THE 2020 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION.  WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER R

THE 2020 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION.
WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

 A simple generic rich picture WIP view of interactions among social structures and agents and Boonstra's 2016 conceptualizing power  article  from Ecology and Society 

A simple generic rich picture WIP view of interactions among social structures and agents and Boonstra's 2016 conceptualizing power article from Ecology and Society 

WIP Clone of Conceptualizing Capitalism  Insight  to summarise Thorstein Veblen's writings on the Nature of Capital and other Institutional economics concepts
WIP Clone of Conceptualizing Capitalism Insight to summarise Thorstein Veblen's writings on the Nature of Capital and other Institutional economics concepts
Expansion of  IM-24317  for adding other funding insights Im-633 and 636 . See also  IM-57110  contrasting economic drivers of mental health with other health care based on JHPPL David Mechanic 2016 issue articles, esp Glied
Expansion of IM-24317 for adding other funding insights Im-633 and 636 . See also IM-57110 contrasting economic drivers of mental health with other health care based on JHPPL David Mechanic 2016 issue articles, esp Glied
WIP based on Mascia2017 Analyzing conservation strategies  article  and other mostly private insights. A more detailed form of structure agency  IM-1163
WIP based on Mascia2017 Analyzing conservation strategies article and other mostly private insights. A more detailed form of structure agency IM-1163
Clone of  IM 57110  as backup Which is a Clone of  IM-24317  for adding other funding insights Im-633 and 636 and contrasting economic drivers of mental health with other health care based on  JHPPL David Mechanic 2016 issue  articles, esp  Glied article  (paywalled)
Clone of IM 57110 as backup Which is a Clone of IM-24317 for adding other funding insights Im-633 and 636 and contrasting economic drivers of mental health with other health care based on JHPPL David Mechanic 2016 issue articles, esp Glied article (paywalled)
Based on ideas from ​ Designing safer health care through responsive regulation Judith Healy and John Braithwaite MJA 2006; 184: S56–S59   Will link with  IM-9007  DLL Simulation See also simpler Policy Resistance  IM_697  and  IM-1955  Fighting Complexity and Making the Most of Mess  IM-11581
Based on ideas from ​Designing safer health care through responsive regulation Judith Healy and John Braithwaite MJA 2006; 184: S56–S59  Will link with IM-9007 DLL Simulation
See also simpler Policy Resistance IM_697 and IM-1955 Fighting Complexity and Making the Most of Mess IM-11581
8 months ago
WIP of several books of Karl Polanyi's thoughts and papers around social science economic history and capitalism. . See also Summary of the Great Transformation  IM-10640
WIP of several books of Karl Polanyi's thoughts and papers around social science economic history and capitalism. . See also Summary of the Great Transformation IM-10640
Decision comparison model  This is little bit advanced. For purposes of level 1 research model, this whole is a new decision method with new class of decision makers. As much as I know nobody is using this method. 
This is not research, this is advanced application. See research fist.  Model is most
Decision comparison model

This is little bit advanced. For purposes of level 1 research model, this whole is a new decision method with new class of decision makers.
As much as I know nobody is using this method. This is not research, this is advanced application. See research fist.

Model is mostly chronological.
Links that would make the model messy are left out.

Some more notes...
GDI is good decision index in percents of "Yes, back in time, I would like the decision to win in comparison again."
GDI feedback may start right after decision, but should be editable.
Other feedback may be directed almost from any place to any other, here we got just the one qualitative loop that is of high importance for this explanation. Request for method may be resolved by many methods, GDI tells very little about it. Priorities might be different e.g. there might be not enough time for some method, there might be preference for socializing or learning, "uninportant decision do not need to be that much good", etc.
 The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST W

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

 Contraflow bus lanes seem to produce a never ending succession of accidents involving pedestrians. An understandable reaction is that pedestrians are careless and that more visible indicators of the potential danger is an appropriate measure. This leads to the 'Symptomatic Solution' - but unfortuna

Contraflow bus lanes seem to produce a never ending succession of accidents involving pedestrians. An understandable reaction is that pedestrians are careless and that more visible indicators of the potential danger is an appropriate measure. This leads to the 'Symptomatic Solution' - but unfortunately accidents are not usually stopped by symptomatic solutions. Another but potentially far more costly and time-consuming approach is available: investigating a fundamental solution. Recent findings in cognitive science have shown that often repeated actions (like looking to the right when crossing the street) are phisically represented in our brains - see George Lakoff and Mark Johnson's book Philosophy in the Flesh. It seems that looking in the wrong directon is a default setting in our brain that is almost impossible to correct. The fundamental solution must deal with the implication of this and any other reasons that contribute to the accidents. In the town where I live, and surely in many other cities, contraflow bus lanes are still in operation - here, I'm sure, Systems Thinking could help and inform public policy.

WIP Summary of Froud et al 2017  article  from special Theory Culture and Society issue on Elites and Power after Financialization with WIP SIB social impact bonds katz AmJPH 2018  article
WIP Summary of Froud et al 2017 article from special Theory Culture and Society issue on Elites and Power after Financialization with WIP SIB social impact bonds katz AmJPH 2018 article
5 months ago
From  ODI paper  . Political constraints and perverse incentives that make development plans not implementable and not implemented. Can you close the loops on cause and effect? Can you make it relevant to your own regional services? Could this be put into a CMO Framework  IM-1713 ?
From ODI paper . Political constraints and perverse incentives that make development plans not implementable and not implemented.
Can you close the loops on cause and effect? Can you make it relevant to your own regional services? Could this be put into a CMO Framework IM-1713?
Modelagem do problema atual do cenário político brasileiro. Trabalho para a disciplina Teoria Geral de Sistemas - FT UNICAMP    Grupo:  Leonardo Viveiros - 156233  Felipe Batoni - 155293  Lucas Fernandes - 172721
Modelagem do problema atual do cenário político brasileiro. Trabalho para a disciplina Teoria Geral de Sistemas - FT UNICAMP

Grupo:
Leonardo Viveiros - 156233
Felipe Batoni - 155293
Lucas Fernandes - 172721

Diagrams from David Collingridge and Colin Reeve's Book Fig 1 and 2 Over-critical and Under-critical models. Challenge: combine into a single CLD.  See also  cognitive dissonance IM
Diagrams from David Collingridge and Colin Reeve's Book Fig 1 and 2 Over-critical and Under-critical models. Challenge: combine into a single CLD. 
 The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST W

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

WIP based on Tom Keneally's Three Famines Book
WIP based on Tom Keneally's Three Famines Book
 On the occasion of th G20-meeting in Toronto, the German Economics minister Herr Schaüble said that without restoring confidence it would not be possible to get consumer spending and business investment going. Similar remarks were made by David Cameron and Señor Zapatero of Spain. All maintain that

On the occasion of th G20-meeting in Toronto, the German Economics minister Herr Schaüble said that without restoring confidence it would not be possible to get consumer spending and business investment going. Similar remarks were made by David Cameron and Señor Zapatero of Spain. All maintain that confidence is a pre-requisite to get growth going and that, therefore, it was imperative to reduce fiscal deficits. Reducing the fiscal deficit will restore confidence at first. However, reducing the deficit very quickly will introduce a dynamic that may cause the economy to decline - and perhaps depress  consumers demand even further.  It will actually destroy confidence: few businesses are inclined to invest in a shrinking economy. Cutting the deficit too rapidly or too steeply can lead to a confidence trap.

NOTE: A big experiment is now taking place in the UK - the government has cut public spending severely! Will this lead to hardship and, perhaps, social unrest?