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Clone of Clone of 2014 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility - The World3+ Model: Forecaster

Bechara Assouad

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Environment Demographics Population Growth Population Weather Climate Failure Death Mortality Science Technology Engineering Strategy Economics Politics Fertility Health Services Resources Land Jobs Labor Urban Industrial Rural Lifetime Pollution Regeneration Yield Ocean Sea Fish Plants Animals

  • 6 years 3 months ago

Clone of Clone of Clone of Clone of THE BROKEN LINK BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND CREATES CHAOTIC TURBULENCE (+controls)

Yanhui Su
THE BROKEN LINK BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND CREATES TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

Growth in supply and productivity is a summation of variables as is demand ... when the link between them is broken by catastrophic failure in a component the creation of unpredictable chaotic turbulence puts the controls ito a situation that will never return the system to its initial conditions as it is STIC system (Lorenz)

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite working containers (villages communities)

Environment Economics Finance Mathematics Physics Biology Health Fractals Chaos TURBULENCE Engineering Navier Stokes Supply Demand Strategy

  • 1 year 2 months ago

Clone of Clone of THE BROKEN LINK BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND CREATES CHAOTIC TURBULENCE (+controls)

Yanhui Su
THE BROKEN LINK BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND CREATES TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

Growth in supply and productivity is a summation of variables as is demand ... when the link between them is broken by catastrophic failure in a component the creation of unpredictable chaotic turbulence puts the controls ito a situation that will never return the system to its initial conditions as it is STIC system (Lorenz)

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite working containers (villages communities)

Environment Economics Finance Mathematics Physics Biology Health Fractals Chaos TURBULENCE Engineering Navier Stokes Supply Demand Strategy

  • 1 year 4 months ago

Clone of Clone of Clone of 2014 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility - The World3+ Model: Forecaster

anne-marie khoury

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Environment Demographics Population Growth Population Weather Climate Failure Death Mortality Science Technology Engineering Strategy Economics Politics Fertility Health Services Resources Land Jobs Labor Urban Industrial Rural Lifetime Pollution Regeneration Yield Ocean Sea Fish Plants Animals

  • 6 years 2 months ago

Clone of 2014 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility - The World3+ Model: Forecaster

MNTS

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Environment Demographics Population Growth Population Weather Climate Failure Death Mortality Science Technology Engineering Strategy Economics Politics Fertility Health Services Resources Land Jobs Labor Urban Industrial Rural Lifetime Pollution Regeneration Yield Ocean Sea Fish Plants Animals

  • 6 years 2 months ago

Migration and infection propagation

vincent cochet
This insight is about infection propagation and  population migration influence on this propagation. For this, we defined a world population size and a percentage of it who’s infected. Then, we created an agent where we simulated possible states of an individual. So, he can be healthy, infected (with an infection rate) or immunized ( with a certain rate of immunization). If the individual is infected, he can be alive or dead. Then, we simulated different continents (North-America, Asia and Europe) with a migration between these with a certain rate of migration (we tried to approach reality). Then, thanks to our move action which represents a circular permutation between the different continents with a random probability, the agent will be applied to every individual of the world population.

 How does the program work ?

In order to use this insight, we need to define a size of world population and a probability of every individual to reproduce himself. Every individual of this population can have three different state (healthy, infected or immunized) and infected people can be alive or dead. We need to define a percentage of infection for healthy people and a percentage of death for infected people and also a percentage of immunization.
Finally, there is Migration Part of the program, in this one, we need to define three different continents, states or whatever you want. We also need to define a migration probability between each continent to move these person. With this moving people, we can study the influence of migration on the propagation of a disease.

Vincent Cochet, Julien Platel, Jordan Béguet

Health Migration Infection

  • 2 years 8 months ago

Beneficical use of Sport to fight Drug Dependence

Hanns-Jürgen Hodann
Several scientific studies have shown that a regime of regular exercise can help drug addicts in fighting their addiction. This simple CLD tries to illustrate  the positive social and physical dynamic that sports activity can generate that may be beneficial in this process. There are also other positive effects of physical exercise that I have not shown. Sports activity  can help increase dopamine levels, which may improve the mood of those fighting drug addiction and  prompt them to stick to their regime of exercises.  

Health Sport Drugs Addiction

  • 3 years 10 months ago

Hepatitis B Virus HBV

MIEKU REBIENO Esther
​The hepatitis B virus is a silent killer.The incubation period is 60 to 90 days. After this period, the acute phase occurs.During this period 90% of people infected with HBV will get rid of the virus, however 5% may die during this acute phase. The others, about 5%, will go to the chronic phase which will cause liver damage and lead to cirrhosis of the liver and liver cancer.
Esther MIEKU REBIENOCharles Alarich

Health

  • 2 years 6 months ago

R1 Doing More Exercise

Anne-Marie Parent
A model that describes the reinforcing loop between exercise and sleep.

Insight: To be able to do more exercise (if one is already tired), one has different options:
to increase their energy level which can be done with some products (such as caffeine), to improve their quality of sleep either via medication or changing the environment in which they sleep, or to start doing exercise even if they are tired in order to sleep better and then have more energy.

Health Exercise

  • 5 years 11 months ago

Burnout

John Hearne
​This model has been constructed from the model published in the following article:Jack B. Homer, "Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications for prevention and control". System Dynamics Review 1 (no. 1, Summer 1985): 42-62. ISSN 0883-7066. 0 1985 by the Svstem Dynamics Society. 

Health

  • 6 years 4 months ago

Top 5 Best Moisture Wicking Bras for Sweaty Boobs

Proff R
Do you often have sweaty boobs during summer or on any normal days? Sweaty boobs can make you feel uncomfortable, especially if you feel itchy or scratchy. Sometimes excessive sweating can cause infection, especially if you have a sensitive skin. You may have tried the ordinary bras but nothing works. You find yourself sweating profusely. You may need to try out the following best moisture wicking bras for sweaty boobs. They are recommended and approved to prevent excessive boob sweating because they are breathable, meaning they wick away moisture and sweat from your skin. Here they are:
  • Victoria's Secret Strappy Plunge Sport Bra

This is a moisture wicking sport bra that will keep you extra comfortable while you do your exercises or gym, and yoga. It wicks away moisture like a charm.

  • Wacoal T-Back Seamless Underwire Bra

This bra is well designed with moisture wicking technology. This entails special mesh-like material that helps keep air flow going as you jog, do yoga or lift weights in the gym. It is perfect for someone who wants to remain trendy and still super dry and fresh.

  • Hanes Women's ComfortFlex Fit Wire-Free Bra

If you want to enjoy every little bits of your summertime, you need to buy this breathable bra that not only wicks away moisture, but also keeps you looking fly and sexy on the sassy beaches.

  • Olga Play It Cool Wirefree Contour Bra

This is one of the best moisture wicking bras that are in fact made with a special technology - Chill FX lining that keeps you cool all day long. You won’t want to throw your bra away after a long day.

  • Bonds Flex It Bra

This is a preferable bra that is super lightweight with light padding. It is the best breathable bra for sweaty boobs in summer.

Boob sweat should not worry you considering that there are many best moisture wicking and breathable bras for women. Most of them are trendy and sexy, meaning that you will be comfortable wearing them. If you love doing yoga, jogging, or exercises, you need to buy the one or two of the above breathable bras for women and see how they prevent sweaty boobs.

What are you waiting for? You can also check out the following moisture wicking bra selections and buy yourself the best bra that fits you perfectly and stops excessive boob sweat.

NB: Also check out the best car seat sweat covers & protectors and best sweat suits for men

Economy Population Technology Health

  • 5 months 5 days ago

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