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THE BROKEN LINK BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND CREATES CHAOTIC TURBULENCE (+controls)

Guy Lakeman
THE BROKEN LINK BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND CREATES TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

Growth in supply and productivity is a summation of variables as is demand ... when the link between them is broken by catastrophic failure in a component the creation of unpredictable chaotic turbulence puts the controls ito a situation that will never return the system to its initial conditions as it is STIC system (Lorenz)

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite working containers (villages communities)

Environment Economics Finance Mathematics Physics Biology Health Fractals Chaos TURBULENCE Engineering Navier Stokes Supply Demand Strategy

  • 4 years 8 months ago

2014 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility - The World3+ Model: Forecaster

Guy Lakeman

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Environment Demographics Population Growth Population Weather Climate Failure Death Mortality Science Technology Engineering Strategy Economics Politics Fertility Health Services Resources Land Jobs Labor Urban Industrial Rural Lifetime Pollution Regeneration Yield Ocean Sea Fish Plants Animals

  • 3 years 6 months ago

BATHTUB MEAN TIME BETWEEN FAILURE (MTBF) RISK

Guy Lakeman
Simulation of MTBF with controls

F(t) = 1 - e ^ -λt Where  • F(t) is the probability of failure  • λ is the failure rate in 1/time unit (1/h, for example) • t is the observed service life (h, for example)
The inverse curve is the trust time
On the right the increase in failures brings its inverse which is loss of trust and move into suspicion and lack of confidence.
This can be seen in strategic social applications with those who put economy before providing the priorities of the basic living infrastructures for all.

This applies to policies and strategic decisions as well as physical equipment.
A) Equipment wears out through friction and preventive maintenance can increase the useful lifetime, 
B) Policies/working practices/guidelines have to be updated to reflect changes in the external environment and eventually be replaced when for instance a population rises too large (constitutional changes are required to keep pace with evolution, e.g. the concepts of the ancient Greeks, 3000 years ago, who based their thoughts on a small population cannot be applied in 2013 except where populations can be contained into productive working communities with balanced profit and loss centers to ensure sustainability)

Early LifeIf we follow the slope from the leftmost start to where it begins to flatten out this can be considered the first period. The first period is characterized by a decreasing failure rate. It is what occurs during the “early life” of a population of units. The weaker units fail leaving a population that is more rigorous.
Useful Life
The next period is the flat bottom portion of the graph. It is called the “useful life” period. Failures occur more in a random sequence during this time. It is difficult to predict which failure mode will occur, but the rate of failures is predictable. Notice the constant slope.  
Wearout
The third period begins at the point where the slope begins to increase and extends to the rightmost end of the graph. This is what happens when units become old and begin to fail at an increasing rate. It is called the “wearout” period. 

Environment Economics Finance Mathematics Physics Biology Health Fractals Chaos TURBULENCE Engineering Navier Stokes Science Demographics Population Growth BIFURCATIONS MTBF Risk Failure Strategy

  • 3 years 6 months ago

FORCED GROWTH INTO TURBULENCE

Guy Lakeman
FORCED GROWTH GROWTH GOES INTO TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION 
 BEWARE pushing increased growth blows the system!
(governments are trying to push growth on already unstable systems !)

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept and flawed strategy of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite limited size working capacity containers (villages communities)

Environment Economics Finance Mathematics Physics Biology Health Fractals Chaos TURBULENCE Engineering Navier Stokes Science Demographics Population Growth BIFURCATIONS MTBF Strategy Weather

  • 6 years 4 months ago

2017 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility by Guy Lakeman - The World3+ Model: Forecaster

Guy Lakeman

THE 2017 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Environment Demographics Population Growth Population Weather Climate Failure Death Mortality Science Technology Engineering Strategy Economics Politics Fertility Health Services Resources Land Jobs Labor Urban Industrial Rural Lifetime Pollution Regeneration Yield Ocean Sea Fish Plants Animals Flood Drought Loss Hurricane Typhoon Tornado Cyclone Agriculture Food Energy Nuclear Solar Resource Graphene Silicene Transport

  • 1 year 7 months ago

OVERSHOOT GROWTH INTO TURBULENCE

Guy Lakeman
OVERSHOOT GROWTH GOES INTO TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite limited size working capacity containers (villages communities)

Environment Economics Finance Mathematics Physics Biology Health Fractals Chaos TURBULENCE Engineering Navier Stokes Science Demographics Population Growth Strategy Weather

  • 3 years 6 months ago

Body Energy

James
This insight describes the interrelationship between carbohydrates, fats and proteins.
Each food source is used, stored and processed in different ways.
The balance of our food intake, our genetic characteristics that determine our ability to digest these sources and our activity levels, have a significant impact upon our weight and performance.

