health  article  added
WIP notes on Stress and Abuse, based on integrating cycles of alienation, emotional regulation in brain development, addiction, and violence/abuse, inspired by harry burns keynote video on Glasgow alienation due to housing estates. Peggy Thoits 2010 Stress and Health article added
From Schluter et al 2017  article  A framework for mapping and comparing behavioural theories in models of social-ecological systems COMSeS2017  video .   See also Balke and Gilbert 2014 JASSS  article  How do agents make decisions? (recommended by Kurt Kreuger U of S)
From Schluter et al 2017 article A framework for mapping and comparing behavioural theories in models of social-ecological systems COMSeS2017 video. See also Balke and Gilbert 2014 JASSS article How do agents make decisions? (recommended by Kurt Kreuger U of S)
7 10 months ago
 Fritjof Capra said that from a
systems perspective, ethical behavior is always related to community; it is
behaviour for the common good. Using this perspective, I would define Meta-Values
as those values that promote the well-being of human beings and safeguard the biosphere
on which that well-bei

Fritjof Capra said that from a systems perspective, ethical behavior is always related to community; it is behaviour for the common good. Using this perspective, I would define Meta-Values as those values that promote the well-being of human beings and safeguard the biosphere on which that well-being ultimately depends.  Considering meta-values as an overriding criteria and rejecting an automatic acceptance the narrow options offered by doctrines and ideologies provides a much larger choice on which to base decisions.  Doctrines and ideologies could then serve to provide explanations, views of how the world works, that could be used if found appropriate in a particular situation -  but  viewed from an agnostic stance and not from a quasi religious belief in their truth. As Donella Meadows once said, 'No paradigm is true'. Actions based on aspects of  doctrinal beliefs that are false are very likely to lead to unintended negative consequences.  Can carefully considered decisions based on Meta-Values avoid most of these negative side effects? The CLD shows the dynamic that could be at work if this assumption is true. 

 Broad and detailed Linked concept version of Tanner's Clinical Judgment Model, with the addition of clinical reasoning cycle concepts from T Levett-Jones et al Nurse Education Today 30 (2010) 515-520 and Kathie Lasater (2007) Clinical Judgment Development: Using Simulation to Create an Assessment R

Broad and detailed Linked concept version of Tanner's Clinical Judgment Model, with the addition of clinical reasoning cycle concepts from T Levett-Jones et al Nurse Education Today 30 (2010) 515-520 and Kathie Lasater (2007) Clinical Judgment Development: Using Simulation to Create an Assessment Rubric. Journal of Nursing Education 46(11)p 496-503

From Walrave ISDC2014  paper  Counteracting the success trap in publically owned corporations
From Walrave ISDC2014 paper Counteracting the success trap in publically owned corporations
 Festinger's theory of cognitive dissonance represented in feedback loops from p256 Fig 4.23 of George Richardson (1991) Book Feedback Thought in Social Science and Systems Theory reviewed  here  May be relevant to goal conflict in pct and mental health

Festinger's theory of cognitive dissonance represented in feedback loops from p256 Fig 4.23 of George Richardson (1991) Book Feedback Thought in Social Science and Systems Theory reviewed here May be relevant to goal conflict in pct and mental health

3 9 months ago
 Overview of Beyond Pleasure and Pain: How Motivation Works  Book  by E Tory Higgins OUP (2011). See also the value experience  IM-2804  and Regret  IM-15680

Overview of Beyond Pleasure and Pain: How Motivation Works Book by E Tory Higgins OUP (2011). See also the value experience IM-2804 and Regret IM-15680


 WIP for Continuity of care ISO From  Wikipedia  Initial Insight Representation from ContSys  IM-4008  with split off patient statechart See  IM-2846  for Agent with infectious disease and  IM-4031  for additional professional statechart

WIP for Continuity of care ISO From Wikipedia Initial Insight Representation from ContSys

IM-4008 with split off patient statechart See IM-2846 for Agent with infectious disease and IM-4031 for additional professional statechart
 Fig 4.1 p 86 of Beyond Pleasure and Pain: How Motivation Works  Book  by E Tory Higgins OUP (2011).  Illustration of the relations among variables that contribute to the value experience. See also Effectiveness  IM-2806

Fig 4.1 p 86 of Beyond Pleasure and Pain: How Motivation Works Book by E Tory Higgins OUP (2011).

Illustration of the relations among variables that contribute to the value experience. See also Effectiveness IM-2806

 WIP for Continuity of care ISO From  Wikipedia  Initial Insight Representation from ContSys  IM-4008  with split off  patient  and professional statecharts See  IM-2846  for Agent with infectious disease and  IM-6913  for ED Physician INteraction

WIP for Continuity of care ISO From Wikipedia Initial Insight Representation from ContSys

IM-4008 with split off patient and professional statecharts See IM-2846 for Agent with infectious disease and IM-6913 for ED Physician INteraction
 Modified from Sterman (2006) and Gene Bellinger's Assumptions  IM-351  by Dr Rosemarie Sadsad UNSW See also  Complex Decision Technologies IM  and  IM-63975

Modified from Sterman (2006) and Gene Bellinger's Assumptions IM-351 by Dr Rosemarie Sadsad UNSW See also Complex Decision Technologies IM and IM-63975

 Gavan Lintern's Decision Ladder of Cognitive states and processes associated with the Ladder of Inference  IM-351  

Gavan Lintern's Decision Ladder of Cognitive states and processes associated with the Ladder of Inference IM-351 

From A Philosophical Basis of Medical Practice Toward a Philosophy and Ethic of the Healing Professions Edmund D Pellegrino David C Thomasma OUP Oxford 1981 Ch6  The Anatomy of Clinical Judgments  p119-152 Note judgments have consequences of action, decisions can separate out the knowledge used.  Se
From A Philosophical Basis of Medical Practice Toward a Philosophy and Ethic of the Healing Professions Edmund D Pellegrino David C Thomasma OUP Oxford 1981 Ch6 The Anatomy of Clinical Judgments p119-152 Note judgments have consequences of action, decisions can separate out the knowledge used. 
See also Thinking Like a Nurse IM-703 and Ladder of Inference Assumptions IM-351 and IM-50413 to show diagnostic detail