A Future Wheel, mapping out first, second, and third order impacts of the Ukraine War
A Future Wheel Ukraine War
Model based on Global War on Terrorism: Analyzing the Strategic Threat, Discussion Paper Number Thirteen, published November 2004 by the Center for Strategic Intelligence Reasearch at the Joint Military Intelligence College, Washington DC.
Global War on Terrorism: Analyzing the Strategic Threat
Map of Causal Structure outlined in Thucydides History of the Peloponnesian War based on Fuzzy Cognitive Map, Matt Fisher's 2017 UC Berkeley Thesis on Tragic Science and other sources (see notes (i))
Thucydides Trap Sparta Athens War
Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.
Also applies to finance and war
Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
SIR model with waning immunity - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity
Also applies to finance, conflict and war
SIR model with waning immunity - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
A Future Wheel, from my perspective, mapping out first, second, and third order impacts of the Ukraine War: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/victor-v-motti_ukraine-war-future-activity-6903125294514065408-CKLu
Clone of A Future Wheel Ukraine War
Model based on Global War on Terrorism: Analyzing the Strategic Threat, Discussion Paper Number Thirteen, published November 2004 by the Center for Strategic Intelligence Reasearch at the Joint Military Intelligence College, Washington DC.
War on Terror
Model I created for my Dungeons & Dragons Campaign
One Gesh tribe finds a dragon's hoarde of cash and weapons, and uses it to conquer the other tribes in a war of unification.
Includes fluxuating weapon price based on demand
Gesh Tribesmen War of Unification
A Future Wheel, mapping out first, second, and third order impacts of the Ukraine War
Clone of A Future Wheel Ukraine War
A Future Wheel, mapping out first, second, and third order impacts of the Ukraine War
Clone of A Future Wheel Ukraine War
A Future Wheel, mapping out first, second, and third order impacts of the Ukraine War
Clone of A Future Wheel Ukraine War
A Future Wheel, mapping out first, second, and third order impacts of the Ukraine War
Clone of A Future Wheel Ukraine War
A Future Wheel, mapping out first, second, and third order impacts of the Ukraine War
Clone of A Future Wheel Ukraine War
Summary of Geoffrey Blainey's Book The Causes of War 4th Edition 2025 showing the Conclusions points Ch20 p323
The Causes of War
World War II - A Causal Map (Draft)
SIR model with waning immunity - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity
Also applies to finance, conflict and war
Clone of SIR model with waning immunity - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
SIR model with waning immunity - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity
Also applies to finance, conflict and war
Clone of SIR model with waning immunity - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
SIR model with waning immunity - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity
Also applies to finance, conflict and war
Clone of SIR model with waning immunity - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