Health

  • 1 year 10 months ago

Health tips that you shouldn’t ignore in your teens

Hamza
Drama, lies, tears and teenagers years! It is the most important phase of your life wherein you move from childhood to adulthood. This is that phase where you like you take your own decisions of life, be it your friends, music, clothes and even your health. Firstly, at this stage of life, you have to focus more on your body as it will stay with you for your entire lifetime. Good food, good health, and good sleep and for good sleep all you need is a good mattress.

Sleep Quality

Teenagers like to explore more independently which also includes their sexuality gender identity. They want more independence from their families and friends to play a major role in their life at this stage. Teenagers must sleep for at least 8 to 9 hours. if you are suffering from sleep related issues, you can use cbd oil for sleep. Even they like to have their separate rooms, cozy beds with good mattress, etc. so that they wake up with a better mood to face the challenges of their lives.

Eating habits

Getting healthy by eating healthy food and adapting good sleeping habits plays a vital role in a youngster’s life. Consuming healthy foods and drinks and remaining active is the key for a healthier life. To get yourself focused in life you need to have proper food and sound sleep. Teenagers should at least sleep for eight to ten hours minimum to remain healthier.

Usage of Smartphone/Lifestyle effects

 Usage of smartphones and other devices have caused many health issues in teens. Also, other leisure activities such as internet computer gaming, televisions, etc. have created such an environment that teens prefer to stay in their bed for maximum times. This makes their brains more active which leads to insufficient sleep. It is very hard to make an aroused brain sleep soon.

An insufficient sleep brings along with it lot of problems in teenagers such as lack concentration, enthusiasm, risk-taking behavior, depressions, slower physical reflexes, reduced sporting activities, clumsiness, reduced academic activities, tiredness, truancy, moodiness, aggression, memory impairment, drifting thoughts, poor decision making, etc. The root cause of all these problems is lack of proper sleep.

Avoid having any food or drink that contains caffeine after dinnertime. This includes coffee, tea cold drinks, and coffee. Decide the sleeping schedule of your kids, fix their sleeping times and see to that kids follow the rules.

Bedroom Environment

Choose a strong bed and a comfortable mattress. Sleeping extra every night on regular basis makes a huge difference slowly as one gets aware of the benefits of sleep. You can use a soft shag rug your living as well bedroom to make it aesthetically pleasing and relaxing.

Noisy bedroom, lumpy mattress, and dirty bedrooms; all these factors are the main reasons for the delay in sleep. A durable base mattress which gives the mattress a sturdy quality should be chosen.

Health should be the top priority for all the teenagers and for that they must avoid artificial sweet food items, milk with excessive fat and sugary carbonated drink. You must include green vegetables and fruits in your diet chart and must try to eat one fruit each day.

Health

  • 1 month 2 hours ago

Determinates of a healthy population

Alex
Social determinants of health are economic and social conditions that influence the health of people and communities. These conditions are shaped by the amount of money, power, and resources that people have, all of which are influenced by policy choices. Social determinants of health affect factors that are related to health outcomes. Factors related to health outcomes include:
  • How a person develops during the first few years of life (early childhood development)
  • How much education a persons obtains
  • Being able to get and keep a job
  • What kind of work a person does
  • Having food or being able to get food (food security)
  • Having access to health services and the quality of those services
  • Housing status
  • How much money a person earns
  • Discrimination and social support

Health

  • 4 years 7 months ago

2018 OVERPOPULATION LEADS TO POLLUTION based on Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility by Guy Lakeman - The World3+ Model: Forecaster

Guy Lakeman

THE 2018 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION.
WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Environment Demographics Population Growth Population Weather Climate Failure Death Mortality Science Technology Engineering Strategy Economics Politics Fertility Health Services Resources Land Jobs Labor Urban Industrial Rural Lifetime Pollution Regeneration Yield Ocean Sea Fish Plants Animals Flood Drought Loss Hurricane Typhoon Tornado Cyclone Agriculture Food Energy Nuclear Solar Resource Graphene Silicene Transport

  • 1 year 3 weeks ago

The most effective method to Begin a Locally situated CBD Business

waheed hussain

In the course of recent years, the CBD advertise has been seeing a great deal of clients. CBS is likewise called Cannabidiol Oil. All things considered, this compound is extricated from cannabis. CBD has various health advantages to offer. It is useful for patients with epilepsy, joint pain, back torment, malignancies, and Helps, just to give some examples.

This industry gathers around $3 billion every year, which is incredible news for providers and advertisers. On the off chance that you need to begin a locally situated CBD business, you might need to pursue the tips given beneath.

Distinguish your Intended interest group

On the off chance that you need to begin and maintain your business effectively, we propose that you distinguish our objective market. The interest for this item is tremendous everywhere throughout the world. Since the item offers helpful properties and agony lessening components, malignant growth patients have an incredible interest for it.

