Health | Insight Maker

health and infection-studio 2

Lucy Cheng

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

SIR model with waning immunity

Gonzalo Vazquez

21 4 months ago

From NAP Toward Quality Measures for Population Health and the Leading Health Indicators Report with detailed Maternal Infant and Child Health Example Fig.3-5. Compare with WHO NCD Framework picture and IHI Whole system measures 2.0 (Added Nov 2016) See CLD conversion insight

Health Outcome Logic Model

Geoff McDonnell

3

modelo ejemplo tutorial con agregado de variación estocastica en tasa de contagio

infección

JEA

Clone of IM-91683 from jacqui and vincy Summary of paper map produced by participants at the compelling case for prevention workshop 6 june 2017.

Current premier version containing Story Steps and text for vincy to update.

This is clone of 97129 via Vincy.

FINAL Clone of Concept Map produced by CCP Workshop 1

Jacqueline Davison

3

Causal loop diagram illustrating how anxiety may lead to poor performance (R1) and how this reinforcing loop may be counter-balanced by utilizing tools and techniques to manage anxiety (B2).

Managing Anxiety (2-Loop)

Franz Weismann

FORCED GROWTH GROWTH GOES INTO TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION
BEWARE pushing increased growth blows the system!
(governments are trying to push growth on already unstable systems !)

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept and flawed strategy of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite limited size working capacity containers (villages communities)

FORCED GROWTH INTO TURBULENCE

Guy Lakeman

5

This connection loop demonstrates the negative effects of the consumption of energy drinks containing caffeine and/or taurine.

Effects of Energy Drink Consumption

Bronx B-Boy

Menggunakan data persebaran Corona di Indonesia

Simulasi Corona di Indonesia

Heidi Vena Ginting

Social determinants of health are economic and social conditions that influence the health of people and communities. These conditions are shaped by the amount of money, power, and resources that people have, all of which are influenced by policy choices. Social determinants of health affect factors that are related to health outcomes. Factors related to health outcomes include:

How a person develops during the first few years of life (early childhood development)
How much education a persons obtains
Being able to get and keep a job
What kind of work a person does
Having food or being able to get food (food security)
Having access to health services and the quality of those services
Housing status
How much money a person earns
Discrimination and social support

Determinates of a healthy population

Alex

6

THE 2017 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

THE MODEL IS ZONE SPECIFIC AS GLOBAL WEATHER IS NOT HOMOGENEOUS BUT A COLLECTION OF HEAT BUMBPS DEPENDENT ON POPULATION SIZE OF URBAN HEAT ISLANDS AND MASSED CONURBATIONS AND AGGLOMERATIONS

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.

BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST.

CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

2017 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility by Guy Lakeman - The World3+ Model: Forecaster

Guy Lakeman

31

Health specific Clone of Scott Page's Aggregation diagram from Complexity and Sociology 2015 article see also IM-9115 and SA IM-1163

Wellbeing macro micro dynamics

Geoff McDonnell

This model calculates and demonstrates the possible spread of COVID-19 through an agent-based map. It shows the timeline of a healthy individual being infected to recovery.

COVID Model

Justine Grace Jumawan

Disease Dynamics Tutorial

Patrick Thir

Scott Page's Aggregation diagram from Complexity and Sociology 2015 article see also IM-9115 and SA IM-1163

Macro micro dynamics

Geoff McDonnell

Sessions at November 2018 Saskatoon Workshop by Nathaniel Osgood on Combining Data Science and Systems Science for Health See also Youtube video playlist

Big Data and Dynamic Modeling for Health

Geoff McDonnell

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

SIR model with waning immunity

Rosemarie Sadsad

28

Epidemischer Verlauf einer Krankheit

Duncan PVP

Projekt OSA

Polina Pronina

This is the base stock and flow diagram I will use to develop a larger system of influencing factors, from health, agri-food systems, and environmental models. Data was taken from UNICEF and UNFPA. Time = 0 starts at 1987.

Child Stunting Indonesia