John Kingdon's Theory of Streams in the politics of the policy process. From the book Kingdon, John (1999) Agendas Alternatives and Public Policies. Longman New York. Click on View Story at the bottom left.

Health Care Policy Politics

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Environment Demographics Population Growth Population Weather Climate Failure Death Mortality Science Technology Engineering Strategy Economics Politics Fertility Health Services Resources Land Jobs Labor Urban Industrial Rural Lifetime Pollution Regeneration Yield Ocean Sea Fish Plants Animals

​The probability density function (PDF) of the normal distribution or Bell Curve of Normal or Gaussian Distribution is the mean or expectation of the distribution (and also its median and mode). 
The parameter is its standard deviation with its variance then, A random variable with a Gaussian distribution is said to be normally distributed and is called a normal deviate.However, those who enjoy upskirts are called deviants and have a variable distribution :) 
A random variable with a Gaussian distribution is said to be normally distributed and is called a normal deviate.
If mu = 0 and sigma = 1
If the Higher Education Numbers Are Increased then the group decision making ability of society would be raised above that of a middle teenager as it is nowBUT Governments can control children by using bad parenting techniques, pandering to the pleasure principle, so they will make higher education more and more difficult as they are doing

85% of the population has a qualification level equal or below a 12th grader, 17 year old ... the chance of finding someone with any sense is low (~1 in 6) and the outcome of them being chosen by those who are uneducated in the policies they are to decide is even more rare !!!
Experience means little if you don't have enough brain to analyse it
Democracy is only as good as the ability of the voters to FULLY understand the implications of the policies on which they vote., both context and the various perspectives.   National voting of unqualified voters on specific policy issues is the sign of corrupt manipulation.
Democracy:  Where a group allows the decision ability of a teenager to decide on a choice of mis-representatives who are unqualified to make judgement on social policies that affect the lives of millions.The kind of children who would vote for King Kong who can hold a girl in one hand and swat fighter jets out of teh sky off the tallest building, doesn't have a brain cell or thought to call his own but has a nice smile and offers little girls sweets.

MATHS Statistics Physics Science Ecology Climate Weather Intelligence Education Probability Density Function Normal Bell Curve Gaussian Distribution Democracy Voting Politics Policy

In fairness it is not just the Republican Party that believes in Neoliberalism, but it seems to adhere to the most puritan form of it. The principal tenets of Neoliberalism, free and unfettered markets and tight fiscal control are diametrically opposed to what is needed to fight climate change and its effects. Such policies involve massive fiscal spending and government investment in new infrastructure and renewable energy.  They  also involve wide ranging regulation of the private sector,  especially restrictions on the fossil fuel industry. Accepting the reality of man-made climate change and the policies needed to counter it really amounts to admitting that Neoliberalism has failed. The CLD tries to illustrate the self-reinforcing dynamic that may have led the leaders of the Republican Party to deny climate change. Of course, there are also other factors involved, such as party loyalty, internal pressure to conform, cognitive dissonance and probably many more. Please also have a look at Insight 66858 which is related to this subject.

Politics Neoliberlaism Climate

Investigations into the relationships responsible for the success and failure of nations. This investigation was prompted after reading numerous references on the subject and perceiving that *Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty* by Acemoglu and Robinson seem to make a great deal of sense.
Original model done for The Perspectives Project though recast into Kumu.

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Nations Fail Politics History Economics Society

WIP based on Emery Roe's 2013 book. See also Dynamics in Action IM-3239 for more on behavior and The Art of the State IM-11962 for more on Grid-Group Cultural Theory

Reliability Policy Management Performance Behavior Politics Culture Safety Resilience Multiscale Complexity Decision Making

Grid-Group Culture applied to Public Management WIP based on Christopher Hood's 1998 book. plus excerpts from Schwartz and Thompson's 1990 Book Divided we stand. See also Managing Mess IM-11581 and FourCultures Blog and Wikipedia Cultural Theory of Risk

Reliability Policy Politics Management Performance Behavior Culture Safety Resilience Grid Group