Thus, your first move is to distinguish the kind of sicknesses that you need to offer your item for. For example, on the off chance that you are more than 60 years of age and have joint pain, we propose that you focus on your item at individuals who have a similar condition.

In addition, you can distribute articles and blog entries that can help individuals with CBD Oil with the assistance of CBD Oil. Ensure the titles of each blog entry or article is appealing. Beside articles, you may consider distributing short digital broadcasts and recordings. Ensure you post important substance. You would prefer not to exhaust your perusers with exhausting substance.

Get Positive Surveys

Keep in mind: on the off chance that you need to think around one thing that can enable you to develop your business medium-term, it's sure client surveys. In the event that you need to raise your business, you need to pull in whatever number clients as could reasonably be expected with the assistance of tributes, surveys, referrals, and a couple of advertising methods.

On the off chance that you utilize this oil yourself, you can impart your own involvement to your clients. There are a ton of clients searching for unadulterated CBD oil venders on the web.

What you have to do is take a shot at consumer loyalty. Ensure you get the same number of good audits on your site as you can. Your item deals rely upon your positive surveys. It's smarter to have a tribute and audit area on your site. You can welcome your clients to leave audits on this segment.

Have a Strong Marketable strategy

Much the same as other locally established organizations, you have to make some interest in the first place. Beside this, you have to deal with support costs like marking, bundling, and delivering too. You can get the cash you need from various sources, for example, your own funds, independent company advance or financial specialists. You should simply begin and cash will begin pouring in. In this manner, we recommend that you have a strong speculation plan set up. Next, you have to set a financial plan and get the chance to work.

Health

  • 2 months 1 day ago

Diabetes Management (3 loops)

John Meyer
This three loop goal-seeking structure identifies the three key influences on managing blood glucose for people with diabetes - insulin injections reduce blood glucose levels, exercise reduces blood glucose levels, and food increases blood glucose levels.  The balance of all three is necessary to manage diabetes.

Diabetes Health

  • 4 years 5 months ago

How to Make Perusing Progressively Fun and Energizing for Your Children's Prosperity?

waheed hussain

Perusing for kids is normally a major ordeal to everyone around each child's life. Formative perusing stages happen dependent on their one of a kind interests and proficiency level.

Guardians should realize that the most piece of your child's formative perusing process is being aced at home. The school opens the tyke's psyche and learning capacities to appreciate words Read more , sentences and thoughts however the home provides food a gigantic time to ace these abilities through steady practice.

Here are the 10 extraordinary perky strides to make perusing progressively fun and really charming for your children.

1. Popcorn Perusing

Alternate in perusing a book and state "popcorn" on the off chance that you need to give your kid a chance to proceed with the following part on the page. The tyke can yell "popcorn" when he achieves the word that he experiences issues perusing with. The objective is to assist your youngster with starting adapting more words en route.

2. Perusing Mate

Have a more established companion in the area or inside the family to be your kid's perusing mate. Persuade them to set aside effort for standard perusing as a major aspect of their every day recess. You could enable them to organize a normal perusing time in a fun manner. Be inventive.

3. Feature Paradise

Snatch an utilized kids' book and have him feature each right word that he peruses. Give him a chance to check the quantity of words that he had the capacity to peruse effectively. This will help his perusing certainty all the more every day that he will chip away at it harder to demonstrate to you his ordinary advancement.

4. Electric lamp Perusing

Put aside a brief period before sleep time at around 5 to 10 minutes to flip on a page of your tyke's most loved storybook. Give him a chance to peruse with an electric lamp as you turn off the lights in the room. Most young men would even remind guardians to do it consistently during the evening for unadulterated perusing fun.

5. Mystery Refuge

Children who like playhouse or building an outdoors tent would enormously respect this thought. You need to join your kid in the tent at that point add the perusing part to the setting of the amusement that he initially designs.

6. Perusing Corner

This bit needs your inventiveness. It ought to draw in the child's consideration regarding get a customary perusing design in a very spot some place in the house.

7. Picture Criminologist

Flip a page in a storybook with representations or pictures in it. Request that he surmise rapidly what may occur in the story or messages in the page. Perceive how close his conjecture is.

8. Spring Up Word

Compose each word that your youngster experiences issues in perusing with in a cheat sheet. Give him a chance to peruse each card and each time he gets each word effectively, you both face energize all the more learning possibilities, as it is connected with activity.

9. Star Storybook

This isn't about the reward stickers. There are extraordinary printing organizations and book shops that can print your kid's name as the star or legend in each story. It is generally accessible on the web. You could likewise ask a closest printing press to complete it for you.

10. Essentially Read

When your youngster builds up a steady perusing propensity, you can both appreciate perusing your very own books on standard premise in any capacity.

Consolation is the way to your youngster's perusing progress for a lifetime achievement. Differ every action as per your kid's mind-set and inclinations.

Health

  • 2 months 2 hours ago

Benign prostatic hypertrophy: cause, symptoms, and treatment

Muhammad Siraj

The prostate is a gland that is part of the male reproductive system, with a hazelnut shape. It is located in front of the rectum and just below the bladder, surrounding the proximal urethra. It consists of two components: a glandular (alveolar tubule) and a supporting connective tissue stroma divided into three zones. A plant that occupies 25%, a transitional one that occupies 5% and a peripheral one that occupies 70%. Benign prostatic hypertrophy (BPH) occurs in the area surrounding the urethra (transition zone).

GROWTH: between 10 and 20 years, the highest growth occurs, reaching its normal weight of 20gr. Then it remains the same for 25 more years and then begins to increase again.

•    At 60 years, 50% have histological changes compatible with BPH.

•    At 80 years, 95% have compatible changes.

•    10% of patients debut with acute urinary retention.

•    25% of 80-year-old patients receive treatment for BPH.

The prostatic hypertrophy is an overgrowth of the different components of the normal gland. It is not cancer and does not represent an increased risk of prostate cancer.

Symptom

Less than half of men with BPH have symptoms of the disease. These are due to compression of the urethra by excessive prostate growth and may appear in each patient with very different growths. It is the so-called prostatic syndrome:

•    Slow or delayed onset of urinary flow

•    Decreased caliber and force of the jet

•    Elongation of the emptying

•    Incomplete emptying of the bladder

•    Drip after urinating

•    Need for effort when urinating

In more advanced stages, another class of symptoms, called irritative symptoms, due to the alteration of the bladder function due to the excessive effort made by the bladder to counteract the obstacle to emptying by a urethral obstruction, and may also occur. These symptoms are more difficult to reverse with the treatment of BPH with BPH cure.

•    Sudden and sudden urinary urgency

•    Increased urination frequency

•    Need to urinate 2 or more times per night

•    Incontinence

•    Painful urination or bloody urine (this may indicate an infection)

Left to its natural evolution, the obstruction caused by BPH ends up overcoming the bladder's excessive effort, producing urinary retention that can occasionally lead to a deterioration of renal function.

Signs and exams

Given the high incidence of this problem after 50 years, it is recommended, from this age, regular consultation with the urologist. Generally, in order to arrive at the diagnosis, the clinic presented by the patient and a simple physical examination is sufficient. This consists of a digital rectal examination, where the doctor can feel the size and shape of the prostate gland, revealing an enlarged and firm prostate. This can also help differentiate BPH and prostate cancer, where the gland is of greater consistency. The diagnosis can be completed with other types of tests, including:

•    Tests to quantify the degree of obstruction to the voiding flow.

•    Measurement of the rhythm of the urinary flow.

•    Studies of the flow pressure.

•    Tests to evaluate the bladder and renal function and rule out another associated pathology:

•    Intravenous urography or radiography plus ultrasound.

•    Urinalysis to verify the presence of blood or infection.

•    Urine culture to look for signs of infection.

•    Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) blood test in BPH only serves to rule out prostate cancer.

•    Cystoscopy to visualize the prostate and bladder if surgery is needed.

Treatment

The effectiveness of any treatment is measured in two terms: improvement of symptoms and improvement in the analysis of maximum urinary flow.

The prostatic hyperplasia treatment could be divided into three areas:

Medical treatment: alpha-blockers and alpha 5-reductase inhibitors.

Minimally invasive treatment: consist of the placement of prostheses (stents) using endoscopic techniques that allow a greater caliber of the urethra during urination. They are for patients not candidates for more aggressive surgery.

Surgical treatment: radical prostatectomy, TUIP (transurethral incision), TURP (transurethral resection). Most men who undergo this surgery report improvement in the flow of urine and symptoms. The possible complications are impotence, urinary incontinence, retrograde ejaculation (semen that flows in the opposite direction towards the bladder instead of going out through the penis), infertility and urethral stenosis. The percentages of these complications vary depending on the surgical procedure that the patient and the doctor decide is the best.

The choice of the moment of intervention is based on the severity of the symptoms, and their inability to be controlled by medical treatment. The choice of the appropriate technique depends on the size and shape of the prostate. They are objective indications (independent of the symptoms) of surgery:

•    Kidney injury due to obstruction (hydronephrosis)

•    Bladder lithiasis

•    Blood in recurrent urine

•    Urinary retention

•    Recurrent urinary tract infections

In summary, the choice of appropriate treatment, therefore, is based on the severity of the symptoms, the extent to which they affect the individual's lifestyle and the presence of any other medical condition. Treatment options include "await with careful vigilance", lifestyle changes, drug therapies, and surgical methods.

Health

  • 11 hours 5 min ago

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