Book Summary of The Great Transformation by Karl Polanyi see Wikipedia

Economics History Neoliberal Polanyi Politics Inequality

Brief Summary of Albert O Hirschman's Book

Culture Motivation Behavior Politics Economics History Ideas Book Hirschman

Book summary WIP

Economics Politics Society Organization

Politics Adaptive Management and Transition Management

Health Care Organization Learning Governance Resilience Politics

Extended from Im-628 Supply and demand by adding control folder.See also Managing Health Services Use IM-17566Based on JHPPL 2015 article Note here the framing is an economic exchange rather than a public service (needs-services-resources) or capabilities

Health Care Economics Policy Politics Neoliberal Control Governance

WIP Summary of MIchael Hudson's Book Killing the Host: How Financial Parasites and Debt destroy the Global Economy 

Finance Neoliberal Economics Politics Macroeconomics Monetary

Book summary of Albert O Hirschman's 1982 book, explaining cycles of collective public action.

Sociology Politics Economics Hirschman Book Culture

From ODI paper . Political constraints and perverse incentives that make development plans not implementable and not implemented. See also Managing health service use IM-17566
Can you close the loops on cause and effect? Can you make it relevant to your own regional services? Could this be put into a CMO Framework IM-1713?

Shaping Our Healthier Futures Governance Services Politics Regional

A restatement of the ISDC Nijmegen 2006 paper Exploring the Political and Economic Dimensions of Health Policy This may benefit from simplification and using cultural theory. See IM-57161 for extension

Health Care Services Politics Culture Governance Funding Control Regional

WIP Summary of Michael Thompson's Book

Culture Grid Group Social Capability Organization Politics Choice Governance Panarchy

Based on Gunderson Holling and Light. Barriers and Bridges to the Renewal of Ecosystems and Institutions book Columbia University Press 1995. esp Fig 12.1 p499 Table 12.1 p 502 and FIg 12.4 p 521 and IM-11581 Managing mess

Resilience Health Care Politics Governance Panarchy Policy Behavior

WIP based on Health Research Policy and Systems Paper

Health Care Politics Resources Allocation

WIP example to illustrate Cultural Theory

Culture Grid Group Politics Organization Governance Social

Book summary, relevant to positive capability framework

Capability Governance Politics Regulation Control

Decision comparison model

This is little bit advanced. For purposes of level 1 research model, this whole is a new decision method with new class of decision makers.
As much as I know nobody is using this method. This is not research, this is advanced application. See research fist.

Model is mostly chronological.
Links that would make the model messy are left out.

Some more notes...
GDI is good decision index in percents of "Yes, back in time, I would like the decision to win in comparison again."
GDI feedback may start right after decision, but should be editable.
Other feedback may be directed almost from any place to any other, here we got just the one qualitative loop that is of high importance for this explanation. Request for method may be resolved by many methods, GDI tells very little about it. Priorities might be different e.g. there might be not enough time for some method, there might be preference for socializing or learning, "uninportant decision do not need to be that much good", etc.

Politics

Contraflow bus lanes seem to produce a never ending succession of accidents involving pedestrians. An understandable reaction is that pedestrians are careless and that more visible indicators of the potential danger is an appropriate measure. This leads to the 'Symptomatic Solution' - but unfortunately accidents are not usually stopped by symptomatic solutions. Another but potentially far more costly and time-consuming approach is available: investigating a fundamental solution. Recent findings in cognitive science have shown that often repeated actions (like looking to the right when crossing the street) are phisically represented in our brains - see George Lakoff and Mark Johnson's book Philosophy in the Flesh. It seems that looking in the wrong directon is a default setting in our brain that is almost impossible to correct. The fundamental solution must deal with the implication of this and any other reasons that contribute to the accidents. In the town where I live, and surely in many other cities, contraflow bus lanes are still in operation - here, I'm sure, Systems Thinking could help and inform public policy.

Politics Traffic Accidents

​S-Curve + Delay for Bell Curve Showing Erlang Distribution
Generation of Bell Curve from Initial Market through Delay in Pickup of Customers
This provides the beginning of an Erlang distribution model

The Erlang distribution is a two parameter family of continuous probability distributions with support . The two parameters are:

• a positive integer 'shape' 
• a positive real 'rate' ; sometimes the scale , the inverse of the rate is used.

MATHS Statistics Physics Science Ecology Climate Weather Intelligence Education Probability Density Function Normal Bell Curve Gaussian Distribution Democracy Voting Politics Policy Erlang